Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 13:52 PM
Week 10 Exotic Wagers, Parlay & Teaser Bets
Week 10 of the NFL season is here and as division races start to tighten up and contenders begin to take form.
This week’s slate of games is set to have a plethora of high-powered matchups, and while we are certainly in for another entertaining week of football, bettors are left in a tough position with all the frustrating inconsistencies that teams have demonstrated over the course of this season.
I believe I have found a few betting edges for some crucial games this upcoming weekend, and I have chosen to give out my picks for two parlays and one teaser, hoping to help NFL bettors cash winning tickets or inspire them to build parlays of their own.
My top selections for Week 10 can be found below.
NFL Week 10 Parlay Best Bets
The Birds and the Bucs Hit the Road
- Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 at N.Y. Giants (-104)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers -5.5 at Carolina Panthers (-114)
Payout: 2-Team Parlay +268 at FanDuel
It never feels great putting money on a team from the NFC East, but if there is money to be placed on one, it is the only team in the division that is currently constructed to compete in a playoff game with the players that it has available, which is the Philadelphia Eagles.
While both Philadelphia’s loss to Washington in Week 1 and tie with Cincinnati in Week 3 were undoubtedly inexplicable for a playoff contender, since then, the Eagles have lost games to the Ravens and Steelers by a combined total of just 11 points, and won their remaining matchups against the Cowboys, 49ers, and Giants.
In the most recent encounter between the Giants and Eagles, the only healthy wide receivers to finish the contest for Philadelphia were Travis Fulgham, John Hightower, and Greg Ward (two receivers promoted off the practice squad and a rookie 5th round pick), but they still managed to erase an 11-point lead with just less than seven minutes remaining to take down their division rival, 22-21.
It was reported earlier in the week that Eagles’ quarterback, Carson Wentz, might finally have a few pass-catching targets that did not come directly off the practice squad this time around against New York, as RB Miles Sanders, WR Alshon Jeffrey, and TE Dallas Goedert are all set to return from injury this week.
It has also been recently noted that Philadelphia is on track to get a huge chunk of their offensive line back for this game with OT Lane Johnson and OG Isaac Seumalo both on track to return this week, who were also unavailable for the Eagles’ Week 7 matchup with the Giants.
The Giants sit at 2-7 SU on the year, and it does not make much sense for Joe Judge’s team to stick its nose in the middle of this division race when there is clear need within his organization for rebuilding through the draft.
New York quarterback, Daniel Jones, has now thrown 21 interceptions in 21 NFL starts, which is indicative of the Giants’ overall success since drafting the Duke-product in the first round of the 2019 draft.
The NFC East is Philadelphia’s division to lose, and I think a healthy Eagles team is going to finally put all the pieces together and send an emphatic message to the rest of the division with a blowout win over New York on Sunday.
Give me the Eagles -3.5 to start.
Betting against QB Teddy Bridgewater did not pay dividends early on in his career, as the quarterback boasted a 27-7 ATS record in 32 career starts prior to joining the Panthers. But Vegas seems to finally have Teddy figured out this season, holding a Bridgewater-led Carolina team to just 5-4 ATS record in 2020 so far.
The Buccaneers were absolutely pummeled by the Saints on Sunday Night Football last week (38-3), already handing Tom Brady his first ever regular season series sweep by a division opponent in just his 3rd NFC South matchup.
The key to Brady’s success this year has been the Buccaneers’ ability to run the football, and Leonard Fournette did exactly that against the Panthers earlier this year, rumbling for 103 yards on 12 carries in Tampa Bay’s 31-17 victory over Carolina back in Week 2. Panthers’ running back, Christian McCaffrey, also racked up 88 total yards of offense in the game along with two touchdowns before exiting the game with an injury. CMC is out with a shoulder injury this Sunday.
Mike Evans has had a lackluster season so far in his first season with Brady slinging him the rock, but the 7th year receiver out of Texas A&M found great success in his first matchup with Carolina this year, corralling 7 passes on a season-high 10 targets for 104 yards and a touchdown in the win.
Tampa Bay just added Antonio Brown to the mix last week, who seemed to be serving as nothing more than a decoy in is debut with the Buccaneers (3 receptions, 31 yards), but I think after getting another week of practice under his belt with his new team, he will be ready to make a bigger impact against Carolina.
Even if AB has another pedestrian week in his second contest with Tampa, the Bucs beat the Panthers by two touchdowns without him the last time these squads met up, which was also just Brady’s second game with his new team.
I don’t think the books are laying nearly enough points here. Give me Tampa Bay -5.5 by at least a touchdown.
Money-Line Double Upset
- Buffalo Bills +112 at Arizona Cardinals
- Seattle Seahawks +104 at L.A. Rams
Payout: 2-Team Parlay +332 at FanDuel
Bills’ quarterback, Josh Allen showed the signs of an MVP candidate early on in the year, throwing 16 touchdown passes compared to just four interceptions through Buffalo’s first six games, but seemed to fall off the wagon against Kansas City and Tennessee, along with his second matchup with the Jets, although they ultimately won the contest.
Allen was back and better than ever this past Sunday though, with the Bills handing the Seahawks their second loss of the 2020 season (44-34) this past weekend, as the third-year QB walked all over Seattle’s defense by completing 31 of 38 passes for 415 yards and 4 total TD’s.
