Dallas Cowboys vs. Minnesota Vikings Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

4 minute read

Week 11 of the NFL season will resume Sunday mid-afternoon with a heavyweight NFC bout between the Dallas Cowboys and Minnesota Vikings. Coverage begins from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX.

Updated on 04/25/2024

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DALLAS COWBOYS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PREDICTION

The Vikings have played an impressive brand of football through the first 10 weeks of the season, as Minnesota racked up 25.1 PPG and allowed just 21.2 PPG across an 8-1 start to the year, which was seemingly validated by a road win over the Bills this past Sunday (W, 33-30).

However, the oddsmakers clearly still aren’t buying into this Vikings squad, as Kirk Cousins and co. return home for this week’s matchup as two-point underdogs against the visiting Cowboys, who coughed up a 14-point second-half lead against a struggling Green Bay offense in their most recent affair (L, 31-28).

The Cowboys have been on quite the rollercoaster this season, as Mike McCarthy’s squad averaged 21.4 points scored and 15.8 points allowed across a 4-1 run in five games started by backup QB Cooper Rush, opposed to scoring 26 PPG and allowing 21.3 PPG across a 2-2 split with starting QB Dak Prescott under center.

I’ll back Dallas here, as three of the Vikings’ wins came in contests in which they erased a double-digit deficit in the fourth quarter, which speaks volumes about this squad’s resiliency, however, it’s also worrisome, and I think their luck is due to run out against a Cowboys defense that ranks Top 6 in the league in both scoring and yardage allowed per play (18.2 PPG, 5 YPP).

Score Prediction: Cowboys 27, Vikings 20
Best Bet: Cowboys -1.5 (-110)

DALLAS COWBOYS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ODDS

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DALLAS COWBOYS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, November 20, 2022
Matchup: NFC East vs. NFC North
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
Time-TV: FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET

DALLAS COWBOYS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Cowboys appeared to be in for a bumpy ride after losing Prescott to a thumb injury in a double-digit home loss to the Bucs back in Week 1. However, Dallas bounced back in emphatic fashion, as the Cowboys posted wins six of their next eight games, while scoring 25.9 PPG and allowing just 18.1 PPG across that stretch.

Rush received tons of credit for kickstarting the Cowboys’ campaign, and rightfully so, as most backup QB’s go their entire career without eclipsing the heights Rush hit earlier this season.

However, their defense is the actual driving force behind this engine (16.6 PPG), highlighted by the Cowboys smothering their opponents to 19 PTS or less in six-of-nine contests this season. And now with Prescott back in the drivers’ seat, the sky is the limit for this squad.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Vikings are having a surprisingly triumphant regular season campaign, as Minnesota racked up 25.1 PPG and allowed just 21.2 PPG across a thrilling 8-1 start the year, which ranks eighth and 14^th in the league respectively.

The Vikings haven’t exactly faced the most impressive group of opponents, as Minnesota’s first seven wins of the season came against the Packers, Lions, Saints, Bears, Cardinals, Commanders, and Dolphins (without Tua).

However, Kirk Cousins and co. finally posted a signature win in their most recent affair, as the Vikings escaped with a thrilling 33-30 road victory over Buffalo last week. But it’s still tough to ignore the fact that they trailed by two touchdowns deep in the second half of that contest.

DALLAS COWBOYS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING TRENDS

• The Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games.
• The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Dallas' last 20 games.
• The Cowboys are 6-2 SU in their last eight games.
• The total has gone OVER in five of Minnesota's last seven games.
• The Vikings are 7-0 SU in their last seven games.
• The total has gone UNDER in eight of Minnesota's last 12 games against Dallas.
• The Vikings are 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
• The Cowboys are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games against Minnesota.
• The Cowboys are 4-1 SU in their last five games against Minnesota.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Dallas' last five road games.
• The Cowboys are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games against Minnesota.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson