Last Updated Dec 22, 2022, 8:00 PM

Jacksonville Jaguars vs. New York Jets Picks, Predictions, Odds

Week 16 of the NFL season will kick things off with a surprisingly meaningful AFC battle between the Jacksonville Jaguars and New York Jets. Coverage begins from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford at 8:15 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime.


I think it’s safe to say that most people didn’t have this one pinned as one of the better Thursday night matchups on the slate. But due to the circumstances, this contest actually has heavy implications on the AFC playoff picture, with the Jaguars currently trailing Tennessee by one game for the lead in the AFC South, and the Jets sitting just one game out of the final AFC Wild Card spot.

The Jaguars appeared to be down for the count early in the season, as Jacksonville posted an ugly home loss to the Broncos in Week 8, bringing their record down to 2-6 on the year. And meanwhile, the Titans had just rumbled to a fifth straight victory, and were quickly building upon their division lead with a record of 5-2.

Oh, how the tables have turned, though, considering the Jaguars have now won four of their last six games, and the Titans have lost four straight. Which all of a sudden, has set the stage for a tight, two-horse race in the AFC South with just three games left to play.

While on the other hand, the Jets may not be able to win their respective division race with Buffalo currently holding a four-game lead over their heads. But they are still very alive in the Wild Card hunt, stationed just one game behind L. A. and Miami with a record of 7-7, who occupy the sixth and seventh slots in the AFC playoff picture.

However, with all the inconsistency and controversy swirling the quarterback position as of late, New York has hit a steep decline. The Jets have now lost five of their last seven games, while scoring 20 points or less in five of those contests. So, it’s tough to imagine them getting back in the saddle and making a playoff push down the stretch.

The Jets are 5-3 in matchups started by Zach Wilson this season, and 2-4 without him. Which has led to some speculation as to whether there’s something about Wilson’s presence that slightly enhances New York’s defensive performance. And there might actually be some truth to that notion, considering the Jets have allowed just 15.6 PPG in contests started by Wilson this year, and 18.6 PPG in those started by Mike White or Joe Flacco.

One thing about Wilson’s presence that’s generally accepted, though, is the fact that he’s been detrimental to the Jets’ offensive performance the last handful of times we’ve seen him. And recently, the Jags seem like they’ve found something on the offensive side of the ball, considering Trevor Lawrence and co. have now scored 36+ points in back-to-back contests, and 28+ points in three of their last four. So, I’ll back Jacksonville here.

Score Prediction: Jaguars 24, Jets 20
Best Bet: Jaguars ML (-105)


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Date: Thursday, December 22, 2022
Matchup: AFC South vs. AFC East
Venue: MetLife Stadium
Location: East Rutherford, New Jersey
Time-TV: Amazon Prime, 8:15 p.m. ET


The Jaguars haven’t exactly set the world on fire with a record of 4-2 in their last six games. However, nobody really expected them to make it out of their latest stretch alive, as Jacksonville entered Week 9 sitting 2-6, staring down the barrel of a tough stint of matchups against the Raiders, Chiefs, Ravens, Lions, Titans, and Cowboys.

But here they are, still scratching and clawing their way back into the playoff picture, and they arguably just passed their biggest test yet with an impressive overtime win over Dallas in their latest affair. 

In regards to the AFC playoff picture, the Jags are still on the outside-looking-in. But with their final three matchups on this year’s slate being the Jets, Texans, and home against the Titans, I think we’ll actually see them sneak away with the division title, especially after grabbing a leg-up in the tiebreaker between Tennessee with a 36-22 victory back in Week 14.

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The Jets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 matchups against Jacksonville. (Getty)


Robert Saleh’s squad certainly isn’t known as an offensive powerhouse. But sometimes I need to take a second, and rehash exactly just how bad New York’s offense has been this season, regardless of who’s under center.

The Jets’ offense is averaging just 20 PPG on 337 YPG, which ranks 23rd and 20th in the league respectively. And it’s incredibly difficult to string wins together when your offense falls short of the 20-point mark in any given contest on the flip of a coin.

Speaking of a coinflip, though, that’s basically how the Jets have named their starting quarterback each week, highlighted by three different signal-callers receiving 3+ starts for New York so far this season, never really allowing them to settle into a rhythm on the offensive side of the script.

The Jets’ defense is still elite, and MetLife Stadium will probably be rocking on Thursday night. But I just simply can’t bring myself to trust this squad with Wilson at the helm, especially heading into a matchup against the Jags’ red-hot offense.


  • The Jags are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of Jacksonville's last five games.
  • The Jags are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Jets' last nine games.
  • The Jets are 1-4 SU in their last five games.
  • The total has gone OVER in five straight matchups between the Jets and Jags..
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of NY Jets' last seven home games.
  • The Jags are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against the Jets.
  • The Jags are 2-5 SU in their last seven games against the Jets.
  • The Jags are 2-18 SU in their last 20 road games.
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