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NBA

Mar 04, 2020

Wednesday's NBA Betting Tip Sheet - March 4

(SU - Straight-up Record, ATS - Against the Spread Record, O/U - Over/Under Record)

Boston Celtics (-2, 216) at Cleveland Cavaliers
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse – 7:05 p.m. ET

BOS: 41-19 SU, 37-21-2 ATS, 28-32 O/U
CLE: 17-44 SU, 27-32-2 ATS, 34-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
BOS: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U
CLE: 4-6 SU, 6-3-1 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Celtics seek the season sweep of the Cavaliers after winning each of the first three matchups, including a pair of double-digit victories at TD Garden. Boston has captured the last seven meetings, while owning a 4-2-1 ATS mark in those wins.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Boston has covered four consecutive road games and eight of its last 11 away from TD Garden.

-- The Cavaliers are riding a 9-3 run to the ‘over’ in their last 12 home contests, including a 7-1 ‘over’ mark in the last eight home games with totals of 230 or less.

Oklahoma City Thunder (-7 ½, 211) at Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena – 7:05 p.m. ET

OKC: 37-24 SU, 38-23 ATS, 28-32-1 O/U
DET: 20-42 SU, 24-37-1 ATS, 36-25-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
OKC: 6-4 SU, 4-6 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U
DET: 2-8 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-5-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Thunder held off the Pistons, 108-101 as 13-point home favorites on February 7. That marked the fourth straight win by Oklahoma City over Detroit since January 2018, but the Pistons picked up their first cover after three consecutive ATS defeats.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Oklahoma City has won nine of its last 10 road games with the only loss coming at Milwaukee last Friday night. Only two of those games came with no rest, an overtime victory against the Nets on January 7 and the 133-86 rout at the hands of the Bucks on February 28.

-- The Pistons are 2-7 SU/ATS in their last nine home games, but Detroit has covered in seven of its past 10 contests against Western Conference opponents.

Indiana Pacers at Milwaukee Bucks (-11, 222)
Fiserv Forum – 7:05 p.m. ET

IND: 37-24 SU, 32-27-2 ATS, 32-28-1 O/U
MIL: 52-9 SU, 35-26 ATS, 29-31-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
IND: 6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 5-5 O/U
MIL: 8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS, 4-6 O/U

Head-to-Head:

Milwaukee dominated Indiana in the first two meetings this season with victories by 19 and 26 points. The Pacers took care of the Bucks in their last matchup prior to the All-Star break, 118-111 at home, but MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo sat out for Milwaukee.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Pacers have lost their last four games in the role of a road underdog, while covering only once in a one-point defeat at Toronto on February 5 as 5 ½-point ‘dogs. Indiana has one outright victory as a road ‘dog of four points or more, which came at Orlando on November 10.

-- The Bucks have yet to lose consecutive games this season by posting an 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS record off a defeat.

Orlando Magic at Miami Heat (-7 ½, 219)
American Airlines Arena – 7:35 p.m. ET

ORL: 27-34 SU, 27-32-2 ATS, 29-29-3 O/U
MIA: 39-22 SU, 32-27-2 ATS, 37-23-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
ORL: 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 8-1-1 O/U
MIA: 5-5 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U

Head-to-Head:

These Sunshine State rivals are meeting for the final time in the regular season as the Heat have won the last two meetings after Orlando dominated Miami by 20 points in their first matchup. All three games have been decided by double-digits and have each finished ‘under’ the total.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Magic have drilled the ‘over’ in eight consecutive games, while their last road ‘under’ came in a 113-92 loss at Miami on January 27 on a 207 ½ total.

-- The Heat own a 1-6 SU and 1-5-1 ATS off an outright win as an underdog with the only win coming over the Knicks, 129-114 on December 20 after winning at Philadelphia two nights prior.

Memphis Grizzlies at Brooklyn Nets (-1 ½, 223)
Barclays Center – 7:35 p.m. ET

MEM: 30-31 SU, 32-28-1 ATS, 29-32 O/U
BKN: 27-33 SU, 29-31 ATS, 30-29-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
MEM: 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS, 3-7 O/U
BKN: 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Grizzlies shocked the Nets with a buzzer-beating three-pointer in a thrilling 134-133 overtime triumph on October 27 as four-point home underdogs. Brooklyn is 4-2 in the last six meetings with Memphis as the two wins by the Grizzlies have come in overtime.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- In the last three instances off consecutive wins, the Grizzlies are 3-0 to the ‘over,’ with all three of those games coming away from FedEx Forum.

