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Last Updated Dec 25, 2021, 03:00 AM

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Predictions, Odds, Picks

Dec. 25, 2021
Michael Crosson
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

NBA Christmas action will conclude on Saturday night with a compelling Western Conference matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and Utah Jazz. Coverage begins from Vivint Arena at 10:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Jazz 118, Mavericks 105

Best Bets

Jazz -12.5 (-110) at DraftKings

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Predictions

After finishing first in the West with a record of 52-20 SU last year, Utah stumbled out to a surprisingly pedestrian start to the new season, as the Jazz went just 8-5 SU and 7-6 ATS across their first 13 contests – despite being favored in all 13 of those matchups.

The Jazz have dominated consistently since that point though, considering Utah enters Christmas Day 14-4 SU and 9-7 ATS across the last 18 games – with ten of those victories coming by ten points or more.

On the other hand, Dallas jumped out to a strong start to this season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a solid 9-4 SU run – but winning didn’t come particularly easy across that stretch though, considering Dallas went just 5-8 ATS across that same timeframe.

Injuries, along with a strengthened schedule, have quickly caught up with Dallas in November and December though, considering the Mavericks are just 6-12 SU and 8-10 ATS since their strong start – while getting tagged as favorites in just seven of those matchups.

I’ll lay the points with Utah here, as the Jazz are just 8-2 SU and 4-6 ATS across the last nine games – but their recent struggles ATS shouldn’t matter much at home against a short-handed Mavs’ squad on Christmas night.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Betting Odds

  • Jazz -1000
  • Mavericks +650
  • Jazz -12.5 (-110)
  • Mavericks +12.5 (-110)
  • Over 214 (-110)
  • Under 214 (-110)

More Odds | Futures Odds

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southwest vs. Northwest
  • Date: Saturday, December 25, 2021
  • Venue: Vivint Arena
  • Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
  • TV-Time: ABC/ESPN - 8:00 p.m. ET

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 15-16
  • ATS: 14-17
  • O/U: 10-20-1

After a disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas posted a somewhat encouraging start to the new season, as the Mavericks opened with wins in seven of their first ten games – before ultimately suffering some critical injuries, leading to their plummet all the way down to 15-16 SU and 10-20-1 ATS.

The Mavericks are a very dangerous squad at full strength, as their various dynamic scoring threats enables them to keep things competitive against virtually any opponent – but with several key scoring options potentially sidelined for Saturday’s affair, Dallas’ lack in depth should ultimately show through.

Utah Jazz Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 22-9
  • ATS: 16-15
  • O/U: 16-14-1

The Jazz have easily been one of the league’s most consistent squads across the last few seasons, which they mainly attribute to a very simple formula – efficient shooting and solid defense.

The Jazz currently lead the league in both scoring and offensive efficiency (115.4 PPG, 1.138 OE), and when stellar shooting is combined with Utah’s sixth-ranked defensive efficiency rating (1.035 DE) – consistency is rarely an issue.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Head-to-Head

The Jazz won two-of-three regular-season meetings against Dallas last year, with all three of those matchups staying under the total set for Saturday’s affair at an average of 218.3 PPG.

Key Players to Watch

  • DAL: Kristaps Porzingis - PF (19.4 PPG, 7.9 REB, 2 AST)
  • DAL: Jalen Brunson - PG (15.3 PPG, 3.9 REB, 5.2 AST)
  • UTA: Donovan Mitchell - SG (25 PPG, 3.8 REB, 5 AST)
  • UTA: Rudy Gobert - C (15.4 PPG, 15 REB, 2.2 BLK)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Betting Conclusion

The Jazz won two-of-three regular-season meetings against Dallas last year, with all three of those matchups staying under the total set for Saturday’s affair at an average of 218.3 PPG.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Utah Jazz Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
  • The Jazz are 9-1 SU in their last ten matchups against Dallas.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the last 11 Mavericks' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the last six matchups between the Jazz and Mavericks.


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