Dallas Mavericks vs. New Orleans Pelicans Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Regular season NBA action will resume on Tuesday night with a compelling Western Conference showdown between the Dallas Mavericks and New Orleans Pelicans. Coverage begins from Smoothie King Center in New Orleans at 7:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Updated on 04/18/2024

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DALLAS MAVERICKS vs. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING PREDICTION

The Mavericks finished fourth in the West with a record of 52-30 last season, marking Dallas’ best regular season campaign since their title winning squad back in 2010-11, and their trip to the conference finals marks their deepest playoff run during that span as well. So, it’s safe to say the Mavericks had lofty expectations entering the season, but so far, they’ve lived up to them for the most part, as Dallas opened with a hard-fought 107-105 road loss to Phoenix, and then bounced back with a triumphant 137-96 home win over Memphis.

The Pelicans, on the other hand, were behind the 8-ball from the start last year, as Zion Williamson was forced to miss the entire season with a foot injury, which in turn, never really allowed them to settle into a rhythm at the either end of the floor, as New Orleans finished ninth in the West with a record of 36-46, while ranking 19^th in offensive rating and 20^th in defensive rating (112 ORtg, 113 DRtg). However, they flipped the script at both ends in their first three games of this season, as the Pelicans averaged 125 PPG on 48% FG and ranked 11^th in the league in defensive rating across a 2-1 split to open (108.8 DRtg), with their only loss coming a thrilling seesaw battle against Utah (L, 122-121).

I’ll back the Mavs to cover here, as the Pelicans looked excellent in their first three games of the season, especially at the offensive end, but with Zion and Brandon Ingram both dealing with injuries ahead of Tuesday’s contest, I think we’ll see Dallas post a comfortable road win in this matchup.

Score Prediction: Mavericks 116, Pelicans 108
Best Bet: Mavericks -4.5 (-110)

DALLAS MAVERICKS vs. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING ODDS

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DALLAS MAVERICKS vs. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Tuesday, Oct. 25, 2022
Matchup: Southwest
Venue: Smoothie King Center
Location: New Orleans, Louisiana
Time-TV: TNT, 7:30 p.m. ET

DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Mavericks earned the fourth seed in the West with a record of 52-30 last season, which finished 12 games behind Phoenix for the top seed in the conference, however, the second and third seeds both sat within striking distance, as Memphis finished the year 56-26 and Golden State finished 53-29.

It wasn’t always pretty for the Mavs, as Dallas finished the year ranked 24^th in scoring and 19^th in team shooting percentage at the offensive end (108 PPG, 46% FG). However, when you also surrender less than 105 PPG and rank sixth in the league in defensive rating (109.4 DRtg), you can still be very successful in this league. But make no mistake, the Mavs are still capable of holding their own in a shootout, and they reminded us of that again by racking up 137 PTS on 50% FG in a blowout win over the Grizzlies this past Saturday.

NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Pelicans finished ninth in the West with a record of 36-46 last season, however, thanks to the Play-In Tournament, New Orleans earned the eighth seed in the conference by posting tough wins over the Spurs and Clippers, and surprisingly, they also put up a decent fight in a 4-2 loss to the top-seeded Suns in the opening round of the playoffs, all in the absence of Williamson.

So, in theory, the Pelicans should be much better with Williamson back in action, and they looked great in their first three games of the season, however, availability has been a major issue for this team the last few years, and it appears this season will be no different, highlighted by Ingram and Williamson both landing on the injury report just three games into their campaign.

DALLAS MAVERICKS vs. NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING TRENDS

• The total has gone OVER in four of Dallas' last six games.
• The Mavs are 2-5 SU in their last seven games.
• The Mavs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against New Orleans.
• The total has gone OVER in seven of New Orleans' last eight games.
• The total has gone OVER in 12 of New Orleans' last 18 games against Dallas.
• The total has gone OVER in five of New Orleans' last six home games.
• The Mavs are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games against New Orleans.
• The Mavs are 1-7 SU in their last eight road games.
• The Mavs are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games against New Orleans.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson