Minnesota Vikings vs. Green Bay Packers Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

Week 17 of the NFL season will resume on Sunday mid-afternoon with a compelling NFC North clash between the Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers. Coverage begins from Lambeau Field in Wisconsin at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS.

Updated on 04/20/2024

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS vs. GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING PREDICTION

This Packers squad appeared to be completely broken in the aftermath of a miserable 3-6 start to the season. However, Aaron Rodgers and co. have now won four of their last six games, while averaging a lofty 26.5 PPG across their latest stretch.

And now, all of a sudden, The Packers are positioned within striking distance of a playoff spot, currently sitting just half-a-game behind Washington in the Wild Card standings with two games left to play, who would earn the seventh seed in the NFC if the season ended prior to this week.

Green Bay’s next two contests certainly won’t be a cakewalk, though, considering the Packers host the Vikings this week, and the Lions the following week to close out the season. And they need wins in both affairs in order to have a shot at playoff contention.

The Vikings have now scored 27+ points in five of their last seven games, and they’ll probably post a similar scoring output against a Packers’ defense that’s been shredded for 27+ points in six of their last ten outings.

However, a 27-point offensive performance certainly doesn’t guarantee a win against this red-hot Packers squad, especially considering the Vikings’ defense is one of the worst groups in the league, currently ranked 28th in scoring and 31st in yardage per play (25 PPG, 6 YPP).

At the very least, the Vikings should be able to keep this game close, and we already know they have a nasty habit of partaking in highly competitive contests. So, I’ll take the over in Sunday’s rematch between a pair of NFC North rivals that have both scored 26+ points in three of their last four games.

Score Prediction: Packers 28, Vikings 24
Best Bet: Over 48 (-110)

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS vs. GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING ODDS

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MINNESOTA VIKINGS vs. GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, January 1, 2023
Matchup: NFC North
Venue: Lambeau Field
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
Time-TV: CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET

MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ANALYSIS

So, if you haven’t already heard, the Vikings pretty much only play close games, highlighted by 11 of Minnesota’s 12 wins coming by a margin of eight points or less throughout their impressive 12-3 run.

The Packers remain to be the lone exception to that claim, though, as Minnesota’s Week 1 victory over Green Bay came by a score of 23-7, which still marks the Vikings’ only win by multiple possessions on the season.

On the surface, it seems odd, the Vikings have three double-digit losses on their resume, yet just one double-digit win of their own. However, it all makes sense when you consider the overall result of their campaign thus far.

This Vikings squad isn’t quite as good as their 12-3 record says they are, and that notion is pretty well documented throughout the sports world. But to be fair, it’s incredibly challenging to win by multiple possessions when, on the other side of the ball, your defense allows 24+ points in 10-of-15 contests throughout the season.

GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Cheeseheads have proclaimed all week that the Pack is Back after stringing together a three-game win streak against the Bears, Rams, and Dolphins. And while, admittedly, the road win over Miami was impressive. I’m still not buying into the Packers just yet, especially favored in a matchup against a 12-win squad.

The Packers have played excellent since Week 12, and I’ll even give them credit for their solid performance in a road loss to Philly (L, 40-33). But personally, I’ve just seen too much bad football from this squad throughout the year to warrant backing them against a group of proven winners like the Vikings.

Feet to the flames, I’d pick the Packers to win this game. And I’ll likely come to regret staying away from them as a short home favorite in this spot. But as of late, the only thing you can rely on these two squads to do is score points. So, your best bet is probably the ‘over’ in this matchup, as opposed to taking a side.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS vs. GREEN BAY PACKERS BETTING TRENDS

• The Vikings are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
• The total has gone OVER in five straight Vikings' games.
• The Packers are 4-2 ATS in their last six games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Green Bay's last six games.
• The Packers are 4-2 SU in their last six games.
• The total has gone OVER in four of Green Bay's last five games against Minnesota.
• The Packers are 15-5 SU in their last 20 home games.
• The Vikings are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.
• The Vikings are 4-1 SU in their last 5 road games.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson