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Last Updated Jul 29, 2022, 10:16 AM

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Picks, Predictions, Odds

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Analysis

The Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros play the first of a four-game series on Thursday, July 28, 2022 at the Minute Maid Park.

The Mariners are 54-45 overall and 27-22 on the road, which positions Seattle second in the American League West standings and trails the division leading Houston Astros by 10 games. The Astros currently pace the American League West with a record of 64-35, which has been aided by their sturdy 30-14 tally at home.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Prediction

The Mariners send RHP Logan Gilbert to the mound against Houston’s 14th ranked scoring offense on Thursday night (4.57 RSPG), who’s having a breakout sophomore campaign for Seattle sitting 10-4 with a 2.77 ERA across 20 starts this season (1.15 WHIP), which is an enormous upgrade from the 6-5 record and 4.68 ERA he posted last year (1.17 WHIP).

On the flip side, the Astros send RHP Jose Urquidy to the hill against Seattle’s 23rd ranked scoring offense tonight (4.11 RSPG), who’s having another excellent campaign for Houston sitting 9-4 with a 3.93 ERA in 18 starts this season (1.23 WHIP); despite going 1-3 with a 7.58 ERA across four outings against the Astros (2.11 WHIP).

I’ll back Seattle here, as Gilbert has tossed six innings or more and allowed two runs or less in seven of his last 11 outings for the Mariners (6-2, 2.91 ERA), which already includes a trio of solid performances against Houston (2-1, 2.37 ERA); setting the stage for a favorable matchup against the Astros and Urquidy, who’s surrendered four runs or more in three of four starts against Seattle this season (7.58 ERA).

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 3
Best Bet: Mariners +120

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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Odds

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, July 28, 2022
  • Matchup: AL West
  • Venue: Minute Maid Park
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Time-TV: 8:10 p.m. ET – FS1

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros – Current Form

The Nationals scored only one run against the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, which was Seattle’s best result in the last two series.

Seattle cruised past the Washington Nationals on Wednesday by plating six runs in the first of a game of the series. The Astros grabbed 2 of 2 games last Thursday against the New York Yankees, but were tripped up by the Athletics last Wednesday. They limited the New York Yankees to just two runs in the first contest of the series on Thursday.

Against the Oakland Athletics, Houston’s defense allowed for seven runs in the first game of the series on Monday.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros – Pitching Matchup

Seattle: Logan Gilbert (10-4, 2.77 ERA)

The Mariners’ right-hander Logan Gilbert owns a 10-4 record and 2.77 ERA in his 20th start of the season. Gilbert also posted a 1.15 WHIP, while striking out 112 and walking 30 batters in 117 innings this season. Gilbert lost his most recent start against the Houston Astros, as Seattle’s right-hander surrendered two runs on five hits, one walk, and eight strikeouts during the Mariners’ 1-3 home loss on July 23, 2022. Gilbert is 6-1 with a 2.42 ERA across this season’s 11 starts on the road, which includes 21 walks, 58 strikeouts, and a 1.18 WHIP over 63.1 innings of action.

Houston: Jose Urquidy (9-4, 3.93 ERA)

Jose Urquidy takes the mound in the series opener as he makes his 18th start of the season for the Astros in this contest. He comes in 9-4 with a 3.93 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, 22 walks and 77 strikeouts over 100.2 innings of work on the year. Houston’s 27-year-old right-hander earned the win in his last start, which came on the road against the Seattle Mariners July 22, 2022. He threw six innings, allowing one run on four hits with two walks and three strikeouts in a 2-5 Astros victory. Urquidy owns a home record of 3-2 this season, in seven starts at Minute Maid Park. In those outings, he has posted a 2.63 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, 11 walks, and 41 strikeouts in 41 innings of work.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros – Series History

Houston had a great 2021 season in this matchup, tallying a 11-8 mark. In the current season, the Astros are still up with nine wins out of games.

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