NFL Week 12 Parlay Picks and Predictions

7 minute read

Betting expert Michael Crosson provides his top parlay selections for Week 12 of the NFL season. Odds provided by DraftKings.

ATS Parlay Best Bet

Baltimore Ravens -4 (-110) @ JAX
Seattle Seahawks -3.5 (-110) vs. LV

Payout: +264

Baltimore Ravens -4 @ JAX

The Ravens are off to a solid 7-3 start to the season, however, their record certainly doesn’t tell the full story, as Baltimore carried leads of 17+ points late into the second half of matchups against the Bills and Dolphins, and somehow, they found a way to lose both of those contests.

There’s a big difference in the optics between 7-3 and 9-1, though, and if the Ravens actually hung on to win those two games, Baltimore would probably be receiving much higher praise after ranking Top 10 in the league in scoring on both sides of the ball across a near perfect start to the season.

The Ravens didn’t look great last Sunday, as Lamar Jackson and co. generated just 13 PTS on 308 total yards in an ugly win over Carolina in Week 11.

However, I’ll back Baltimore to get back on track ATS against a Jaguars squad that’s posted losses in six of their last seven games, while averaging 18.9 points scored and 23.9 points allowed per game across their latest 1-6 skid.

Seattle Seahawks -3.5 vs. LV

The Raiders entered the season with sky high expectations after adding All-Pro wideout Davante Adams to a squad that already made the playoffs with a record of 10-7 the year prior. However, things haven’t exactly gone as planned thus far, as the Raiders currently rank 16^th in points scored and 24^th in points allowed (22.5 OPPG, 24.2 DPPG), which has resulted in a lackluster record of 3-7 across their first ten contests.

At first, the Raiders’ offense was productive, but their defense couldn’t pull its weight on the other side of the ball, as Derek Carr and co. scored an average of 27.2 PPG across a frustrating 2-4 start to the season, while defensively, surrendering 25 PPG during that span.

However, Josh McDaniel’s squad has been in the tank on both sides of the ball the last few weeks, as the Raiders enter Sunday following losses in three of their last four games, while scoring 20 points or less and allowing 24 points or more in three of those contests.

The Seahawks hit a bit of speed bump in their latest outing, as Geno Smith and co. scored just 16 points on 283 total yards in a five-point loss to the Bucs in Germany. But prior to that, the Seahawks had won five of their last six games, while racking up an average of 32.3 PPG across that window. So, this should ultimately be a get right spot for them at home going up against a Raiders squad that’s averaged 15.5 PPG across their last four games.

ML Parlay Best Bet

Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML (-175) @ CLE
Tennessee Titans ML (+125) vs. CIN

Payout: +254

Tampa Bay Buccaneers ML vs. CLE

The Buccaneers are off to a surprisingly lackluster .500 start to the season, however, the most stunning part about their struggles thus far, is the fact that they primarily stem from the offensive side of the ball, as Tom Brady and co. averaged just 18.3 PPG on 341 YPG across a bumpy 5-5 split through their first 10 contests, which ranks 27^th and 17^th in the league respectively.

Fortunately, their defense has been phenomenal thus far, as the Bucs currently rank sixth in the league in points allowed and seventh in yardage allowed (18.3 PPG, 310 YPG), despite on the offensive side, ranking just 26^th in time of possession, bringing them to a relatively modest record of 5-5 through Week 10.

I’ll back Tampa here, though, as the Bucs have been pretty terrible on the offensive side of the ball this season, however, I still think we’ll see them find a decent amount of success against a Browns squad that’s surrendered 29 PPG across their latest 1-5 stretch. And even if Brady’s struggles continue, I still like my chances going up against a stagnant Cleveland offense that’s scored 20 PTS or less in three of their last five games.

Tennessee Titans ML vs. CIN

The Titans posted back-to-back 11-win campaigns prior to their impressive 7-3 start to this season, however, people still love to doubt Mike Vrabel’s squad, as Tennessee (+170) entered the year with the second-best odds to win the AFC South behind Indianapolis (-125), which appears to be quite the misfire following the Colts’ miserable 4-6-1 record thus far.

The Bengals, on the other hand, stumbled out to a disappointing 2-3 start to the season, which was an incredibly out of character stretch for this squad, as their defense allowed just 17.8 PPG and forced eight turnovers in their first five games of the year, which wasn’t quite enough to carry an offense that generated just 21.6 PPG across those contests.

However, Joe Burrow and co. have certainly pulled their weight since that opening stretch, as the Bengals enter Sunday following scoring outputs of 30+ PTS in four of their last five games, resulting in a solid record of 4-1 in those contests. And it’s not like they were significantly aided by improved health status during their latest stretch, highlighted by Ja’Marr Chase missing four of those affairs with a hip injury.

I’ll back Tennessee here, though, as the Bengals really struggled to protect Burrow early in the season, and I think we’ll see those struggles resurface against an elite Titans’ defense that’s now held its opponent to 20 PTS or less in seven straight games (14.4 PPG).

Six-Point Teaser

Falcons-Commanders Under 47 (OU 41)
Broncos-Panthers Under 42 (OU 36)

Payout: -120

Falcons-Commanders Under 47

Ron Rivera finally has this Washington squad on its high horse heading into Week 12, as the Commanders enter Sunday following wins in five of their last six games, with four of those victories coming with Taylor Heinicke under center.

However, the Commanders’ recent success certainly isn’t due to a dramatic uptick in offensive production, highlighted by Washington scoring an average of 22 PPG across their five matchups since handing the keys to Heinicke back in Week 7, while on the defensive side of the script, holding their opponents to just 17.6 PPG across that stretch.

Atlanta’s offense barreled out to a red-hot start to the season, as Marcus Mariota and co. racked up 26+ PTS in four-of-six matchups to open their campaign. However, they’ve cooled off recently, highlighted by the Falcons scoring 17 PTS or less in three of their last five games. And I expect to see their struggles continue against a Washington defense that’s allowed 21 PTS or less in seven straight contests.

Broncos-Panthers Under 42

The Broncos’ offense has been an absolute disaster this season, as Russell Wilson and co. currently rank dead-last in the league in scoring at 14.7 PPG and 25^th in yards per play at 5.1 YPP, resulting in a disappointing record of 3-7 thus far.

However, you certainly can’t blame the Broncos’ defense for their struggles, as on the other side of the ball, Denver currently ranks third in the league in both points allowed yards allowed per play (17.1 PPG, 4.8 YPP), which is quite the feat considering their horrendous offensive numbers.

At this point, you can almost guarantee the Broncos’ offense will hold up their side of the bargain regarding the under. But I think we’ll also see their defense keep this game in-check against a Panthers squad that’s scored 21 PTS or less in six of their last eight contests (18.1 PPG).

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Nfl News

NFL APR 19, 2024

Opening Super Bowl 59 Odds Report, Trends: Everything You Need to Know

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson