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Last Updated Jul 25, 2022, 10:05 AM

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Predictions, Picks, Odds

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Betting Analysis

The Mets host the Padres for the third of a three-game set at Citi Field on Sunday, July 24, 2022.

The Mets lead the National League East with an overall record of 58-37 and 28-17 at home, which paces the second placed Braves by half-a-game. The Padres enter Sunday positioned second in the National League West standings with a record of 54-42 overall and 29-21 on the road, which falls 10.5 games behind the Dodgers for the division lead.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Betting Prediction

The Padres send RHP Joe Musgrove to the hill against New York’s seventh-ranked scoring offense on Sunday night (4.62 RSPG), who’s having the best campaign of his career sitting 8-2 with a 2.42 ERA across 16 appearances this season, which is a huge step up from his career 48-49 record and 3.81 ERA; despite going 0-2 with a 5.04 ERA across his most recent four outings (25 IP, 14 ER).

On the other hand, the Mets send RHP Carlos Carrasco to the mound against San Diego’s 19th ranked scoring offense tonight (4.31 RSPG), who’s been up-and-down for New York all season, considering Carrasco has yielded a lackluster 4.27 ERA and 1.33 WHIP; however, still owns a sturdy record of 10-4 (18 GS).

I’ll back San Diego here, as Carrasco has been far too difficult to trust for New York recently, considering he’s 3-3 with a 5.66 ERA across his last seven starts for the Mets (1.66 WHIP); setting the stage for an unfavorable matchup against the Padres and Musgrove, who’s tossed six innings or more and allowed two runs or less in 13 of 16 starts this season (2.42 ERA, 0.97 WHIP); and surrendered one run or less in six of his last 12 appearances (2.51 ERA, 1.00 WHIP).

Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mets 3
Best Bet: Padres ML (+105)

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San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Betting Odds

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Betting Resources

  • Date: Sunday, July 24, 2022
  • Matchup: NL West vs, NL East
  • Venue: Citi Field
  • Location: New York, NY
  • Time-TV: 7:00 p.m. ET – ESPN

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets – Current Form

The Padres have split their last two series, as San Diego took two-of-three against Arizona after dropping three-of-four to the Rockies in Colorado. San Diego's offense has struggled recently, having scored four runs or less in four straight games. However, their defense has picked up the slack, considering the Padres have also surrendered three runs or less in each of the last four games. The Mets won their last two series, as New York took three-of-four against the Cubs and two-of-three against the Braves prior to taking on San Diego.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets – Pitching Matchup

San Diego: Joe Musgrove (8-2, 2.42 ERA)

Joe Musgrove takes the hill for the Mets in this contest as he makes his 17th start of the season hoping to build upon a Cy Young caliber campaign. Musgrove is 8-2 with a 2.42 ERA, a 0.97 WHIP, 23 walks and 102 strikeouts over 104 innings of work this season. Musgrove is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA across nine road starts this season, which includes 12 walks, 59 strikeouts, and a 1.00 WHIP over 59 innings of action.

New York: Carlos Carrasco (10-4, 4.27 ERA)

Mets' right-hander Carlos Carrasco takes the mound for his 19th start of the season. Carrasco looks to improve on a 10-4 record and 4.27 ERA over 99 innings of action; which includes 100 strikeouts, 26 walks, and a 1.33 WHIP. Carrasco owns a 6-1 record at home this season. In those outings, he's posted a 3.59 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, 19 walks, and 58 strikeouts in 57.2 innings of work.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets – Series History

The Mets owned a slight edge in last year's regular season series, producing a 4-3 mark over San Diego. However, this year's series has belonged to the Padres, considering San Diego is 4-1 against New York this season.

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