Tech Trends – Week 16

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

6 minute read

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Week 16 of the NFL regular season will offer up four straight days of betting action, starting on Christmas (Dec. 25) and ending on Monday, Dec. 28.

We've identified betting trends and angles for all of the 16 matchups.

Also, we have "Tech Edge" leans on the side or total for each game too.

Straight Up (SU), Against the Spread (ATS), Over-Under (O/U)

Friday, Dec. 25

Minnesota at New Orleans

Saints had won 9 in a row SU, covered five straight, and “under” five consecutive before all of those streaks ended the past two weeks vs. Eagles and Chiefs.
Vikings 0-5 vs. line last five this year.
Minnesota on a 8-4-2 “over run in 2020.
“Over” run 16-7-2 last 25 reg season games.

Tech Edge: Saints and “over,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

Saturday, Dec. 26

Tampa Bay at Detroit

Buccaneerss “over” 12-3 last 15 away from Raymond James.
Lions “over” 5-1 at home in 2020.
Detroit also “Over” 11-2 last 13 at Ford Field since early 2019.

Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.

San Francisco at Arizona

Home game (sort of) for both!
Niners 10-5 vs. spread last 15 as visitors.
Cardinals have covered last two this year after five straight spread losses.
Arizona has played SF pretty tough (5-0-1 last six vs. spread).
Cards 11-7-1 “under” since late 2019.

Tech Edge: Slight to Cards, based on series trends.

Miami at Las Vegas

After losing to Chargers, Raiders now 9-17-3 vs. spread in second halves of season since 2017.
Las Vegas also “over” 10-3-1 in 2020.
Dolphins on 8-2 SU, 9-1 spread run last 10 this season.
Miami now 20-6 last 26 on board since early 2019.

Tech Edge: Dolphins and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Sunday, Dec. 27

Denver at L.A. Chargers

Broncos have now won and covered last three and four of last five meetings.
Denver also 5-2 vs. line away in 20202
Even further back, 9-4 last 13 vs. spread as visitor.
Bolts 2-5-1 as chalk in 2020.
Los Angeles is 4-13-1 laying points (favorite) since last season.

Tech Edge: Broncos, based on team and recent series trends.

Cleveland at N.Y. Jets

Jets have covered 5 of last 8 this season but still just 6-9 vs. line in 2020.
Going back to 2019, New York 6-13 last 18 on board.
These teams also “under” in meetings each of last three seasons.

Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.

Cincinnati at Houston

Even after beating Steelers on Monday, Bengals 2-4 vs. line last six this year despite 1-5 SU mark.
Cincy also “under” 4-1 last five.
Texans 5-8-1 as chalk since last season.
Houston also “under” 5-1 last five in 2020.

Tech Edge: “Under,” based on “totals” trends.

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh

Colts 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 vs. line last six in 2020.
Indy also “over” 4-2 last six games.
Steelers no covers last four in 2020 after Cincy loss on Monday Night Football.
Pittsburgh also “under” 4-1 last five in 2020.

Tech Edge: Colts, based on recent trends.

Chicago at Jacksonville

Bears 0-2 as chalk in 2020, no covers last 8 laying points since early last year!
Chicago also “under” 25-11-1 since late 2018.
Jaguars 4-3 vs. spread last seven in 2020 though not winning any of those outright.

Tech Edge: Jaguars and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Carolina at Washington

Head coach Ron Rivera vs. old employer.
After cover at Green Bay, Panthers have covered last six on road.
Carolina also 8-1 last nine games as an underdog.

Tech Edge: Panthers, based on team trends.

N.Y. Giants at Baltimore

Including loss to Browns on Sunday Night, G-Men 7-2-1 last 10 vs. line this season.
New York also 6-0 as road underdog in 2020.
NY “under” 9-3-1 this season as well.
Ravens might be heating up again with covers last four games.

Tech Edge: Giants and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Atlanta at Kansas City

Chiefs on 0-5-1 spread skid.
Falcons 6-2 “under” last eight in 2020.

Tech Edge: Slight to Falcons and “under,” based on recent trends.

L.A. Rams at Seattle

Rams have battered Seahawks last two meetings.
Los Angeles has also won 5 of last 6 SU in series.
Seattle “under” last six this season.
Rams on a 10-4 “under” run in 2020.

Tech Edge: Rams and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.

Philadelphia at Dallas

Birds no covers last five or six of last seven on road this season.
Dallas however just 4-10 vs. line in 2020.
Cowboys just 2-5 vs. spread at home.
Philadelphia has won and covered last two meetings.
However, had lost and failed to cover previous four games.
Note Cowboys “over” 4-1 last five this season.
Eagles are “over” 2-0 with rookie Jalen Hurts at QB.

Tech Edge: “Over and slight to Eagles, based on “totals” and team trends.

Tennessee at Green Bay

Titans “over” 21-6 since Ryan Tannehill took over at QB midway in 2019.
Tenn has also covered 5 of last 7 as underdogs.
Packers only 4-6 vs. spread last 10 this year after Panthers game.

Tech Edge: Titans and “Over,” based on team and “totals” trends.

Monday, Dec. 28

Buffalo at New England

Different circumstances in 2020 but head coach Bill Belichick has long owned Bills and even covered earlier meeting this season.
Now 5-2 last seven vs. spread in series and numbers stronger the further back, but not as applicable anyway these days.
Bills however have now won last four SU and covered last six in 2020.
Buffalo also “over” 9-4-1 in 2020.
Belichick 4-2 last six as 'dog this season (but 0-2 last two).
New England 17-7 as dog since 2010.
Patriots “under” 10-4 in 2020.

Tech Edge: slight to Bills and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.

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