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Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:58 PM

Game 6 Props - Best Bets

The 2019 NBA Finals continue Thursday with Game 6 between the Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors from Oracle Arena. 

Similar to the first five games of this series, we're providing an alternative betting option for those that are hesitant to back either the side or total in Game 6. 

If you've been following these pieces since Game 1 and backing our experts, we're assuming you're in a good spot and your bankroll has grown exponentially. 

Through five games, the overall numbers from our trio sits at 25-13 (66%) for a profit of $2,410

In Game 5, the group went 6-2 ($977.50) and both Chris David and Kevin Rogers kept their hot streaks rolling. 

Game 1 Results
Game 2 Results
Game 3 Results
Game 4 Results
Game 5 Results

Chris David: 13-2 (+2,160)
Kevin Rogers: 8-3 (+1,215)
Tony Mejia: 4-8 (-965)

Based on a five-unit bankroll, their top props with analysis are listed for Game 6 below.

Chris David

3 Units – Over 32 Kawhi Leonard Total Points (-115)

This will be the first time in this series that I’m touching any prop associated with Leonard but I’m expecting Toronto to win and in order to do so, he’s going to have to produce and he’s done so on the road in this year’s playoffs. In two trips to Oracle Arena in the finals, he’s scored 30 and 36 points and his road scoring averages versus the Bucks (32.3 PPG) and 76ers (33.6) both eclipse Thursday’s number posted by the books. The attempts will certainly be there and so will his trips to the free throw line as well. A big performance will close out this series and will also help Kawhi capture his second Finals MVP.

1 Unit – Over 2 ½ Fred VanVleet Total Made 3-Point Field Goals (+100)

We connected on Over 1 ½ triples for VanVleet on Monday and the juice was -145. For Thursday, the books pushed it up to -225 at the same number. Rather than lay the healthy price, I’ll go even-money and look for three treys from the former Wichita State standout. In his last seven playoff games, he’s hit that mark (3) or highr in four games and finished with 2, 2 and 1 in the others. Nearly 60 percent of his field goal attempts (9.8) in this series have come from distance (5.8) and his minutes continue to increase. Look for his great postseason run to finish strong for the Shocker.

1 Unit – Under 7 Klay Thompson Total Rebounds & Assists (-115)

Since I’m leaning Toronto, my handicap on Klay Thompson was tied into his playoff losses. In the six setbacks that he played in this postseason, he was held to combined rebounds and assists of 5, 6, 8, 10, 5 and 5. The high number (10) came against Houston in Game 3, which went to overtime as he racked up a playoff-high 46 minutes. For those expecting Golden State to win in Game 6, make a note that his ‘over/under’ record on this Thompson rebound-assist prop is 4-4 with two pushes in 10 victories for the Warriors. I’ll play the loss percentages and go ‘under’ here.

Kevin Rogers

3 Units - Under 2 ½ Kyle Lowry Total Made 3-Pointers (-145)

Since knocking down five three-pointers in Game 3, Lowry has been dreadful from downtown the last two games by shooting 1-of-10, including bricking the potential game-winning three-pointer in Game 5. In two games of the NBA Finals, Lowry has shot 50% from the floor, but in the other three contests he has hit 36% or fewer of his shots. Toronto misfired on 24-of-32 three-point attempts in Game 5 as it will be tough for Lowry to hit a trio of trifectas in Game 6.

2 Units - Over 8 ½ Stephen Curry Total Made Free Throws (Even)

With Kevin Durant out, Curry will once again take over as the main scoring threat for the Warriors. Curry is one of the greatest free throw shooters in NBA history, so this prop is basically about him getting to the foul line. If he gets fouled shooting five times, he will cash this prop. So far in the series, Curry has knocked down more than nine free throws in only two games, but he has converted 7 and 8 free throws in two other Finals contests.

Tony Mejia

2 Units - Over 32 ½ Draymond Green Total Points, Rebounds and Assists (-115)

Rallying to win this series will hinge on Green avoiding foul trouble in this contest and producing at an extremely high level. He's played at least 40 minutes in every game and can't afford to be whistled for a technical foul or he'll miss Game 7 due to an accumulation of seven throughout this postseason. Green has averaged just under 13 points, 9.2 rebounds and 8.6 assists in the series and hasn't really played well, so he'll need to outperform that production tonight. With him back to being the frontcourt catalyst due to the absence of Kevin Durant and Kevon Looney unlikely to play major minutes, expect a triple-double and at least 15 points.

2 Units - Over 14 ½ Serge Ibaka Total Points and Rebounds (-115)

Even though Marc Gasol has been excellent throughout the series, Ibaka has been an x-factor replacing him off the bench to give the Raptors a more mobille option at center, allowing them to push pace. After a quiet series opener, he's averaged 12 points, 6.3 rebounds and 2.3 blocks in just over 19 minutes of action. If either Gasol or Pascal Siakam land in foul trouble, he should see even more time on the floor and is playing with confidence, making this a great prop to back that should produce a winner for the third straight game.

1 Unit - Over 31 ½ Klay Thompson Total Points, Rebounds and Assists (-125)

The Raptors will again likely sell out to stop Stephen Curry, so an aggressive Thompson will have plenty of touches and opportunities to impact this game. Although he sat out Game 3 with a hamstring injury, the less heralded of the Splash Brothers is averaging 26.3 points, 4.7 rebounds and 3.7 assists over the last three contests and will come up with another big game to try and ensure the series makes it to Sunday.

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