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Andy Iskoe´s NFL Power Rankings

 
LINEAR REGRESSION POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Tampa Bay 110.10 -0.34 109.93 110.27
2 New Orleans 109.40 -2.28 108.26 110.54
3 Green Bay 108.21 2.34 109.38 107.04
4 Buffalo 107.52 -0.07 107.49 107.56
5 Kansas City 107.48 1.75 108.35 106.60
6 Baltimore 107.47 -0.87 107.03 107.90
7 L.A. Rams 105.21 -2.05 104.18 106.23
8 Seattle 104.77 -0.95 104.30 105.25
9 Pittsburgh 103.63 3.12 105.19 102.07
10 Miami 102.92 2.91 104.38 101.47
11 Indianapolis 102.90 3.35 104.58 101.23
12 Arizona 102.41 -2.00 101.41 103.41
13 Tennessee 101.52 2.53 102.79 100.26
14 Atlanta 100.89 -0.03 100.88 100.91
15 San Francisco 100.69 1.08 101.23 100.15
16 Chicago 100.20 2.66 101.53 98.87
17 Washington 99.17 0.48 99.41 98.93
18 Carolina 99.12 -0.53 98.86 99.39
19 New England 98.94 1.51 99.70 98.19
20 Cleveland 98.44 0.71 98.79 98.08
21 Las Vegas 98.27 4.16 100.35 96.19
22 Minnesota 97.68 1.65 98.50 96.85
23 L.A. Chargers 97.24 0.39 97.43 97.04
24 Philadelphia 95.46 0.99 95.95 94.96
25 N.Y. Giants 95.44 -0.46 95.21 95.67
26 Dallas 94.73 1.49 95.48 93.99
27 Houston 94.51 2.82 95.92 93.10
28 Denver 94.10 2.61 95.40 92.79
29 Detroit 92.40 0.14 92.47 92.33
30 Cincinnati 92.39 -0.52 92.13 92.65
31 N.Y. Jets 88.52 2.12 89.58 87.46
32 Jacksonville 88.28 4.66 90.61 85.95
NFL Average 100.00 1.04 100.52 99.48
 
AVERAGE LINE PLAYED AGAINST POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Kansas City 107.08 1.75 107.95 106.20
2 New Orleans 105.61 -2.28 104.47 106.75
3 Baltimore 105.48 -0.87 105.05 105.92
4 Green Bay 105.09 2.34 106.26 103.92
5 Tampa Bay 104.88 -0.34 104.71 105.05
6 Seattle 104.14 -0.95 103.67 104.62
7 Pittsburgh 103.46 3.12 105.02 101.90
8 Indianapolis 103.08 3.35 104.75 101.40
9 Buffalo 102.99 -0.07 102.95 103.02
10 L.A. Rams 102.75 -2.05 101.73 103.78
11 Tennessee 102.13 2.53 103.40 100.87
12 Arizona 101.18 -2.00 100.18 102.18
13 Cleveland 100.70 0.71 101.06 100.35
14 Minnesota 100.67 1.65 101.50 99.85
15 San Francisco 100.44 1.08 100.98 99.90
16 New England 100.05 1.51 100.81 99.30
17 L.A. Chargers 99.92 0.39 100.11 99.72
18 Las Vegas 99.51 4.16 101.59 97.43
19 Atlanta 99.08 -0.03 99.07 99.10
20 Houston 99.03 2.82 100.44 97.62
21 Miami 98.78 2.91 100.24 97.33
22 Philadelphia 98.22 0.99 98.71 97.72
23 Chicago 98.21 2.66 99.54 96.88
24 Carolina 97.56 -0.53 97.30 97.83
25 Detroit 97.54 0.14 97.61 97.47
26 Dallas 97.42 1.49 98.16 96.67
27 Washington 95.96 0.48 96.20 95.72
28 Denver 95.66 2.61 96.97 94.36
29 N.Y. Giants 94.68 -0.46 94.45 94.91
30 Cincinnati 93.51 -0.52 93.25 93.77
31 Jacksonville 93.11 4.66 95.44 90.78
32 N.Y. Jets 92.07 2.12 93.13 91.01
NFL Average 100.00 1.04 100.52 99.48
 
