Last Updated Dec 23, 2021, 8:00 AM

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Predictions, Odds, Picks

Dec. 26, 2021
Dan Dobish
VI Betting Expert
VegasInsider.com

The Baltimore Ravens (8-6) travel to meet the Cincinnati Bengals (8-6) in an AFC North Division showdown for first place on Sunday in Week 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on CBS.

Score Prediction

Ravens 29, Bengals 26

Best Bets

Ravens +130 ML at BetMGM

Ravens +3 (-115) at BetMGM

Over 45.5 (-105) at BetMGM

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Predictions

The Ravens have suffered three consecutive losses to fall from 8-3 SU to second-place in the AFC North by virtue of tiebreakers. But they have lost those three games by a total of four points, with a pair of one-point losses in Week 13 at Pittsburgh and Week 15 against Green Bay. Those one-point losses occurred because head coach John Harbaugh elected to go for a two-point conversion rather than force overtime, but the team came up short both times. Now, the Ravens try to get a little bit of revenge against the Bengals after QB Joe Burrow and Cincinnati posted a 41-17 victory in Baltimore back on Oct. 24.

The Bengals snapped a two-game losing skid last weekend in Denver, winning 15-10 as three-point underdogs. The 15 points represented a season low in points, yet the defense stepped up and helped this team to the win, first place in the division by way of tiebreakers, and the No. 4 seed in the AFC. All of that is on the line at home for the Bengals on Sunday.

Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) was knocked out of the Week 14 game in Cleveland in the first quarter with an ankle injury, and he did not play in Week 15 against Green Bay. Backup QB Tyler Huntley stepped in and did a tremendous job in Jackson's stead, and even if Lamar cannot go Sunday, the Ravens should still be OK. Huntley has been legit.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Odds

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Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Resources

  • Matchup: AFC North
  • Date: Sunday, December 26, 2021
  • Venue: Paul Brown Stadium
  • Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
  • TV-Time: CBS - 1:00 p.m. ET

Baltimore Ravens Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-6
  • ATS: 7-7
  • O/U: 7-7
  • ATS - Away: 3-4

The Ravens might be on a three-game losing streak, but Baltimore picked up covers in each of the past two narrow setbacks. The cover in Cleveland was a backdoor cover, as the Ravens erased a 24-3 deficit with a touchdown with just 1:17 to go in regulation, but they were able to cover nonetheless. Baltimore is now 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall, and 2-2 ATS in four games inside the AFC North Division with two more divisional battles on the slate. Baltimore is 10-3 ATS across the past 13 games inside the division, too, while going 18-7-1 ATS in the previous 26 games as an underdog.

In addition, Baltimore is 5-1 ATS in the past six games against teams with a winning overall record, while going 20-8 ATS in the past 28 games in the month of December. While all of that is well and good, the road team has cashed in five of the past six games in this series, including Cincinnati's beatdown earlier in the season.

As far as totals, Baltimore has cashed the UNDER in five of the past six games on the road, while going 5-1 in the past six as a road 'dog, too. The UNDER is also 5-2 in the past seven away from home against teams with a winning mark at home.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Analysis

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 8-6
  • ATS: 7-7
  • O/U: 6-8
  • ATS - Home: 2-5

The Bengals have climbed back to the top of the heap in the AFC North, and now they're in position to hang onto what they've got and create a little breathing room with one game to go. As we saw on Monday with Cleveland's loss, they were playing for a shot at first place, and a loss dropped them to last place and the 12th seed in the AFC. That's how close this division is, and has been. A win, and a one-game lead over the Ravens, with a season sweep, would be a huge advantage.

Cincinnati checks into this game with just one cover in the past six games at home, and they're 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a home favorite. In addition, the Bengals have posted a 3-9 ATS mark in the past 12 games following a straight-up victory, while going 2-5 ATS in the past seven following a cover. Anybody considering a Ravens play has to like that information.

As far as totals, the Bengals have cashed the OVER in four of the past five as a favorite, and the OVER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 games inside the division, including each of the past three AFC North battles this season. The OVER is 7-1-1 in the past nine games as a home favorite, too.

Inside the Stats - Baltimore Ravens

  • Record: 8-6
  • Division Standing: 1-3
  • Points Scored: 334
  • Points Allowed: 315
  • PS/G: 23.9
  • PA/G: 22.5

Inside the Stats - Cincinnati Bengals

  • Record: 8-6
  • Division Standing: 3-1
  • Points Scored: 369
  • Points Allowed: 303
  • PS/G: 26.4
  • PA/G: 21.6

Key Players to Watch

  • BAL: Mark Andrews - TE (85 receptions, 1,062 yards, 8 TD)
  • BAL: Lamar Jackson - QB (246/382, 3,649 total yards, 18 total TDs, 13 INT)
  • CIN: Joe Burrow - QB (299/435, 3,640 yards, 26 TD, 14 INT)
  • CIN: Joe Mixon - RB (262 rushes, 1,094 yards, 12 TD)

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Conclusion

Revenge is a dish best served cold, and everybody has heard this saying. Baltimore was embarrassed on its home field, and now it looks to return the favor in "The Jungle". The road team has dominated this series, at least against the number. Last season, the Ravens won 38-3 as 13.5-point favorites on Jan. 3, 2021 to easily grab a cover at Paul Brown. The Ravens also won 49-13 in Cincinnati on Nov. 10, 2019 in the previous season. The Bengals haven't topped the Ravens at home since Sept. 13, 2018, winning a 34-23 decision as a one-point favorite. The OVER has a 5-3 edge in the past eight meetings, with the Ravens cashed in three of the past four meetings.

Whether or not Jackson is able to shake off his ankle injury to play, I think the Ravens get it done. Jackson didn't practice Wednesday. Even if it's Huntley, he looked like Lamar Lite last week, nearly outdueling Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. He is nearly as dangerous with his feet, and might be more on schedule with his passing than the starter. Burrow and WR Ja'Marr Chase were huge in the first meeting, combining for 201 yards and two touchdowns. Baltimore won't be caught napping this time. Look for the Ravens to return the favor, grabbing first place in this ridiculous logjam in the AFC North.

Baltimore Ravens vs. Cincinnati Bengals Betting Trends

  • The Ravens are 4-1 ATS in the past five games overall.
  • The Ravens are 5-1 ATS in the past six against winning teams.
  • The Ravens are 10-3 ATS in the past 13 games inside the division.
  • The Ravens are 18-7-1 ATS in the past 26 as an underdog.
  • The Bengals are 1-5 ATS in the past six games at home.
  • The Bengals are 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a home favorite.
  • The UNDER is 5-1 in the past six road games for the Ravens.
  • The OVER is 8-3-1 in the past 12 divisional games for the Bengals.
  • The road team is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings.


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