-- The Nets shocked the Celtics in overtime last night after erasing a 17-point fourth quarter deficit, but Brooklyn has not fared well without rest this season by going 2-6 SU and 3-5 ATS.

Utah Jazz (-8, 219) at New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden – 7:30 p.m. ET

UTA: 38-22 SU, 29-29-2 ATS, 32-28 O/U
NY: 19-42 SU, 32-28-1 ATS, 28-32-1 O/U

Last 10 games:
UTA: 6-4 SU, 4-5-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U
NY: 4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 6-3-1 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Jazz rolled past the Knicks, 128-104 in Salt Lake City as 14-point favorites on January 8 for their third consecutive win in the series. The ‘over’ has hit in eight straight matchups since January 2016, but tonight’s total is the highest during this stretch.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Since January 27, Utah has been one of the worst ATS teams in the league by posting a 4-10-1 ATS mark the last 14 games, which includes 2-10-1 ATS record in the role of a favorite.

-- The Knicks have actually been profitable at home recently by covering seven of the last 10 games at Madison Square Garden, although only two of those victories came outright as an underdog.

Chicago Bulls at Minnesota Timberwolves (-3 ½, 229 ½)
Target Center – 8:05 p.m. ET

CHI: 21-40 SU, 27-33-1 ATS, 33-28 O/U
MIN: 18-42 SU, 21-37-2 ATS, 35-25 O/U

Last 10 games:
CHI: 2-8 SU, 4-6 ATS, 7-3 O/U
MIN: 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS, 8-2 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Bulls took care of the Timberwolves, 117-110 at United Center on January 22, snapping a three-game skid to Minnesota dating back to February 2018.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- Chicago doesn’t win back-to-back games often, coming off the two-point victory over Dallas on Monday. The Bulls are 1-8 in their last nine contests off a win, while managing only two covers against Milwaukee and Oklahoma City in losses.

-- Since covering four straight games in early January, the Wolves are 0-6 ATS in their last six games off an ATS win after knocking off New Orleans last night, 139-134 as 11-point ‘dogs.

New Orleans Pelicans at Dallas Mavericks (-5 ½, 238 ½)
American Airlines Center – 9:35 p.m. ET

NO: 26-35 SU, 30-29-2 ATS, 35-26 O/U
DAL: 37-25 SU, 33-26-3 ATS, 38-24 O/U

Last 10 games:
NO: 6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS, 7-3 O/U
DAL: 6-4 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Mavericks seek the season sweep of the Pelicans tonight, but top pick Zion Williamson didn’t play in any of those losses for New Orleans. The last two wins for Dallas came by 21 and 46 points, as the Mavericks avenged a 3-1 season series loss from last season.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- New Orleans owns a 7-3-1 ATS record in its last 11 games as a road underdog, but the Pelicans lost by 35 points the last time they played on the highway with no rest at Boston on January 11.

-- The Mavericks are 7-1 ATS in their previous eight games off an ATS defeat, while their last four wins in this situation have come by double-digits.

Washington Wizards at Portland Trail Blazers (-7 ½, 239 ½)
Moda Center – 10:05 p.m. ET

WSH: 22-38 SU, 30-28-2 ATS, 36-23-1 O/U
POR: 27-35 SU, 25-35-2 ATS, 35-27 O/U

Last 10 games:
WSH: 4-6 SU, 5-4-1 ATS, 6-4 O/U
POR: 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS, 6-4 O/U

Head-to-Head:

The Trail Blazers dominated the Wizards in D.C. on January 3 as 7 ½-point favorites, 122-103, marking the sixth straight victory by the road team in this series since 2017.

Betcha Didn’t Know:

-- The Wizards are 7-1 ATS this season on the second end of a back-to-back, coming off last night’s loss at Sacramento. Washington is also riding an 8-1 run to the ‘over’ in its past nine road contests.

-- The Blazers have won seven of their last eight games in the favorite role, but Portland has covered the spread only four times in this span.

You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at [email protected]

Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.

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