Last Updated May 29, 2022, 6:46 PM
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Picks, Predictions, Odds
Sports Betting Expert
The Philadelphia Phillies (21-25) and New York Mets (30-17) will wrap up their three-game series on Sunday night. First pitch is scheduled for 7:00 PM ET at Citi Field in Queens, New York and can be viewed on ESPN2.
Mets 5, Phillies 3
- Mets ML (-115) at bet365
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Predictions
The Philadelphia Phillies lost game-one of this series 8-6 on Thursday and are now eight and a half games behind the Mets for first place. The Phillies offense did their part, putting up nine hits and six RBIs on the day. The bullpen struggled once again with starting pitcher Bailey Falter lasting just 3.0 innings and giving up four hits and five runs. Right-handed pitcher Zach Wheeler is expected to start on Sunday. Wheeler is 3-3 in eight games this season with an ERA of 3.38 and has given up 42 hits, 17 earned runs, and struck out 48 batters in 40.2 innings of work.
The Mets continue to increase their lead in the NL East standings after defeating the Phillies on Thursday. New York managed to score eight runs on nine hits thanks to four RBIs from the first baseman Pete Alonso. Starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco did not have his best outing, giving up six hits and five runs in 5.2 innings. The other five pitchers used finished up the game allowing three hits and one run. The right-hander Chris Bassitt is expected to take the mound Sunday. Bassitt is 4-2 in nine games this season with an ERA of 3.91 and has given up 48 hits, 23 earned runs, and struck out 53 batters in 53.0 innings.
The Mets are 6-3 SU this season against the Phillies. I expect that trend to continue and for New York to win again on Sunday. Both teams have bullpen problems at the moment, but the Mets lineup has proven to be too much for Philadelphia to handle. Backing New York MoneyLine in game-three as I expect the Phillies bullpen to have another rough outing.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Odds
- Phillies -105
- Mets -115
- Phillies +1.5 (-185)
- Mets +1.5 (+165)
- Over 7.5 (-105)
- Under 7.5 (-115)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Resources
- Date: Saturday, May 28, 2022
- Matchup: NL East
- Stadium: Citi Field
- Location: Queens, New York
- TV-Time: FOX - 7:15 p.m.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Analysis
Prior to the results of Saturday’s game-two against the Mets, the Phillies are 21-25 SU, 23-23 ATS, and have an O/U record of 24-20-2. The total has gone over in four of Philadelphia's last five games. Following this trend, the total has gone over in eight of their last nine games on the road. The Phillies are 1-4 SU in their last five games when playing New York on the road and 10-12 SU on the road this season.
Despite being below .500, the Phillies have had solid offensive production this season. As a team Philadelphia has a batting average of .249 (8th), on base percentage of .314 (14th), slugging percentage of .409 (4th), and have scored 210 runs (T-9th). Designated hitter Bryce Harper went 1-4 against the Mets in game-one, but has been great on the season with a batting average of .313 (51-163), 10 home runs, and 32 RBIs. Third baseman Alex Bohm is also having a nice season with a batting average of .290 (45-155), three home runs, and 17 RBIs.
Philadelphia’s bullpen has been struggling all year. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .248 (22nd), have a WHIP of 1.31, and have an ERA of 3.99 (19th). Right-handed pitcher Zach Wheeler is expected to start on Sunday. Wheeler is 3-3 in eight games this season with an ERA of 3.38 and has given up 42 hits, 17 earned runs, and struck out 48 batters in 40.2 innings of work. Wheeler faced the Mets on April 12th this season and struck out three batters in 4.2 innings while allowing two hits and one earned run.
New York Mets Betting Analysis
The Mets have lost back-to-back games just two times this season and have gone 30-17 SU, 27-20 ATS, and have an O/U record of 23-21-3. The total has gone over in five of New York’s last six games. Going against this trend, the total has gone under in 13 of their last 20 games against the Phillies. New York is 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Philadelphia and 14-8 SU at home this season.
New York has been one of the best hitting ball clubs in the league this season. As a team the Mets have a batting average of .263 (2nd), on base percentage of .334 (2nd), slugging percentage of .401 (9th), and have scored 234 runs. Designated hitter Pete Alonso went 2-2 with four RBIs in game-one, which has been a common trend as he has a batting average of .283 (51-180), 12 home runs, and 45 RBIs. Second baseman Jeff McNeil is also hitting the ball well with a batting average of .319 (51-160), two home runs, and 23 RBIs.
The Mets bullpen have not been great as of late, but have been good enough thanks to the offensive production. As a team they are allowing opponents a batting average of .233 (13th), have a WHIP of 1.19 (9th), and have an ERA of 3.80 (13th). The right-hander Chris Bassitt is expected to take the mound Sunday. Bassitt is 4-2 in nine games this season with an ERA of 3.91 and has given up 48 hits, 23 earned runs, and struck out 53 batters in 53.0 innings. In his one outing against the Phillies this season, Bassitt struck out four batters in 5.2 innings while giving up five hits and one earned run.
Key Players to Watch
- PHI: Bryce Harper - DH (Last Game: TBD)
- PHI: Alec Bohm - 3B (Last Game: TBD)
- NYM: Francisco Lindor - SS (Last Game: TBD)
- NYM: Pete Alonso - 1B (Last Game: TBD)
- PHI: Zack Wheeler - RHP (3-3, 3.38 ERA, 51 K, 1.15 WHIP)
- NYM: Chris Bassitt - RHP (4-2, 3.91 ERA, 53 K, 1.21 WHIP)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets Betting Conclusion
The Phillies will look to regain some ground on the Mets here in game-three. Unfortunately for them, their bullpen has not played well. If Wheeler can go 6.0-70 innings, they will have a chance in this one, but I would not count on that. The Mets are too good on both sides of the ball to bet against here. Backing the Mets moneyline.