MLB Edge Plays for Tuesday, July 12

Kevin Rogers Sports Betting Expert

12 minute read

Our VI sports betting experts break down the tech trends and edge plays for games on Tuesday, July 12. Check out the game trends below along with the top edge plays to consider for all of today's games! Also, get expert premium picks and prop plays from our VI Handicapping stable!

Updated on 04/18/2024

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TUESDAY'S EDGE PLAYS

• White Sox-Guardians Over 8 (-105) at Caesars
• Pirates +1.5 (-155) at DraftKings
• Reds-Yankees Under 8.5 (-105) at Caesars
• Mariners -1.5 (+160) at PointsBet
• Rays ML (+105) at WynnBet
• Mets-Braves Under 8.5 (-109) at Unibet
• Twins ML (-139) at Unibet
• Dodgers-Cardinals Under 9 (-120) at Caesars
• Cubs ML (-120) at WynnBet
• Athletics-Rangers Over 8.5 (-118) at SI
• Royals -1.5 (+170) at PointsBet
• Rockies +1.5 (-125) at BetMGM
• Astros ML (-118) at WynnBet
• Giants -1.5 (+100) at Caesars

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

• Time: 1:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSGL, CSCH, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Davis Martin (1-2, 4.29 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Shane Bieber (3-5, 3.44 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.6
• Venue O/U Record: 20-17-1

Best Bet: Over 8 (-105) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

• Chicago has won six straight divisional games when playing during the daytime.
• Chicago is 1-5 SU last six games when playing in Cleveland
• Cleveland os 2-6 SU last eight games.

RUN TOTAL

• Cleveland has gone OVER the total in nine of 10 home games playing the first game of a doubleheader.
• OVER has hit in three of four meetings.

RUN LINE

• Chicago is 2-6 ATS last eight games.
• Chicago is 7-2 ATS last nine road games.
• Cleveland is 6-13 ATS last 19 games.
• Cleveland is 4-8 ATS last 12 home games.

Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins

• Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): ATPT, BSFL
• Away Pitcher: Chris Stratton (5-4, 5.14 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Daniel Castano (1-2, 3.60 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.6
• Venue O/U Record: 20-15-3

Best Bet: Pirates +1.5 (-155) at DraftKings

MONEYLINE

• Miami has lost nine straight home games when facing the NL Central on a Tuesday.
• Miami is 8-4 SU last 12 home games.
• Miami is 2-4 SU last six games.
• Pittsburgh is 5-2 SU last seven road games.
• Pittsburgh is 6-2 SU last eight games when facing Miami.

RUN TOTAL

• Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the total in five straight games when facing the NL East at night.
• OVER has hit in seven of 10 meetings.
• Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the total in five of six games.

RUN LINE

• Miami is 1-6 ATS last seven home games.
• Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS last seven road games.
• Miami is 1-7 ATS last eight games when facing Pittsburgh.
• Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS last six games.

Cincinnati Reds at New York Yankees

• Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): YES, BSOH
• Away Pitcher: Graham Ashcraft (4-2, 4.35 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Gerrit Cole (8-2, 3.26 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 7.7
• Venue O/U Record: 18-24-1

Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-105) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

• New York has won 11 straight home games when facing a team with a losing record.
• New York is 19-2 SU last 21 home games.
• New York is 6-1 SU last seven games when facing Cincinnati.
• Cincinnati is 0-5 SU last five games when playing in Bronx.
• Cincinnati is 4-1 SU last five games.

RUN TOTAL

• Cincinnati has gone UNDER the total in six straight road games when facing the AL.
• New York has gone OVER the total in five straight games.
• New York has gone UNDER the total in four of six home games.
• UNDER has cashed in 11 of 16 meetings.

RUN LINE

• New York is 2-5 ATS last seven games.
• New York is 3-6 ATS last nine home games.

Seattle Mariners at Washington Nationals

• Time: 7:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): RTNW, MASN2
• Away Pitcher: Chris Flexen (5-8, 4.00 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-5, 4.14 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9
• Venue O/U Record: 20-25

Best Bet: Mariners -1.5 (+160) at PointsBet

MONEYLINE

• Seattle has won eight straight games.
• Seattle is 11-3 SU last 14 games.
• Seattle is 2-13 SU last 15 games when facing Washington.
• Washington is 1-10 SU last 11 games.
• Washington is 0-5 SU last five home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Seattle has gone OVER the total in four straight games when facing the NL.
• Washington has gone UNDER the total in four of five games.
• UNDER has hit in four of five meetings when playing in Washington, D.C.

RUN LINE

• Seattle is 5-1 ATS last six games.
• Washington is 1-4 ATS last five games.

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays

• Time: 7:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): NESN, SUN
• Away Pitcher: Chris Sale (-)
• Home Pitcher: Corey Kluber (4-5, 3.62 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 7.7
• Venue O/U Record: 19-21-3

Best Bet: Rays ML (+105) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

• Tampa Bay has lost seven straight divisional games when playing at night after winning at home the game prior.
• Boston is 2-5 SU last seven games.
• Boston is 14-7 SU last 21 road games.
• Tampa Bay is 4-2 SU last six home games.
• Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU last 15 home games when facing Boston.

