Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 10:00 AM

Super Bowl 53 Notebook

Playoff Results | Super Bowl History

Super Bowl 53 - New England vs. Los Angles Rams (CBS, 6:30 p.m. ET)
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia (Sunday, Feb. 3, 2019)

After watching the home team dominate the conference championships for the last five seasons with a 10-0 straight up and 8-2 against the spread record, the visitors finally struck back this postseason but it wasn’t easy.

The Los Angeles Rams and New England Patriots both captured overtime wins on the road against the New Orleans Saints and Kansas City Chiefs respectively.

The Rams and Patriots both cashed tickets as three-point road underdogs and they will now square off in Super Bowl III at Mercedes-Benz Stadium from Atlanta, Georgia on Feb. 3, 2019.

Including those outcomes, road teams and underdogs went 7-3 both SU and ATS in this year’s postseason. Dating back to last season, underdogs are now 17-4 against the spread in the NFL postseason.

Prior to Week 1, New England was listed as a 6/1 betting choice to win Super Bowl 53 at the SuperBook while the Rams had 10/1 odds.

Line Movements:

The Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook opened Los Angles as a one-point favorite with a total of 58. Soon after the opener was sent out, the line flipped to Patriots -1 ½.

[...], a major global betting shop, sent out the Rams at -1 ½ and they adjusted as well. New England is now sitting -1 ½.

William Hill properties and the South Point in Las Vegas both have New England listed -2 as of 11:00 p.m. ET on Sunday.

One book in Las Vegas, Wynn Resorts, is sticking low at pick 'em and expecting more Rams money late while respecting future risk according to Micah Roberts of VegasInsider.com.

The total is holding steady at 58 with a couple books going to 59.

Follow all the line movements for every major Las Vegas and Global sportsbook.

Betting Notes:

The Rams and Patriots met in the 2016 regular season from Foxboro and New England captured a 26-10 win over as a 13-point home favorite while the ‘under’ (44 ½) connected.

Including that win, New England has won five straight encounters versus the Rams which includes a 20-17 upset in Super Bowl XXXVI from New Orleans as a 14-point underdog.

The Patriots went 4-5 on the road this season, which includes Sunday's 37-31 overtime win against Kansas City in the AFC Championship. New England went 2-0 versus playoff teams on the road, the decision versus KC and it also defeated the Bears 38-31 from Soldier Field. The 'over' cashed in both games. 

The Rams improved to 7-2 on the road with their 26-23 overtime win over New Orleans from the Superdome in the NFC Championship. Los Angeles was 2-2 against playoff teams on the road. 

Versus NFC teams, New England went 3-1 this season. The lone loss took place in Week 3 when the Patriots dropped a 26-10 decision to Detroit at Ford Field. 

Los Angeles went 4-0 SU and 2-1-1 ATS against AFC foes this season behind an offense that averaged 36.3 points per game in those wins.

Super Bowl Betting Notes:

New England owns a 5-5 SU and 3-6-1 ATS record in Super Bowls, while going 1-5 ATS in the favorite role. The only cover as a 'chalk' came in their 34-28 overtime triumph over the Falcons as three-point favorites in Super Bowl 51 from Houston. 

Last February the Patriots lost Super Bowl 52 to the Philadelphia Eagles, 41-33.

Quarterback Tom Brady is playing in his ninth Super Bowl, posting a 5-3 SU and 3-4 ATS record. This will be his third straight trip to the finale. 

The Rams defeated the Tennessee Titans 23-16 in Super Bowl 34 before losing to the Patriots two years later. 

St. Louis was the home of the Rams for both those contests. The Los Angeles Rams made one appearance in the Super Bowl, the 14th installment from Pasadena, California. The Rams dropped a 31-19 decision to the Steelers as 10 ½-point underdogs.

The NFC and AFC have split the last 10 Super Bowls, while the 'over' is 7-3 during this span.



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