New York Giants vs. Minnesota Vikings Picks, Predictions, Odds

Michael Crosson Sports Betting Expert

5 minute read

NFL Super Wild Card Weekend will resume on Sunday afternoon with a compelling NFC rematch between the New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings. Coverage begins from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis at 4:30 p.m. ET on FOX.

Updated on 04/18/2024

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NEW YORK GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING PREDICTION

In the matchup between these teams a few weeks ago, the Vikings posted a narrow three-point victory, as the Giants punched in a touchdown at the 2-minute mark to tie the game. But ultimately, they left too much time on the clock for Minnesota’s offense, and the Vikings escaped with a win thanks to a 61-yard game-winning field goal by Greg Joseph. 

However, that three-point loss was one of the Giants’ best performances of the second half, highlighted by New York closing the regular season with a miserable 2-5-1 skid, and their offense falling short of the 21-point scoring mark in five of those contests.

The Giants’ offensive struggles are no secret, though. The most worrisome issue regarding Brian Daboll’s squad down the stretch has actually been their defensive play, considering the Giants have now surrendered 27+ points in five of their last ten contests, which doesn’t bode well for a squad averaging less than 22 PPG on the offensive side of the script.

While on the other hand, the Vikings’ defense is nothing to write home about either, highlighted by Minnesota ranking 28th in the league in points allowed with an average of 25 PPG, and they’ve now surrendered 24+ points in seven of their last nine contests.

However, the Vikings’ offensive unit is far superior to New York’s. Minnesota finished the year Top 10 in the league in both scoring and total yardage (25 PPG, 362 YPG), and they’ve now crossed the 27-point mark in 10 of their last 15 games.

The masses have belittled Minnesota’s success all season, and the oddsmakers are somewhat doubting them again in this spot. Which comes as no surprise, considering they earned the third seed in the conference with a record of 13-4, yet still own a negative point differential with 424 points scored and 427 points allowed on the year.

I’ll back Minnesota here, though, as the Vikings have racked up a lofty average of 28 PPG across their last seven games, and they surpassed the 27-point mark in five of those matchups. Which is a benchmark New York’s offense has hit just twice this season. 

Score Prediction: Vikings 27, Giants 20
Best Bet: Vikings -3 (-110)

Take Minnesota!

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NEW YORK GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ODDS

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NEW YORK GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING RESOURCES

Date: Sunday, January 15, 2023
Matchup: NFC East vs. NFC North
Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
TV-Time: FOX, 4:30 p.m. ET

NEW YORK GIANTS BETTING ANALYSIS

The Giants posted a triumphant start to the season. However, the overall merit of New York’s opening stretch has quickly come into question, as the G-Men averaged less than 21 points per game across an impressive 7-2 run out of the gate, and now, it appears their offensive woes have caught up with them, considering they’re just 2-5-1 since that point.

The overall weakness of the NFC East’s schedule has been well-documented in conversations surrounding Philly and Dallas, but it seems like the bottom-half of the division skated by for most of the year with their minor overachievements without much thought.

The NFC East drew matchups against the entire AFC South and NFC North divisions, which was an absolute cakewalk for these squads outside of Minnesota and surprisingly, Detroit down the stretch. So, it’s no surprise that a team of New York’s pedigree managed to sneak into the playoffs.

However, don’t be fooled by their overall record. The Giants aren’t very good. Their offense ranks 22nd in yardage per play and 15th in scoring. And on the flip side, their defense has allowed a lofty average of 24 PPG across their last ten games, while also ranking 24th in the league in yardage per play on the season. 

So, the rest of the NFC playoff teams should consider themselves very fortunate that the G-Men managed to punch a postseason ticket instead of a squad like the Packers or Lions.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING ANALYSIS

Minnesota has become notorious for partaking in close games throughout the year, highlighted by 11 of the Vikings’ 13 victories coming by slim margins of eight points or less during their impressive 13-4 campaign

This Vikings squad certainly isn’t quite as good as their 14-3 record says they are, and that notion is pretty well documented throughout the sports’ world. But to be fair, it’s incredibly challenging to win by a wide gap when, on the other side of the ball, your defense also allows 24+ points in 11-of-17 contests throughout the season.

In the first meeting of the year between these teams, the Vikings won, but they failed to cover the spread in a 27-24 victory over New York. However, that’s an enormous scoring output for this Giants squad, considering they fell short of the 24-point mark in 13-of-17 matchups this season. So, I’ll back Minnesota to cover the spread this time around.

NEW YORK GIANTS vs. MINNESOTA VIKINGS BETTING TRENDS

• The Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games.
• The Giants are 2-8 SU in their last ten matchups against Minnesota.
• The Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
• The total has gone OVER in six of Minnesota's last seven games.
• The Vikings are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games.
• The total has gone UNDER in four of Minnesota's last six games against the Giants.
• The Vikings are 9-1 SU in their last ten home games.
• The Giants are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.

Where to place a bet this NFL Season?

• Use our exclusive BetMGM Bonus Code VIBONUS1500 to unlock BetMGM’s welcome offer for new sportsbook users!
• Compare the latest NFL Odds from the best sportsbooks before placing a bet on this week's games.
• Check out the North Carolina Sportsbooks just before they launch legal online sports betting.

Michael Crosson

Michael Crosson began his time at VegasInsider as a freelance NBA writer back in 2019 while he continued to study Psychology and Biology at James Madison University. Following his graduation in 2021, Michael joined the team full-time, and he's been with VI ever since. Michael still writes NBA, NFL, and MLB for VI, as well as gambling industry news. He's also become a crucial part of our editorial production team. More from Michael Crosson