Last Updated May 20, 2022, 12:58 PM

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Predictions, Picks, Odds

Nationally televised NBA action will resume on Wednesday night with a heavyweight Eastern Conference bout between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics. Coverage begins from TD Garden at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Score Prediction

Celtics 116, Heat 108

Best Bets

Celtics -5 (-110) at DraftKings

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Heat vs. Celtics Predictions

After finishing seventh in the East with a record of 36-36 SU last year, Boston briefly kept that same ball rolling with another lackluster start to this season, as the Celtics opened with a frustrating 15-20 SU and ATS skid – with ten of those SU losses coming by double-digits.

However, Boston has admirably flipped the script since mid-January, considering the Celtics enter Wednesday riding an impressive 32-9 SU and 26-14-1 ATS stretch – while tallying 112.9 OPPG and allowing just 101.7 DPPG across that window.

On the other hand, Miami also posted an excellent start to the season, as the Heat kicked things off with a sturdy 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch – with nine of those SU victories coming by 10+ PTS.

Aside from their brief nine-game December skid though (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS), the Heat have carried that same momentum all the way through March too, considering Miami boasts sturdy records of 34-17 SU and 27-23-1 ATS across their last 51 games – while ranking sixth in defensive efficiency and 11th in offensive efficiency during that timeframe (1.096 OE, 1.054 DE).

I’ll back Boston here, as the Celtics are 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games, while generating 119.2 OPPG and allowing just 105.1 DPPG during that span – likely presenting an uphill road battle for a Heat squad that’s averaging 107.5 OPPG across their latest 3-5 SU skid.

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Odds

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Heat vs. Celtics Betting Resources

  • Matchup: Southeast vs. Atlantic
  • Date: Wednesday, March 30, 2022
  • Venue: TD Garden
  • Location: Boston, MA
  • TV-Time: ESPN - 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Injury Report

Miami Heat Betting Analysis

  • SU: 48-28
  • ATS: 41-34-1
  • O/U: 45-31

After last year’s underwhelming 40-32 SU showing, Miami made some bold offseason acquisitions in order to better suit needs at the offensive end – primarily highlighted by the acquisition of six-time All-Star Kyle Lowry.

The transition went seamlessly at first, as the Heat kicked things off with an impressive 11-5 SU and 12-4 ATS stretch, with Miami’s only ATS losses across that span coming in tough matchups against the Lakers, Clippers, Nuggets, and Celtics.

The depth that Miami sacrificed to acquire Lowry was briefly exposed in November though, considering a revolving door of health and safety concerns spiraled Miami into a brief 3-6 SU and 2-7 ATS skid. However, depth hasn’t been much of an issue down the stretch, considering Miami enters Wednesday riding a sturdy 34-17 SU, 27-23-1 ATS run.

Boston Celtics Betting Analysis

  • SU: 47-29
  • ATS: 41-34-1
  • O/U: 36-38-2

After finishing seventh in the East with a record of 36-36 SU this year, Boston stumbled out to a similarly underwhelming start to this season, as the Celtics opened with a lackluster 15-20 SU skid – despite getting tagged as favorites in 22 of those contests.

However, Boston has primarily turned things around through excellent defense, considering the Celtics enter Wednesday riding an impressive 32-9 SU stretch, while scoring 114+ PTS in 20 of those contests (112.9 OPPG) – and allowing 100 PTS or less in 20 of them (101.7 DPPG).

The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games. (AP)

Heat vs. Celtics Head-to-Head

Miami won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Boston last year, with both Heat’ victories soaring over the total at an average of – OPPG, while the Celtics’ lone win stayed under with a score of 107-105 (U 217). However, the Celtics are 2-0 SU against Miami this season, with the first matchup staying well under the total at a score of 95-78 (U 213) – while the second went over with a score of 122-92 (O 210).

Key Players to Watch

  • MIA: Jimmy Butler - SF (21.2 PPG, 6 REB, 5.6 AST)
  • MIA: Tyler Herro - SG (20.8 PPG, 4.8 REB, 3.9 AST)
  • BOS: Jayson Tatum - SF (27.1 PPG, 8.1 REB, 4.3 AST)
  • BOS: Jaylen Brown - SG (23.4 PPG, 6.1 REB, 3.2 AST)

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Conclusion

After having a six-game win streak snapped in Toronto on Monday night (L 115-112 OT), the Celtics return home for Wednesday’s contest as short favorites over the Heat at TD Garden – marking just the second time Miami has been an underdog across their last 13 games.

I’ll back Boston here, as the Heat are 3-5 SU and 1-7 ATS in their last eight games, while scoring just 107.5 OPPG and surrendering 107.5 DPPG during that span 108.9 setting the stage for an unfavorable road matchup against a Celtics squad that’s averaging 119.2 OPPG across their latest 10-2 SU run.

Heat vs. Celtics Betting Trends

  • The Heat are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Heat' games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six straight Celtics' games.
  • The total has goneOVER in seven of the last nine matchups between Boston and Miami.
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