RUN TOTAL

• UNDER has hit in five of seven meetings.
• Boston has gone OVER the total in eight of nine divisional games when playing at night.
• Boston has gone OVER the total in five of six games.
• UNDER has hit in six of eight meetings when playing in St. Petersburg.

RUN LINE

• Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS last six home games.
• Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Boston.
• Boston is 8-3 ATS last 11 road games.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

• Time: 7:20 p.m. ET
• Network(s): SNY, BSSO
• Away Pitcher: David Peterson (5-1, 3.48 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Spencer Strider (4-2, 2.60 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9
• Venue O/U Record: 23-24-2

Best Bet: Under 8.5 (-109) at Unibet

MONEYLINE

• Atlanta has won 11 straight home games after losing at home the game prior.
• Atlanta is 6-2 SU last eight games.
• Atlanta is 17-5 SU last 22 home games.
• New York is 5-2 SU last seven road games.
• New York is 2-4 SU last six games when playing in Atlanta.

RUN TOTAL

• Atlanta has gone UNDER the total in 10 of 11 home games.
• Atlanta has gone UNDER the total in nine of 10 games.

RUN LINE

• Atlanta is 1-4 ATS last five games.
• New York is 2-4 ATS last six games when facing Atlanta.
• New York is 8-3 ATS last 11 games when playing in Atlanta.

Milwaukee Brewers at Minnesota Twins

• Time: 7:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSWI, BSNO
• Away Pitcher: Jason Alexander (2-1, 4.75 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Josh Winder (4-2, 3.12 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.1
• Venue O/U Record: 18-22-3

Best Bet: Twins ML (-139) at Unibet

MONEYLINE

• Milwaukee has seen the underdog win four of five games.
• Milwaukee is 1-4 SU last five games.
• Milwaukee is 2-5 SU last seven games when playing in Minnesota.
• Minnesota is 4-1 SU last five home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Minnesota has gone OVER the total in five straight games.
• Minnesota has gone OVER the total in six of seven home games.
• UNDER has hit in seven of eight meetings when playing in Minnesota.

RUN LINE

• Minnesota is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Milwaukee.
• Minnesota is 4-2 ATS last six games.
• Minnesota is 2-8 ATS last 10 home games.
• Milwaukee is 3-6 ATS last nine games when playing in Minnesota.

Los Angeles Dodgers at St. Louis Cardinals

• Time: 7:45 p.m. ET
• Network(s): TBS
• Away Pitcher: Mitch White (1-1, 3.38 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Matthew Liberatore (2-1, 4.74 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8
• Venue O/U Record: 23-20-1

Best Bet: Under 9 (-120) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

• St. Louis has won eight straight games when facing the NL West as the underdog after winning at home the game prior.
• St. Louis is 15-8 SU last 23 home games.
• St. Louis is 3-6 SU last nine games.

RUN TOTAL

• UNDER has hit in 16 of 24 meetings.
• St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in five straight home games.
• St. Louis has gone UNDER the total in 10 straight games when facing the NL at night.
• Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in four of six road games.

RUN LINE

• Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS last 12 games.
• Los Angeles is 6-3 ATS last nine road games.
• Los Angeles is 2-7 ATS last nine games when playing in St. Louis.
• St. Louis is 2-7 ATS last nine games.

Baltimore Orioles at Chicago Cubs

• Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): MARQ, MASN
• Away Pitcher: Jordan Lyles (5-7, 4.50 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Adrian Sampson (0-0, 2.91 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.6
• Venue O/U Record: 20-19-5

Best Bet: Cubs ML (-120) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

• Baltimore has won eight straight games.
• Chicago is 1-4 SU last five games.
• Chicago is 4-1 SU last five games when facing Baltimore.

RUN TOTAL

• Baltimore has gone UNDER the total in five of six road games when facing the NL.
• OVER has hit in three of four meetings.

RUN LINE

• Chicago is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Baltimore.
• Baltimore is 5-1 ATS last six games.

Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers

• Time: 8:05 p.m. ET
• Network(s): NSCA, BSSW
• Away Pitcher: James Kaprielian (1-5, 5.06 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Glenn Otto (4-5, 5.26 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9
• Venue O/U Record: 19-20-2

Best Bet: Over 8.5 (-118) at SI

MONEYLINE

• Texas has lost eight straight home games when facing Oakland after winning at home the game prior.
• Texas is 4-2 SU last six home games.
• Oakland is 4-9 SU last 13 games.
• Oakland is 1-7 SU last eight road games.

RUN TOTAL

• Texas has gone OVER the total in five straight home games.
• Texas has gone OVER the total in six of seven games.
• OVER has hit in four of five meetings.
• Oakland has gone UNDER the total in eight of nine games.
• Oakland has gone UNDER the total in five of seven games.

