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Last Updated Feb 26, 2022, 00:28 AM

Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks Predictions, Picks, and Odds

Nationally televised NBA coverage will resume on Friday night with a compelling Eastern Conference matchup between the Miami Heat and New York Knicks. Coverage begins from Madison Square Garden at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Heat 110, Knicks 102

Best Bets

Heat -5.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Knicks vs. Heat Predictions

After finishing fourth in the East with a record of 41-31 SU last year, New York briefly kept that same ball rolling with another strong start to this season, as the Knicks opened with a sturdy 11-9 SU and 9-11 ATS run– which included tough victories over the Sixers (2), Bucks, Hawks, Bulls, and Lakers.

The Knicks have looked like a shell of that squad since mid-November though, considering New York entered the All-Star Break riding a rocky 14-25 SU skid – despite getting tagged as favorites in 18 of those contests.

On the other hand, Miami also posted a strong start to the season, as the Heat kicked things off with a solid 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch – with nine of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Aside from a brief nine-game lull to open December (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), Miami has maintained a similar pace through February too, considering the Heat enter Friday boasting records of 24-10 SU and 19-14-1 ATS across their last 34 games – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 12 of those contests.

I’ll lay the points with Miami here, as the Heat are 6-1 SU and 4-2-1 ATS in their last seven games, while scoring 110.6 OPPG and allowing 100.4 DPPG during that timeframe – likely presenting a steep uphill battle for a Knicks squad that’s averaging just 106.3 OPPG across their latest 3-13 SU skid.

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Odds

More Odds | Futures Odds

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southeast vs. Atlantic
  • Date: Friday, February 25, 2022
  • Venue: Madison Square Garden
  • Location: New York City, NY
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

  • SU: 38-21
  • ATS: 33-25-1
  • O/U: 35-24

After last year’s relatively underwhelming 40-32 SU showing, the Heat made significant moves during the offseason to better suit needs at the offensive end – primarily highlighted by the groundbreaking acquisition of All-Star point guard Kyle Lowry.

The acquisition worked out flawlessly to start, as Miami kicked off the year with a sturdy 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with the Heat’s only ATS losses during that timeframe coming in tough matchups against the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets, and Celtics.

The depth that Miami sacrificed in order to acquire Lowry was briefly exposed in November though, as a revolving door of health and safety concerns spiraled Miami into a frustrating 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid – but depth certainly hasn’t been an issue recently, considering the Heat sit 24-10 SU across their last 34 games.

New York Knicks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 25-34
  • ATS: 26-33
  • O/U: 28-31

New York seemingly caught the East by surprise last season, as the Knicks finished fourth in the conference with a sturdy record of 41-31 SU – before inevitably getting outmatched from top to bottom by the Hawks in the first round of the playoffs.

The Knicks haven’t caught anybody off guard this time around though, considering New York ranks 12th in the East straight-up with a record of 25-34 SU, and 11th against the spread with a record of 26-33 ATS – despite getting tagged as favorites in 32 matchups so far this season.

The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine matchups against New York.

Heat vs. Knicks Head-to-Head

The Heat swept a three-game regular-season set against New York last year, with all three matchups staying under the total at an average of 197.3 PPG. The most recent meeting between these teams took place back in January of this season though, which resulted in another low-scoring victory for Miami (110-96).

Key Players to Watch

  • MIA: Jimmy Butler - SF (21.8 PPG, 6.4 REB, 6 AST)
  • MIA: Bam Adebayo - C (18.6 PPG, 10.2 REB, 3.5 AST)
  • NYK: Julius Randle - PF (19.8 PPG, 10.2 REB, 5.2 AST)
  • NYK: Evan Fournier - SG (14.5 PPG, 2.9 REB, 1.9 AST)

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Conclusion

After heading into All-Star Weekend riding a three-game losing streak, the Knicks enter Friday’s contest as five-point home underdogs against the Heat at Madison Square Garden – marking the sixth time New York has been an underdog across their last nine games.

I’ll lay the points with Miami here, as the Knicks enter Friday riding a rocky 3-13 SU and 5-11 ATS skid, while scoring just 106.3 PPG during that timeframe – setting the stage for a tough home matchup against a Heat squad that’s scored 110+ PTS in four of their last five games (111.6 PPG).

Heat vs. Knicks Betting Trends

  • The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last nine matchups against New York.
  • The Knicks are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven Heat' games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Knicks' games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last six matchups between Miami and New York.
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