Lakers vs. Warriors Picks, Predictions, Odds
First Round | Second Round
Eastern Conference | Western Conference
NBA Championship Betting Trends
The NBA Playoffs resume on Tuesday night with Game 1 of a highly anticipated Western Conference Semi-Final matchup between the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors. Coverage begins from the Chase Center in San Francisco at 10:00 p.m. ET on TNT.
LOS ANGELES LAKERS vs. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PREDICTION
Neither of these teams had homecourt advantage in the opening round of the playoffs, as the Lakers drew the second-seeded Grizzlies after finishing 7th in the West with a record of 43-39, and the Warriors drew the third-seeded Kings after finishing 6th in the conference with a record of 44-38. However, the oddsmakers still showed a great deal of respect for both squads in the pre-series betting market, and rightfully so, as the Lakers (+110) managed to close out Memphis in just six games, and the Warriors (-250) topped Sacramento in seven.
The Lakers originally appeared to draw the tougher opponent of the two, as the Grizzlies coasted to the second-best record in the conference while ranking Top 5 in the league in net rating (+3.9 NetRtg). It turns out, though, Sacramento was the far more dangerous opponent, as the Kings stretched the series to seven games and went to halftime of Game 7 leading Golden State by a score of 58-56, in turn, giving the Warriors a legitimate scare prior to running away with a 20-point victory down the stretch.
For obvious reasons, the Warriors are far more dangerous than your average six-seed, but prior to their first round matchup against Sacramento, plenty of question marks still surrounded their ability to win big road games, especially given their lack of homecourt advantage, highlighted by Golden State posting records of 33-8 at home and 11-30 on the road during the regular season.
Fortunately, though, concerns surrounding Golden State’s inability to win on the road won’t be a factor in Games 1 and 2 of this series, as the Warriors now have the advantage of playing the first two matchups in their home building, where they rank 5th in the entire league in net rating (+7.7 NetRtg).
There’s no denying the fact that L. A.’s first round win over Memphis was an impressive feat, but for a variety of reasons, I’m still not quite ready to buy into a Lakers’ squad that ranked just 19th in offensive rating during the regular season (114 ORtg), and stayed true to that number in the opening round of the playoffs as well (112 ORtg).
The Lakers appear to be peaking at the right time, currently ranked 2nd in the entire league in net rating since the All-Star Break; however, L. A. ranked just 26th in three-point attempts per game and knocked them down at the sixth-worst clip during the regular season (31 3PA, 35% 3P), which certainly doesn’t bode well heading into a series against a Warriors’ squad that leads the league in long-range attempts per game and also ranks Top 10 in three-point percentage (43 3PA, 39% 3P).
Score Prediction: Warriors 116, Lakers 107
Best Bet: Warriors -4.5 (-110)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS vs. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING ODDS
LOS ANGELES LAKERS vs. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING RESOURCES
Date: Tuesday, May 2, 2023
Venue: Chase Center
Location: San Francisco, California
TV-Time: TNT, 10:00 p.m. ET
NBA Finals Betting Odds
LOS ANGELES LAKERS vs. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING STATS
Los Angeles Lakers
Golden State Warriors
Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)
LOS ANGELES LAKERS vs. GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING TRENDS
- The Lakers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of the Lakers' last five games.
- The Lakers are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in four of Golden State's last six games.
- The Warriors are 4-1 SU in their last five games.
- The Warriors are 14-2 SU in their last 16 home games.
- The Lakers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven matchups against Golden State.
- The Lakers are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games against Golden State.
- The Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games.
- The Lakers are 5-15 SU in their last 20 road games against Golden State.
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