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Dec 27, 2021

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Predictions, Odds, Picks

Dec. 28, 2021
Michael Crosson
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

Nationally televised NBA coverage will resume on Tuesday night with a somewhat lopsided Eastern Conference matchup between the Washington Wizards and Miami Heat. Coverage begins from FTX Arena at 7:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

Score Prediction

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Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Predictions

After finishing eighth in the East with a record of 34-38 SU last year, Washington managed to keep that same ball rolling with another excellent start to this season, as the Wizards opened with an impressive 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS run – despite being favored in just six of those affairs.

Washington’s marginal depth has been on full display since mid-November though, considering the Wizards are just 7-13 SU and 5-14-1 ATS since their exceptional start – with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

On the other hand, Miami also jumped out to a solid start to the new season, as the Heat kicked things off 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS across their first 16 games – with nine of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

After a brief nine-game lull to open December though (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), Miami is seemingly right back in the saddle, considering the Heat are 7-2 SU and 5-4 ATS across their last nine games – which includes tough upset victories over the Bucks, Bulls, and Sixers.

I’ll lay the points with Miami here, as the Wizards have been extremely difficult to trust lately, currently sitting at 3-8 SU and 2-8-1 ATS across the last 11 games – and the absence of Bradley Beal certainly doesn’t make them any more trustworthy.

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Betting Odds

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Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southeast
  • Date: Tuesday, December 28, 2021
  • Venue: FTX Arena
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • TV-Time: NBATV - 7:30 p.m. ET

Washington Wizards Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 17-16
  • ATS: 14-18-1
  • O/U: 16-16-1

After their best regular-season showing in four years (34-48 SU), the Wizards were seemingly presented with an offer they couldn’t refuse prior to the start of this season, as Washington ended up dealing All-Star point-guard Russell Westbrook and a pair of second-rounders in exchange for Montrezl Harrell, Kyle Kuzma, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, and a first-rounder.

The swap worked exceptionally well to start, as Washington opened with a sturdy 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS run – but like other middle-to-low tier squads, the Wizards are currently suffering from enormous depth issues due to various health reasons – resulting in losses in eight of their last 11 games.

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 21-13
  • ATS: 19-15
  • O/U: 19-15

After finishing sixth in the East with a record of 40-32 SU last year, the Heat made some significant roster changes during the offseason to better suit their needs at the offensive end, as Miami shipped Goran Dragic and Precious Achiuwa to Toronto in exchange for All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry through a blockbuster deal.

At first, the acquisition worked out flawlessly for Miami, as the Heat kicked things off with a solid 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS run – with their only ATS losses coming in tough matchups against the Pacers, Lakers, Nuggets, and Celtics.

Miami fell into a brief slump near the calendar turn from November to December (3-6 SU), but since then, the Heat have played excellent basketball – boasting wins in seven of their last nine games, with four of those victories coming in matchups they were underdogs in.

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Head-to-Head

The Wizards and Heat split a two-game weekend set back in November, with Washington winning the first matchup, which went over the total at a score of 112-97 (O 206) – while Miami won the second and stayed under at a score of 103-100 (U 207).

Key Players to Watch

  • WSH: Kyle Kuzma - PF (12.8 PPG, 7.9 REB, 2.8 AST)
  • WSH: Spencer Dinwiddie - PG (12.8 PPG, 5 REB, 5.4 AST)
  • MIA: Jimmy Butler - SF (22.5 PPG, 6.1 REB, 5.2 AST)
  • MIA: Tyler Herro - SG (20.2 PPG, 4.9 REB, 3.9 AST)

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Betting Conclusion

After picking up a third straight victory on Sunday night, the Heat enter Tuesday’s contest as generous home favorites over the visiting Wizards – marking the fifth straight game Washington has been an underdog in.

I’ll lay the points with the Heat here, as Washington is really feeling the sting from health absences at the moment, currently sitting at 3-8 SU and 2-8-1 across the last 11 games – while Miami is finally getting back on track, boasting records of 7-2 SU and 5-4 ATS across their last nine.

Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat Betting Trends

  • The Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The Heat are 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
  • The Wizards are 3-8 SU in their last 11 matchups against Miami.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 15 meetings between Washington and Miami.


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