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Last Updated Aug 18, 2022, 6:27 PM

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Picks, Predictions, Odds

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Analysis

The Mets and the Braves will square off at Truist Park for the fourth of a four-game set on Thursday, August 18, 2022.

New York leads the National League East with a record of 76-42, despite yielding a 36-23 record on the road so far this season. The Braves enter Thursday in second place in the National League East standings with a record of 72-47 overall and 39-23 at home, which positions them 4.5 games back in the division.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Prediction

The Mets send RHP Jacob deGrom to the mound against Atlanta’s third-ranked scoring offense on Thursday night (4.89 RSPG), who’s picked up right where he left off after returning from injury for New York sitting 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA across three starts this season (0.42 WHIP), which already includes a winning performance against the Braves (5.2 IP, 2 ER).

On the flip side, the Braves send LHP Max Fried to the hill against New York’s fourth-ranked scoring offense tonight (4.76 RSPG), who’s arguably having the best campaign of his stellar six-year career sitting 10-4 with a 2.60 ERA in 22 starts this season (1.08 WHIP), which includes a 1-2 record and 3.18 ERA across a trio of decent outings against the Mets (1.24 WHIP).

I’ll take the under here, as Fried has tossed five innings or more and allowed two runs or less in 11 of his last 14 starts for the Braves (6-2, 2.22 ERA); setting the stage for a pitchers’ duel against the Mets and deGrom, who’s 10-7 with a 2.01 ERA across 26 career outings against Atlanta (0.93 WHIP).

Score Prediction: Mets 3, Braves 2
Best Bet: Under 7 (-110)

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Odds

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Betting Resources

  • Date: Thursday, August 18, 2022
  • Matchup: NL East
  • Venue: Truist Park
  • Location: Atlanta, Georgia
  • Time-TV: 7:20 p.m. ET – MLB.tv

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Current Form

New York continues to roll, going 5-1 in its last six games against the Reds and the Phillies. Their best performance was on Saturday, when they limited the Phillies to scoring no runs in the second contest of a three-game series. Scoring 10 runs against the Reds on Wednesday’s third game in the series was their best performance in their last six games. Atlanta allowed only one run on Sunday in the fourth of four contests against the Marlins.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Pitching Matchup

New York: Jacob deGrom (2-0, 1.62 ERA)

Jacob deGrom will make his fourth start of the season for New York, who’s hoping to find some traction after posting a 2-0 record and 1.62 ERA thus far, while tallying a 0.42 WHIP, one walk, and 28 strikeouts across 16.2 innings of action. deGrom grabbed the win in his last start, which came at home against the Phillies on August 13th. He threw six innings, on two hits and 10 strikeouts in an eventual 1-0 Mets win. deGrom is 0-0 with a 1.80 ERA across this season’s one start on the road, which includes six strikeouts, and a 0.60 WHIP over five innings of action.

Atlanta: Max Fried (10-4, 2.60 ERA)

Max Fried takes the mound in the series final as he makes his 23rd start of the season for the Braves in Thursday's contest. He comes in 10-4 with a 2.60 ERA, a 1.08 WHIP, 25 walks and 127 strikeouts over 138.1 innings of work on the year. Fried owns a home record of 5-3 this season, in 13 starts at Truist Park. In those outings, he has posted a 2.48 ERA, a 1.21 WHIP, 20 walks, and 76 strikeouts in 79.2 innings of work.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves – Series History

The 2021 series was owned by Atlanta, who produced a 10-9 mark in the regular season matchups. The Mets continued their dominance of the Braves this season by claiming a ninth win in 15 matchups.

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