RUN LINE

• Oakland is 7-2 ATS last nine games.
• Texas is 5-2 ATS last seven games.
• Texas is 4-1 ATS last five games when facing Oakland

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

• Time: 8:10 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSDT, BSKC
• Away Pitcher: Beau Brieske (2-6, 4.16 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Kris Bubic (1-6, 6.84 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.6
• Venue O/U Record: 21-22-1

Best Bet: Royals -1.5 (+170) at PointsBet

MONEYLINE

• Detroit has lost 10 straight games when facing the AL at night after losing on the road the game prior.
• Kansas City is 4-1 SU last five games when facing Detroit.
• Kansas City is 4-1 SU last five games.
• Kansas City is 5-1 SU last six home games.
• Detroit is 1-4 SU last five games.

RUN TOTAL

• Detroit has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.
• Detroit has gone UNDER the total in five of seven road games.
• UNDER has hit in 10 of 12 meetings.
• Kansas City has gone UNDER the total in four of six home games.

RUN LINE

• Kansas City is 9-4 ATS last 13 games.
• Kansas City is 4-2 ATS last six home games.
• Detroit is 1-4 ATS last five games.
• Kansas City is 5-0 ATS last five games when facing Detroit.

San Diego Padres at Colorado Rockies

• Time: 8:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): ATRM, BSSD
• Away Pitcher: Mike Clevinger (2-1, 3.34 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Austin Gomber (4-7, 6.46 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 11.4
• Venue O/U Record: 21-22-1

Best Bet: Rockies +1.5 (-125) at BetMGM

MONEYLINE

• Colorado has lost 10 of its last 11 home games when facing San Diego as the underdog.
• Colorado is 7-3 SU last 10 home games.
• Colorado is 5-1 SU last six home games when facing San Diego
• San Diego is 4-10 SU last 14 games.
• San Diego is 3-7 SU last 10 road games.

RUN TOTAL

• UNDER has hit in six of seven meetings played in Denver.
• Colorado has gone UNDER in five of seven games.
• San Diego has gone UNDER the total in five of six road games.

RUN LINE

• San Diego is 0-5 ATS last five games.
• San Diego is 1-4 ATS last five road games.
• Colorado is 8-2 ATS last 10 home games.
• Colorado is 5-0 ATS last five home games when facing San Diego.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Angels

• Time: 9:38 p.m. ET
• Network(s): ATSW, BSW, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Luis Garcia (7-5, 3.81 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Noah Syndergaard (5-7, 3.84 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 8.5
• Venue O/U Record: 16-25-3

Best Bet: Astros ML (-118) at WynnBet

MONEYLINE

• Houston has won 11 straight games when playing on a Tuesday.
• Houston is 10-2 SU last 12 games.
• Houston is 4-1 SU last five road games.
• Los Angeles is 1-8 SU last nine games.
• Los Angeles is 6-15 SU last 21 home games.

RUN TOTAL

• Houston has gone OVER the total in four straight games when playing the AL at night.
• OVER has hit in four of six meetings.
• Los Angeles has gone UNDER the total in five of seven home games.
• UNDER has hit in four of five meetings when playing in Los Angeles.

RUN LINE

• Los Angeles is 4-11 ATS last 15 games.
• Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS last six home games.
• Houston is 14-4 ATS last 18 games.
• Houston is 11-4 ATS last 15 games when facing Los Angeles.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

• Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
• Network(s): BSAZ, NSBA, MLBN
• Away Pitcher: Dallas Keuchel (0-1, 7.16 ERA)
• Home Pitcher: Logan Webb (7-3, 2.98 ERA)
• Venue Runs Per Game: 9.1
• Venue O/U Record: 21-18-3

Best Bet: Giants -1.5 (+100) at Caesars

MONEYLINE

• Arizona has lost 17 of its last 18 divisional road games when facing a team with a winning record.
• San Francisco is 0-5 SU last five home games.
• San Francisco is 3-8 SU last 11 games.
• San Francisco is 20-5 SU last 25 games when facing Arizona.
• Arizona is 2-4 SU last six games.
• Arizona is 2-5 SU last seven games.

RUN TOTAL

• San Francisco has gone UNDER the total in five of six divisional home games.
• San Francisco has gone UNDER the total in four of six games.
• OVER has hit in six of nine meetings.

RUN LINE

• San Francisco is 4-1 ATS last five games.
• San Francisco is 0-5 ATS last five home games.
• San Francisco is 1-5 ATS last six games when facing Arizona.
• Arizona is 4-1 ATS last five games.

Kevin Rogers

Kevin has been handicapping professionally since 2007 at VegasInsider before shifting to ScoresAndOdds. He focuses on MLB, NFL, college football, NBA, college basketball, and NHL and mainly uses trends, systems, and situations as his top handicapping angles. More from Kevin Rogers