Last Updated Jan 25, 2022, 7:13 PM
NFL Conference Championship Parlay
The NFL Conference Championships begin on Sunday, January 30 two total games. Let's go through the Sunday's best parlay to consider.
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP PARLAY PREDICTION
- Bengals-Chiefs – Over 49.5 (-200)
- Los Angeles Rams ML (-170)
- Payout: +138
For my first play, I’ll start with Sunday mid-afternoon’s heavyweight AFC showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs. Coverage begins from Arrowhead Stadium at 3:00 p.m. ET on CBS.
After finishing last in the AFC North with a record of 4-11-1 SU last year, the Bengals bounced back with a surprisingly excellent 2021 campaign, as Cincinnati defied its +2500 preseason divisional odds by winning the AFC North with a sturdy record of 10-7 SU – and solidified that claim to the throne with impressive victories over the Raiders and Titans in the first two rounds of the playoffs.
Cincinnati primarily rode the coattail of its offense throughout the back-half of the year though, considering the Bengals closed out the regular season with a 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS run – while generating 28 PPG offensively and allowing 22 PPG defensively across that time frame.
On the other hand, the Chiefs stumbled out to a frustrating start to the season, as Kansas City kicked things off with a head-scratching 5-4 SU and 2-7 ATS skid – highlighted by Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense averaging just 24.5 PPG on 393 YPG across that window.
The Chiefs’ offense has looked virtually unstoppable since the midway point of the year though, considering Kansas City is averaging a lofty 34.3 PPG on 424 YPG across their current 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS run – which includes a pair of impressive 42-point outbursts against Bills and Steelers to open the postseason.
I’ll take an adjusted over here, as the Bengals and Chiefs have both played excellent defense since Week 10, highlighted by Cincinnati allowing 20.8 PPG and Kansas City surrendering just 18.4 PPG across their latest ten-game stretch – but that shouldn’t matter much in a showdown between two offenses that combined for roughly 61 PPG during that same time frame.
For my second play, I’ll dive into Sunday evening’s highly anticipated NFC West rematch between the San Francisco 49ers and Los Angeles Rams. Coverage begins from SoFi Stadium at 6:30 p.m. ET on FOX.
After finishing last in the NFC West with a record of 6-10 SU last year, San Francisco kept that same ball rolling with another slow start to this season, as the Niners opened with a lackluster 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS skid – with their SU victories coming against a relatively unimpressive group of opponents in the Lions, Bears, and Eagles.
San Francisco quickly flipped the script and snuck into the playoffs with an overtime victory over the Rams in Week 18 though, as the Niners closed out the regular season with a sturdy 4-1 SU run, despite generating just 24.8 PPG offensively across that span.
Fortunately, the Niners’ defense didn’t need much support in order to reach the NFC Championship Game, highlighted by San Francisco scoring just 18 PPG and allowing 13.5 PPG across victories over the Packers and Cowboys to open the playoffs.
On the other hand, Los Angeles was up-and-down throughout the first half of Matthew Stafford’s opening campaign with the team, as the Rams opened with a lackluster 7-4 SU run – highlighted by L. A.’s offense generating 20 PTS or less in three of those SU losses.
Sean McVay’s crew has dominated since mid-December though, considering the Rams have scored 28.1 PPG and allowed just 18.3 PPG across their latest 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS run – which includes a pair of stellar 30-point offensive performances against the Cardinals and Buccaneers to kickstart their postseason campaign (32 PPG).
I’ll back the Rams at home here, as despite the Niners going 2-0 SU and ATS against L. A. during the regular season, my vote of confidence in Round 3 still belongs to a Rams squad that’s racked up 28.1 PPG across their latest 7-1 SU stretch – opposed to a Niners squad that’s scored 23 PTS or less in four of their last five events (20.6 PPG).