NBA Playoffs Player Props for Friday, May 6

Stuart Durst Sports Betting Expert

10 minute read

Prop betting expert Stuart Durst gives his top prop bets to consider for NBA Playoffs action on Friday, May 6. Check out his top play for the hardwood action below.

• Luka Doncic (DAL) Over 3.5 3PM + Jae Crowder (PHX) Over 0.5 3PM (-125) at FanDuel
• Luka Doncic (DAL) Over 2.5 3PM + Chris Paul (PHX) Over 0.5 Steals (-150) at DraftKings
• Jimmy Butler (MIA) Over 1.5 Steals (-135) at FanDuel

Updated on 04/25/2024

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Luka Doncic (DAL) Over 3.5 3PM + Jae Crowder (PHX) Over 0.5 3PM (-125)

Over 3.5 is juiced to -148, so I found another leg to bring the juice down. With the insane usage Luka Doncic has been getting I think he's in store for another huge game. The Mavericks are now down 0-2 in this series and are returning home for a must win game. In the first two games, he’s scored 35 and 45 points, going 5-10 and 4-11 from beyond the arc. In round 1, he had 10+ 3PA in every game and went over 3.5 in 2 of 3. The volume is just too hard to ignore, he’s gonna continue to take 10+ attempts, and down the stretch there aren't many more clutch shooters in the NBA. Sign me up for all the Luka I can get tonight. After starting slow in round 1, Jae Crowder is 3-5 from beyond the arc in both games this series. Crowder will continue to see heavy minutes, and have great opportunities for wide open shots (receiving passes from CP3 and Devin Booker is nice). 

Luka Doncic (DAL) Over 2.5 3PM + Chris Paul (PHX) Over 0.5 Steals (-150)

Obviously I never love paying the juice, but 100% playoff hit rate is also nice. When 1Q lines come out, I'll probably add a high hitrate play like Devin Booker 1 1Q rebound to bring it to + money for another play. Like I said before, I really do think its gonna be another Luka Doncic day. The Suns are one of the best teams at limiting opposing 3-point shooters, and are forcing Luka to get his, while limiting his teammates. Because of this, I think we continue to see Luka take 10+ 3PA. He has 3+ 3PM in every playoff game this postseason, and I don't see that stopping in a must win game. CP3 has been amazing this postseason, he averaged 1.7 steals per game vs the Mavericks in the regular season, and is averaging 1.6 so far in the postseason, with a steal in every game. 

Jimmy Butler (MIA) Over 1.5 Steals (-135)

We gotta keep riding this one. There is tons of uncertainty surrounding this game with injuries, but if there has been one constant over this series, its Jimmy Butler steals. So far he's averging 2.6 steals per game, recording 2 steals in only 30 minutes due to blowout in game 1, and 2 in 37 minutes in game 2. Whether its Harden and Maxey at the helm or Embiid, there is definitly gonna be added pressure considering this is a must win game for the team. Butler has 2+ steals in 6/6 games this postseason, and I expect him to continue that streak today. I also ended up adding PJ Tucker 1+ 3PM to this and getting +140, PJ has 1+ 3PM in both games this series.

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Stuart Durst

Stuart Durst, also known as @MonotoneFootbal on Twitter, is a writer and sports bettor specializing in the NFL, NBA and CFB. When he’s not writing for OddsChecker, he enjoys playing basketball and talking player props with his community. More from Stuart Durst