Last Updated Dec 07, 2022, 1:39 PM
New Orleans Saints vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Same Game Parlay Picks and Predictions
Sports Betting Expert
Check out our same game parlay selection for Monday night's primetime matchup between the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Parlay odds may vary by sportsbook.
Saints vs. Buccaneers SGP Picks
- New Orleans Saints Under 17.5 Points Scored (-105)
- Tom Brady (TB) Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-140)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5 (+145)
Saints Under 17.5 Points Scored
The Saints are also having a disappointing campaign in Dennis Allen’s first season at the helm, as New Orleans is currently tied with Carolina at the bottom of the NFC South standings with a record of 4-8 on the season, which has arguably become the worst division in football with no teams currently owning a record north of .500.
It’s tough to pinpoint the root of the Saints’ struggles. For a while, the issue appeared to be their defense, as New Orleans surrendered 26+ PTS in five-of-seven contests out of the gate, which never really gave their offense a chance to iron out kinks early in the season.
However, there’s no excuses for them anymore, as the Saints’ defense enters Monday having surrendered 20 PTS or less in four of their last five contests (16 PPG), and they still lost three of those contests due to their offense generating just 14.8 PPG across their latest five-game stretch.
So, I’ll back New Orleans to have another poor night offensively against a Bucs defense that’s held its opponent to 21 PTS or less in 8-of-11 contests this season (18.5 PPG), and they also held the Saints to 10 PTS in their first meeting of the year back in Week 2.
Tom Brady (TB) Over 1.5 Touchdown Passes
The Buccaneers’ receiving core has battled injuries all season, and at one point, things got so bad that they had to bring Cole Beasley out of retirement for a couple games to stall for time until they could get some pass-catchers back on the field. So, Tampa’s redzone numbers inevitably took a hit early in the year, highlighted by Tom Brady throwing for less than two touchdowns in eight-of-nine matchups to open the season.
However, Mike Evans and Chris Godwin are back to full strength, and now, he’s finally starting to settle into a rhythm, or at least in the redzone, as Brady enters Monday having thrown 2+ touchdown passes in back-to-back games, despite the Bucs generating just 19 PPG across their latest two affairs. So, I’ll back Brady to throw for 2+ touchdown passes in a third straight contest on Monday night.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -6.5
Monday night’s affair has the looks of an ugly one, no doubt about it. And I’m still tempted to take the under despite the total being stationed down around the OU 40 mark. But personally, I think the best value actually lies with Tampa to run away with this contest.
The Bucs have only posted two wins by 7+ PTS so far this season, however, one of those wins came against New Orleans back in Week 2, as Brady and co. posted a comfortable double-digit road victory over the Saints back in Week 2 thanks to their defense forcing five turnovers and allowing just 10 PTS in the contest.
It hasn’t translated to loads of points quite yet, but Tampa’s offense has showed some brief signs of life in recent weeks, and their defense has continued its dominance. So, If the Bucs hold New Orleans to a low total on the defensive side of the ball like they did in their first matchup, winning by a touchdown should be a relatively attainable feat against a Saints defense that ranks 20th in the league in scoring at 23.3 PPG.