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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Dallas Stars Picks, Predictions, Odds

Daniel Dobish
Daniel Dobish Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read

The Tampa Bay Lightning (44-20-8) travel to meet the Dallas Stars (41-27-4) at the American Airlines Center in Dallas on Tuesday. Puck drop is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET, and the game can be viewed on ESPN.

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Score Prediction

Lightning 3, Stars 2

Best Bet

Lightning -141
Under 6.5 (-127)

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING vs. DALLAS STARS PREDICTIONS

The Lightning went 0-2-2 in a four-game streak from April 2-8 before taking out their aggression on the Buffalo Sabres on Sunday, winning 5-0. After allowing 15 total goals in a three-game span from April 2-6, the Lightning have appeared to solve its defense and goaltending issues with just two total goals allowed in the past two outings.

The Stars are looking for revenge after a 3-1 win by the Lightning Jan. 15 at Amalie Arena in Tampa. Dallas is coming off a 6-4 win in Chicago last time out on Sunday, snapping a two-game mini skid. Dallas needs to keep winning, as it has 86 points, two points ahead of the Vegas Golden Knights for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. Dallas is tied with the Los Angeles Kings with 86 points, too, and it's one point behind the Nashville Predators, too.

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TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING vs. DALLAS STARS BETTING ODDS

Lightning -141
Stars +132
Lightning -1.5 (+172)
Stars +1.5 (-189)
Over 5.5 (-149)
Under 6.5 (-127)

More Odds | Futures Odds

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING vs. DALLAS STARS BETTING RESOURCES

  • Date: Tuesday, April 12, 2022
  • Matchup: Atlantic vs. Central
  • Venue: American Airlines Center
  • Location: Dallas, Texas
  • TV-Time: ESPN, 9:30 p.m. ET

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 44-20-8
  • ATS: 32-40
  • O/U: 36-34-2

The Lightning are currently third in the Atlantic Division with 96 points through 72 games, four points behind the Toronto Maple Leafs for second, and one point ahead of the Boston Bruins. So this is a hugely important road contest, as all of the games are from this point forward.

Tampa Bay has dropped four of the past five games, which is not what the Lightning need at this point. It has really had a lot of difficulty against winning teams, going just 1-9 in the past 10 tries. The Lightning are 39-17 in the past 56 as a favorite, and 35-17 in the past 52 against Western Conference teams. They're also 4-1 in the past five against Central Division teams, too.

For totals, the OVER is 5-2 in the past seven games overall, while going 5-2 in the past seven as a favorite, too. However, the UNDER is 8-1 in the past nine on the road, while going 7-3-1 in the past 11 against winning teams and 4-1 in the past five against the Western Conference, too.

DALLAS STARS BETTING ANALYSIS

Straight Up - SU, Against the Spread - ATS, Over-Under (O/U)

  • SU: 41-27-4
  • ATS: 31-41
  • O/U: 31-39-2

Like Tampa, Dallas has had issues defensively and in between the pipes. The Stars have allowed a total of 11 goals across the past three games, and three or more goals in seven of the past 11 outings dating back to March 22. Not good.

The Stars are 21-9 in the past 30 at home, however, while going 5-2 in the past seven against the Atlantic Division. However, the Stars are just 1-6 in the past seven home games against the Lightning, while going 2-8 in the past 10 meetings overall against Tampa. The OVER is 20-9-4 in the past 33 in this series, too.

For totals, the OVER is 6-1-1 in the past eight against the Atlantic Division, and 4-1 in the past five as a home underdog, too.

The Lightning are just 1-9 in the past 10 vs. teams with a winning overall record. (Getty)

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING vs. DALLAS STARS BETTING CONCLUSION

The Lightning have really struggled recently against the good teams, and pretty much everyone lately. But you can expect the experienced, two-time defending champs will smooth things out. They'll likely find success against the Stars, a team which has won just once in the past seven tries at home against the Lightning.

Believe in the Lightning, who have managed to win four of the past five against the Central Division. The Stars have had issues on the back end lately, and facing Andrei Vasilevskiy isn't great for their offensive outlook. Look for TBL to scratch out a lower-scoring win on the road.

TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING vs. DALLAS STARS BETTING TRENDS

  • Lightning are 1-4 in the past five games overall.
  • Lightning are 1-9 in the past 10 vs. winning teams.
  • Lightning are 4-1 in the past five vs. Central Division.
  • Stars are 21-9 in the past 30 home games.
  • Stars are 5-2 in the past seven vs. Atlantic Division.
  • OVER is 5-2 in the past seven for the Lightning.
  • UNDER is 8-1 in the past nine road games for the Lightning.
  • UNDER is 6-1 in the past seven as a road fave for the Lightning.
  • UNDER is 7-3-1 in the past 11 vs. winning teams for the Lightning.
  • OVER is 4-1 in the past five as a home underdog for the Stars.
  • OVER is 6-1-1 in the past eight vs. Atlantic Division for the Stars.
  • Lightning have won eight of the past 10 meetings.
  • Lightnings are 6-1 in the past seven trips to Dallas.
  • OVER is 20-9-4 in the past 33 meetings.

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Daniel Dobish

Daniel Dobish

Dan is a handicapper and sports betting expert for VegasInsider with years of experience writing for a number of top publications in the industry. More from Daniel Dobish
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