AVERAGE RESULT VERSUS LINE POWER RATINGS
Rank Team Rating HFA Home Away
1 Tampa Bay 105.21 -0.34 105.04 105.38
2 Buffalo 104.54 -0.07 104.50 104.57
3 Miami 104.14 2.91 105.60 102.69
4 New Orleans 103.79 -2.28 102.65 104.93
5 Washington 103.21 0.48 103.45 102.97
6 Green Bay 103.12 2.34 104.29 101.95
7 L.A. Rams 102.46 -2.05 101.43 103.48
8 Chicago 101.98 2.66 103.31 100.65
9 Baltimore 101.98 -0.87 101.55 102.42
10 Atlanta 101.81 -0.03 101.80 101.83
11 Carolina 101.56 -0.53 101.30 101.83
12 Arizona 101.23 -2.00 100.23 102.23
13 N.Y. Giants 100.75 -0.46 100.52 100.98
14 Seattle 100.63 -0.95 100.15 101.10
15 Kansas City 100.40 1.75 101.27 99.52
16 San Francisco 100.25 1.08 100.79 99.71
17 Pittsburgh 100.16 3.12 101.72 98.60
18 Indianapolis 99.83 3.35 101.50 98.15
19 Tennessee 99.39 2.53 100.66 98.13
20 New England 98.89 1.51 99.64 98.13
21 Cincinnati 98.88 -0.52 98.62 99.14
22 Las Vegas 98.77 4.16 100.85 96.69
23 Denver 98.43 2.61 99.74 97.13
24 Cleveland 97.73 0.71 98.09 97.38
25 L.A. Chargers 97.32 0.39 97.52 97.13
26 Dallas 97.32 1.49 98.06 96.57
27 Philadelphia 97.24 0.99 97.73 96.74
28 Minnesota 97.01 1.65 97.83 96.18
29 N.Y. Jets 96.45 2.12 97.51 95.39
30 Houston 95.49 2.82 96.90 94.08
31 Jacksonville 95.16 4.66 97.49 92.83
32 Detroit 94.87 0.14 94.94 94.80
NFL Average 100.00 1.04 100.52 99.48
Updated Fri Jan 29 2:47 PM EDT

-- Explanation of Data Items --

Linear Regression Power Ratings - Based upon a Linear Regression analysis of points scored and allowed (i.e. Margin of Victories and Defeats). Simply explained, the above Ratings reflect differences based upon the following: "If Team A beats Team B by 7, and Team C beats Team D by 13, and Team C beats Team A by 2, etc., how much better is Team A than Team D?" Thus the above Ratings attempt to compare all teams based upon who beats who and by how much. The Ratings tend to be more accurate as the season progresses.

Average Line Played Against Power Ratings - Uses a similar concept as the Linear Regression Power Ratings, but are based on the lines used by the linesmakers in all of a team's games. The more that a team is favored, the higher its Rating. These Ratings are a good tool in evaluating and assessing how the linesmaker views each team and can be used as a guide in makeing lines on upcoming games based upon the lines that have been madein prior games.

Average Result Versus Line Power Ratings - Uses the concept described above for Average Line Played Against Power Ratings, but does so from the perspective of how a team has performed relative to the pointspread. For example, a team that is favored by 7 points and wins by 10 points has exceeded the line by 3 points while their opponent has fallen short by 3 points. Similarly a 4 point underdog that wins the game straight up by 10 points has exceeded the line by 14 points and their opponent has fallen short by 14. These Ratings can used a measurement of over-achievement and under-achievement by each team.

NOTES: Each team's raw Rating is adjusted for their individual Home Field Advantage (HFA) by adding one-half of the HFA to their raw rating to determine their Home Rating and subtracting one-half of the HFA from their raw Rating to determine their Road (away) Rating.