Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

3 minute read

Regular season NBA action resumes on Sunday night with a compelling Western Conference showdown between the Golden State Warriors and Denver Nuggets. Coverage begins from Ball Arena in Denver at 8:30 p.m. ET on NBA TV.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PREDICTION

If you’re looking for evidence of disparity between home vs. away performance in the NBA, look no further than Golden State’s numbers on the season. The Warriors are positioned 6th in the Western Conference standings with a record of 41-37, but their overall record certainly doesn’t tell the full story, as they’ve posted a miserable record of 9-29 on the road, and a record of 32-8 at home.

For a while, the masses seemed to believe that the Warriors’ struggles on the road stemmed from a variety of confounding factors such as drawing tougher matchups and good ole’ fashioned bad luck, however, at this point, it’s safe to assume that their location issues are far greater than originally imagined.

On their home floor, the Warriors are one of the best teams in the NBA, currently averaging 119 points per game on 48% from the field and 39% from long-range, while accumulating a net rating of +7.7, which is the fifth-best mark in the league in that department. But on the road, things are much different, averaging just 117 points per game on 47% from the field and 37% from downtown, accumulating a net rating of -6.5, which contrarily, is the fourth-worst mark in that department.

Surprisingly enough, though, Denver has still been better on its homefloor than Golden State throughout the season. The Nuggets own an impressive record of 32-7 at Ball Arena on the year, while boasting a net rating of +9.7, the second-best mark in the league in both departments. However, unlike Golden State, the Nuggets have also played decent basketball on the road, considering they’ve posted a record of 19-19 and a net rating of -2.5 away from their home building this year.

The Nuggets sit atop the Western Conference standings with a record of 51-26. So, the fact that they dominate their homefloor is often taken for granted. Whereas, the Warriors are having a disappointing campaign overall, so as the playoffs approach, everything they do is being examined under a microscope, and people are looking to make excuses for the defending champs.

Part of me still wants to believe that once the playoffs arrive, the Warriors are going to flip some kind of switch, and all of a sudden, their road struggles vanish. However, the working side of my brain knows it probably won’t pan out that way, and I should just avoid Golden State’ futures like the plague. Either way, though, I don’t see them flipping the switch in this game. Take Denver in this one.

Score Prediction: Nuggets 126, Warriors 118
Best Bet: Nuggets -2.5 (-110)

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DENVER NUGGETS BETTING ODDS

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DENVER NUGGETS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, April 2, 2023
Venue: Ball Arena
Location: Denver, Colorado
TV-Time: NBA League Pass, 8:30 p.m. ET
Matchup
Expert Picks

NBA Finals Betting Odds

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DENVER NUGGETS BETTING STATS

Golden State Warriors
SU: 41-37
ATS: 37-41
O/U: 44-34
PPG: 118.3
OPPG: 117.6

Denver Nuggets
SU: 51-26
ATS: 42-35
O/U: 35-41-1
PPG: 116.1
OPPG: 112.4

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)
Points Per Game (PPG), Opponents Points Per Game (OPPG)

Updated on 04/24/2024

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GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS vs. DENVER NUGGETS BETTING TRENDS

• The Warriors are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of Golden State's last six games.
• The Warriors are 5-1 SU in their last six games.
• The Nuggets are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
• The total has gone UNDER in eight straight Nuggets' games.
• The Nuggets are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
• The total has gone OVER in six of Denver's last seven games against Golden State.
• The Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in their last six home games.
• The Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last five games against Denver.
• The Warriors are 1-12 ATS in their last 13 road games.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson