Phillies vs. Mets Predictions, Odds, Preview

September 19, 2021

Kevin Rogers
MLB Expert
VegasInsider.com

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - Predictions

Score Prediction - Mets 5, Phillies 3

The Mets led the National League East race at the All-Star break, but New York will likely finish in third place when all is said and done due to their struggles at home against teams with winning records.

The Phillies will try to pull off the sweep of the Mets on Sunday night at Citi Field as Rich Hill will try to turn around his recent bad fortune.

The Mets lost to Philadelphia's top two arms in Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola in the first two games of this series, as New York draws Kyle Gibson in the finale. New York's bats should come around in this one to save face for one more day.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - Game Odds

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - Betting Analysis

• Venue: Citi Field
• Location: Queens, New York
• TV-Time: ESPN - 7:05 p.m. ET

Rich Hill takes the mound on Sunday night as the Mets look to salvage a game from Philadelphia. (AP)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets - Current Form

The free-fall continues for the Mets, who have dropped five straight games and are looking to avoid their second straight sweep at home.

After St. Louis took all three games from New York last week at Citi Field, the Phillies captured the first two matchups this weekend. Philadelphia edged New York on Friday, 4-3, followed by the Phillies taking care of the Mets again on Saturday, 5-3.

Not only has Philadelphia has won six straight meetings with New York, but the Phillies remain within striking distance of the Braves for first place in the National League East.

Philadelphia sits 2.5 games behind St. Louis for the second Wild Card spot in the National League, while New York has slipped seven games out as their record fell to 72-77.

Pitching Matchup

Philadelphia - Kyle Gibson (10-7, 3.49 ERA)

Gibson is winless in his last three trips to the mound, while allowing 15 earned runs in this stretch. The former Rangers' right-hander last picked up a victory on August 28 vs. Arizona at home, which is also the last time he tossed six innings.

Gibson defeated the Mets at home on August 6 as a short favorite, 4-2, while limiting New York to one run and four hits in six innings of work.

N.Y. Mets - Rich Hill (6-7, 3.88 ERA)

The Mets own a 1-5 record in Hill's last six starts, although the left-hander has not given up more than three earned runs in any of those appearances.

Hill is riding a five-game Under streak in his past five trips to the mound, while facing the Phillies for the first time this season.

Trends to Watch

Philadelphia

• 5-2 last seven road series finales
• 7-1 last eight meetings vs. Mets

N.Y. Mets

• 2-6 last eight home games
• 1-3 last four series finales