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Last Updated May 08, 2022, 20:21 PM

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions,Picks, Odds

The Western Conference Semi-Finals will resume on Saturday night with a critical Game 3 showdown between the Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors. Coverage begins from Chase Center in San Francisco at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

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Score Prediction

Warriors 114, Grizzlies 106

Best Bets

Under 225.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Predictions

After finishing ninth in the West with a record of 39-33 SU last year, Golden State immediately bounced back with a triumphant start to this season, as the Warriors opened with a red-hot 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 ATS run, with 14 of those victories coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Golden State was far less dominant in the combined presence of Steph Curry and Draymond Green, considering the Warriors closed the regular season with a relatively pedestrian 35-25 SU and 26-31-3 ATS stretch, with a massive chunk of those SU losses coming in the absence of Curry or Green (19).

On the other hand, Memphis posted a surprisingly mediocre start to the season, as the Grizzlies kicked things off with a lackluster 9-10 SU and 10-9 ATS skid, with nine of those SU losses coming by 10+ PTS.

However, Memphis has arguably been the hottest team in basketball since that opening skid, considering the Grizzlies enter Friday’s Game 3 riding an impressive 52-19 SU and 47-23-1 ATS run, while averaging 117 OPPG and allowing just 108.2 DPPG during that timeframe.

I’ll take the under here, as the total has gone over in 8-of-13 matchups containing either of these teams since the start of the postseason, which includes Golden State’s 117-116 victory in Game 1 (O 224); however, the pace of this series should continue to slow down between a Warriors squad that’s held its opponents to just 105.8 DPPG on the year, and a Grizzlies squad that’s allowed just 109.9 DPPG.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Odds

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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Resources

Memphis Grizzlies Betting Analysis

  • SU: 61-29
  • ATS: 57-32-1
  • O/U: 46-43-1

After finishing eighth in the West with a record of 38-34 SU last year, the Grizzlies briefly flew under the radar with a 9-10 SU start to this season, which inevitably left Memphis tagged as underdogs in seven-of-ten matchups to open December. However, the Grizzlies quickly stole the spotlight with a trio of upset victories and a sturdy 7-3 SU record across that stretch.

Memphis has been scorching hot since that point though, considering the Grizzlies have scored 117 OPPG and allowed 108.2 DPPG across their latest 52-19 SU stretch, which includes averages of 113.8 OPPG and 109.1 across eight postseason matchups.

Golden State Warriors Betting Analysis

  • SU: 57-31
  • ATS: 44-41-4
  • O/U: 40-47-2

After last year’s lackluster 39-33 SU showing, Golden State quickly bounced back wearing a chip on its shoulder to start this season, as the Warriors kicked things off with SU victories in 18 of their first 20 games, with their only two losses across that window coming by slim margins of four points or less.

However, Golden State’s success has primarily come through defense since mid-December, considering the Warriors enter Game 3 riding a relatively pedestrian 40-27 SU and 29-35-3 ATS stretch, while surrendering just 108.3 DPPG to their opponents during that span.

Golden State’s mantra has slightly altered since the return of Klay Thompson though, highlighted by the Warriors averaging roughly 114.8 OPPG across their 39 matchups since the five-time All-Star’s return.

The total has gone UNDER in nine of the last 13 matchups between Memphis and Golden State. (Getty Images)

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Head-to-Head

The Warriors won two-of-three regular-season matchups against Memphis last year, with all three contests staying under the total at an average of 215.7 PPG, before ultimately meeting again in the Play-In Tournament, which resulted in a thrilling overtime victory for the Grizzlies (117-112 OT, O 221).

However, Memphis went 3-1 SU against Golden State this season, with two of those meetings staying well under the total at an average of 211.5 PPG, while the other two barely cashed over tickets at an average of 220.5 PPG.

The first two matchups of this series were a wild ride though, as Golden State escaped FedExForum with a thrilling road win in Game 1 (117-116, O 224), while Game 2 resulted in a narrow home victory for Memphis (106-101, U 228).

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Key Players to Watch

  • MEM: Ja Morant - PG (27.4 PPG, 5.7 REB, 6.7 AST)
  • MEM: Desmond Bane - SF (18.2 PPG, 4.4 REB, 2.7 AST)
  • GSW: Klay Thompson - SG (20.4 PPG, 3.9 REB, 2.8 AST)
  • GSW: Steph Curry - PG (25.5 PPG, 5.2 REB, 6.3 AST)

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Conclusion

After evening the series with a gutsy 106-101 home victory in Game 2, the Grizzlies hit the road for Friday’s third contest as seven-point underdogs against the Warriors at Chase Center, which is much heavier than the number Golden State was favored by in the first two matchups of this series (GSW -2).

I’ll take the under here, as the Warriors and Grizzlies have been two of the highest scoring teams in the postseason so far, with Golden State currently averaging 115.4 OPPG and Memphis averaging 114.8 OPPG since the start of the playoffs; however, OU 226 is still an extremely lofty clip for a playoff matchup between the Warriors’ second-ranked defense (105.8 DPPG, 1.040 DE), and the Grizzlies’ fourth-ranked defense (109.9 DPPG, 1.051 DE).

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Betting Trends

  • The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
  • The Grizzlies are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the last eight Warriors' games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the last seven Grizzlies' games.
  • The Grizzlies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven matchups against Golden State.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the last 13 matchups between Memphis and Golden State.

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