Dallas Mavericks vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Predictions, Picks, Odds

Regular-season NBA action will resume on Friday night with a heavyweight Western Conference bout between the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves. Coverage begins from Target Center in Minneapolis at 8:00 p.m. ET.

Score Prediction

Mavericks 112, Timberwolves 110

Best Bets

Under 228.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Predictions

After finishing 13th in the West with a record of 23-49 SU last year, Minnesota briefly sustained that same lethargic pace with another lackluster start to this season, as the Timberwolves opened with a disappointing 11-15 SU skid – while scoring just 107.7 OPPG across that span.

The Wolves have played excellent since mid-December though, considering Minnesota enters Friday riding a sturdy 31-17 SU and 29-17-2 ATS run – while tallying 119.5 OPPG and allowing 116.1 DPPG across that timeframe.

On the other hand, Dallas also stumbled out to a relatively poor start to this season, as the Mavericks kicked things off with a lackluster 16-18 SU and 13-21 ATS skid – with five of those SU losses coming matchups they were favored in.

Dallas has admirably ridden the coattail of its defense since that opening skid though, considering the Mavericks boast sturdy records of 29-10 SU and 25-14 ATS across their last 39 games – while allowing just 103.2 DPPG to their opponents during that span.

I’ll take the under here, as the Wolves are 11-4 SU and ATS in their last 15 games, while generating 124.3 OPPG and surrendering 113.8 DPPG during that timeframe – likely presenting an unfavorable road matchup for a Mavs’ squad that’s averaging just 105.2 OPPG across their latest 5-5 ATS stretch.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Odds

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Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southwest vs. Northwest
  • Date: Friday, March 25, 2022
  • Venue: Target Center
  • Location: Minneapolis, MN
  • TV-Time: NBA League Pass - 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Dallas Mavericks Betting Analysis

  • SU: 45-28
  • ATS: 40-32-1
  • O/U: 25-47-1

After another disappointing first-round exit from last year’s playoffs, Dallas briefly kept that same ball rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Mavericks opened with a lackluster 16-18 and 13-21 ATS stretch – with ten of those losses coming by seven points or more.

However, Dallas has found success by leaning on its defense recently, considering the Mavericks enter Friday riding an impressive 29-10 SU run – despite scoring just 108.1 OPPG during that timeframe.

Minnesota Timberwolves Betting Analysis

  • SU: 42-32
  • ATS: 40-32-2
  • O/U: 44-30

After last year’s lackluster 23-49 SU showing, Minnesota briefly kept that same ball rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Wolves opened with a frustrating 11-15 SU and ATS skid – with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

Minnesota quickly turned things around in December though, highlighted by the Wolves boasting records of 31-17 SU and 29-17-2 ATS stretch – despite getting tagged as underdogs in 20 of those matchups.

The Wolves are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games. (AP)

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Head-to-Head

The Mavericks won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Minnesota last year, with all three contests soaring over the total at an average of 247.3 PPG. Dallas is also 2-1 SU against Minnesota this season, with the first two matchups going over low totals at an average of 216 PPG – while their most recent meeting stayed under with a score of 110-108 (U 229).

Key Players to Watch

  • DAL: Jalen Brunson - PG (16.2 PPG, 3.7 REB, 5 AST)
  • DAL: Luka Doncic - PG (27.9 PPG, 9.1 REB, 8.6 AST)
  • MIN: Karl-Anthony Towns - C (24.7 PPG, 9.9 REB, 3.7 AST)
  • MIN: Anthony Edwards - SG (21 PPG, 4.7 REB, 3.7 AST)

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Conclusion

After posting back-to-back home wins over Minnesota and Houston, the Mavericks hit the road for Friday’s contest as short underdogs against the Timberwolves at Target Center – marking the fourth time Minnesota has been an underdog across their last seven games.

I’ll take the under here, as the Mavericks are 5-3 SU and 4-4 ATS in their last eight games, while scoring just 103.4 OPPG and surrendering 106.1 DPPG during that span – setting the stage for a tough road matchup against a Wolves’ squad that’s averaging 124.3 OPPG across their latest 11-4 ATS run.

Mavericks vs. Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • The Mavericks are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.
  • The Wolves are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the last nine Mavericks' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the last nine Wolves' games.
  • The Mavericks are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 matchups against Minnesota.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the last six matchups between Minnesota and Dallas.