The Cardinals have struggled defensively in consecutive weeks against mobile quarterbacks, allowing a combined 71 points to Russell Wilson and Tua Tagovailoa in their last two games.
Brace for an electrifying finish, but I am going to ride with the hot hand here on the money line and bet on the Bills +114 to take down the Cardinals in a shootout for my first upset of the week.
For my second Week 10 upset the Seahawks are listed as slight underdogs against the Rams in LA, and I think this line is just dead wrong.
The Hawks were widely regarded as a top title contender in the NFC prior to last week’s loss, a game Seattle managed to rack up 34 points in, and now all of a sudden they have been listed as an ‘underdog’ against a team that is still yet to prove anything this season…
The last time we saw the Rams, Sean McVay’s guys could not get anything going on the offensive side of the ball against the Dolphins in Tua Tagovailoa’s debut, as Los Angeles dropped its third game of the year, 28-17 (other losses to Bills and 49ers), bringing the team’s record to 5-3 for the season.
The Rams’ five victories this season have sprouted in matchups with the Eagles, Giants, Washington, and Bears so far…
That is a combined 14-28-1 record for the five teams Los Angeles has managed to top so far this season.
Seattle’s defense is horrid, but they still have the current favorite to take home this year’s MVP award in Wilson, and I need to see much more from the Rams before I buy into them as a favorite against a contender. Give me Seattle +104 as my final play for Week 10.
NFL Week 10 Teaser Bets
- Baltimore Ravens (-0.5) at New England Patriots
- Pittsburgh Steelers (-0.5) vs. Cincinnati Bengals
- New Orleans Saints (-2.5) vs. San Francisco 49ers
Payout: 3-Team Six-Point Teaser +140 at FanDuel
Cam Newton and the New England Patriots will look to pick up a win in primetime for the second week in a row this Sunday night, but this time around they will square off with a much tougher opponent in the Baltimore Ravens.
New England nearly became the laughingstock of the NFL in its last game, as Bill Belichick’s team trailed the 0-8 Jets by 10 points heading into the 4th quarter on Monday Night Football this past week.
The Pats were bailed out by a concoction of bad quarterbacking from Joe Flacco and bad coaching from Adam Gase though, and New England was able to escape on a walk-off, game-winning field goal to seal the inevitable, 30-27, comeback victory.
Part of the problem for New England has been Cam’s offensive struggles, but another part of it is Julian Edelman is on IR, N’Keal Harry is banged up, and now he is trying to develop chemistry with another recently acquired receiver in Isaiah Ford.
Reigning MVP, Lamar Jackson, is having a subpar season compared to his 2019 campaign, but has played just well enough to support Baltimore’s defense which is ranked 1st in points allowed per game (17.8) and 8th in yards allowed per game (324.9), leading the Ravens to their second straight 6-2 regular season start.
Lamar did not have to do anything spectacular against Indianapolis to secure a safe victory, completing 19 of 23 passes for 170 yards, while also tacking on 58 yards on the ground and a rushing touchdown on 13 carries…
Whereas, beating the Jets appeared to be harder than rocket science for the (3-5) Patriots this past Monday…
I don’t like the Pats’ chances coming off a short week here. Give me the Ravens -1, just in case Lamar decides to make things interesting on Sunday night.
The undefeated (8-0) Pittsburgh Steelers will host the (2-5-1) Cincinnati Bengals during the 4 o’clock slate this Sunday in what is set to be the first matchup between these division foes this season.
Pittsburgh owns a dominant 13-5-2 ATS edge over Cincinnati in these teams past 20 regular season encounters, and I do not believe the Bengals have surrounded Joe Burrow with the adequate tools to swing things in the other direction in this series quite yet.
The Steelers’ defense ranks in the top 10 in all prominent statistical categories including points allowed per game (4th – 20.1), total yards allowed per game (6th – 317.4), passing yards allowed per game (5th – 214.6), and rushing yards allowed per game (9th – 102.8).
I am trying to avoid overthinking this one. Give me the Steelers -0.5 to beat the Bengals.
For the final leg of this teaser, I am going to pick on the (4-5) San Francisco 49ers a little bit, as they will visit the (6-2) Saints at the Superdome this week.
Other than possibly the Cowboys, no team has been ravaged by injury more than the 49ers, who were recently forced to move Jimmy Garoppolo and George Kittle IR.
On top of that, both Tevin Coleman and Raheem Mostert will remain absent for San Francisco’s tilt with New Orleans, leaving the ball carrying duties to Jerick Mckinnon and JaMycal Hasty.
Kyle Shanahan said on Thursday that there is a slight chance his best defensive back, Richard Sherman, could return to the Niners’ secondary this week, but he is really focused on getting him back for the team’s divisional tilt against the Rams following their Week 11 bye.
Drew Brees and the Saints ran the Buccaneers out of the building last week (38-3), so following that up with a loss to a 49ers team quarterbacked by Nick Mullens would be a dramatic step in the wrong direction considering what they have already accomplished this season.
San Francisco is 2-4 ATS in its last six contests, and while that can largely be attributed to the 49ers’ injury concerns, they are not getting significantly healthier any time soon.
Give me the Saints -2.5, as I believe San Francisco is just too banged up right now to hang in there with a NFC title contender.
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