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NHL Betting Odds & Preview for Tuesday – Lightning at Maple Leafs

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
Tampa Bay Lightning (43-20-6) head north of the border to meet the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-25-9) at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, and the Lightning will be looking to avenge a 4-3 loss at Amalie Arena on Feb. 25 against the Leafs despite entering that contest as -175 favorites.

The last time the Lightning visited the Leafs on Oct. 10, and they came away with a victory by a football score, 7-3. G Andrei Vasilevskiy has split his two starts against the Leafs, going 1-1-0 with a 3.55 goals-against average and .863 save percentage in his two outings. Like Vasilevskiy, fellow Atlantic Division All-Star G Frederik Andersen has split his two starts against Tampa, going 1-1-0 with a 5.62 GAA And .825 SV%, getting pulled in one of his outings.

Tampa Bay Lightning at Toronto Maple Leafs
Date and Time: Tuesday, March 10, 2020, 7:00 p.m. ET
Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
NHL Betting Online Odds at FanDuel: Lightning -120, Total 6.5
TV Coverage: Local

Odds provided by FanDuel (IN, NJ, & PA only)
Odds Subject to Change (T&C's Apply, 21+)

Lightning at Maple Leafs Betting Odds Overview

The Lightning have dominated this series in recent seasons, going 6-2 in the past eight meetings, and they have won six of the past seven trips north of the border, too. The road team has been victorious in five consecutive meetings, too, including Toronto's rare win in Tampa in February. However, the underdog has connected in four of the past five in this series, and the Leafs find themselves as short 'dogs in their own building, so that trend works in their favor.

Also, if the season ended today, these two teams would meet in the Eastern Conference Quarterfinals, so this is likely a playoff preview.

Lightning Current Form

The Lightning have posted a 45-10 record in the past 55 games inside the Atlantic Division, but they have dropped two in a row, including that loss to the Leafs. The Lightning have picked up seven wins in the past 10 road outings, while going 15-4 in the previous 19 contests against teams with an overall winning mark.

As far as the total is concerned, the Lightning have hit the over in five straight on the road, and nine of the past 11 overall. The over is also 6-1 in their past seven against winning teams.

Maple Leafs Current Form

The Maple Leafs have managed to posted 20 victories in the past 28 when working on three or more days of rest, so they are in good shape in that regard. However, they're just 6-14 in the past 20 games as an underdog, and 20-42 in the past 62 as a home underdog.

The Leafs have hit the under in four of their past five at home, but the over is 5-1 in their past six as an underdog. The over is 30-11-1 in the previous 42 against Eastern Conference foes, and 15-7-1 in the past 23 inside the Atlantic Division.

Lightning to Watch

C Brayden Point has racked up two goals with three points, including a power-play goal, while rattling off five shots across two outings. RW Nikita Kucherov has managed 15 goals and 34 points with a plus-12 rating and a power-play goal while registering four game-winning tallies across the past 22 contests. LW Yanni Gourde is also good for three helpers and a plus-3 rating across the past two battles. D Mikhail Sergachev has posted a goal and an assist with a plus-1 rating in the past two games.

 C Anthony Cirelli has cooled off, posting just one goal and two points with a plus-1 rating in the past seven contests. RW Blake Coleman was acquired from the New Jersey Devils at the trade deadline to add some secondary or tertiary scoring punch, but he is scorless in the past four outings with five shots on goal. RW Ondrej Palat is also scoreless across the past four outings with a minus-1 rating.

Maple Leafs to Watch

The Maple Leafs have had some difficulty putting the biscuit in the basket lately. They have managed a total of just three goals in the past three games, getting swept in their three-stop California trip last week. However, in their previous five outings from Feb. 20-29 they averaged 4.0 goals per game (20 total).

While the Leafs do not have anyone scorching hot on the offense end, they have plenty of ice-cold skaters lately. RW William Nylander has just one goal and a minus-1 rating with 18 shots on goal across the past four games. RW Zach Hyman has been blanked in the past three outings with a plus-1 rating. C John Tavares is also scoreless with a minus-1 rating across the past three contests. Cs Alexander Kerfoot and Jason Spezza are each scoreless in the past four outings, too. 

Lightning at Maple Leafs Selection Summary

Skating on home ice hasn't been good for anyone in this series. The road team is 2-0 in the two previous meetings this season, and each of the past five battles in this series. That bodes well for Tampa Bay, who just picked up an impressive 5-3 win in Boston over the weekend. If that trend holds up, it bodes well for the Leafs, too, as the Lightning figure to have home-ice advantage going into a potential playoff series with Toronto.

Lightning at Maple Leafs Free Pick and Score Prediction

Lightning (-120)
Lightning 4, Maple Leafs 3


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