UEFA Tech Trends – Matchday 6

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

14 minute read

Matchday 6 of the UEFA Champions League (UCL) kicks off Tuesday, Dec. 8 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

Tuesday, Dec. 8

ZENIT ST. PETERSBURG vs. DORTMUND

• Zenit has lost five straight UCL matches when facing a club from Germany
• Zenit has lost four of its last five UCL matches

Tech Edge: Dortmund
Probability: Dortmund - 55.9%

LAZIO vs. CLUB BRUGGE

• Lazio has seen a draw in three of its last four UCL matches
• Club Brugge has gone OVER the goal total in five of its last six UCL matches
• Lazio has seen the BTS hit in five straight UCL matches
• Club Brugge has seen the BTS fail in three straight UCL matches
• Club Brugge has seen a 3-0 result in three straight UCL matches

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5 
Probability: Lazio - 58.5%

RE LEIPZIG vs. MANCHESTER UNITED

• Man U has seen the home team win four staight UCL matches when facing a German club
• Man U has lost two of its last three UCL matches
• Man U has seen the goal total go OVER in five straight UCL matches
• Man U has seen the BTS hit in four of its last five UCL matches

Tech Edge: BTS  
Probability: Split  - 39.2%

PSG vs. BASAKSEHIR

• PSG has won five of its last six UCL matches when playing in France
• Basaksehir has lost four of its last five UCL matches
• PSG has seen the BTS fail in six of its last seven UCL home matches

Tech Edge: PSG
Probability: PSG - 90.1%

BARCELONA vs. JUVENTUS

• Juventus has won nine straight UCL Group Stage matches when playing on a Tuesday
• Barcelona has gone OVER the goal total nine of its last 10 UCL home matches
• The BTS has failed to hit in five straight UCL matches played betwen both clubs 
• Barcelona has won five straight UCL matches 

Tech Edge: BTS 
Probability: Barcelona - 47.6%

DYNAMO KYIV vs. FERENCVÁROS 

• Dynamo Kyiv has lost five of its last six UCL home matches
• Dynamo Kyiv has lost three of its last five UCL matches to nil
• Ferencváros has lost three straight UCL matches
• Ferencváros has gone OVER the goal total in five straight UCL matches

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5
Probability: Dynamo Kyiv - 55.4%

RENNES vs. SEVILLA

• Rennes has lost four straight UCL matches
• Rennes has lost three of its last four UCL matches to nil
• Sevilla has won three of its last four UCL matches 

Tech Edge: Sevilla
Probability: Sevilla - 42.6%

CHELSEA vs. KRASNODAR  

• Chelsea has won four straight UCL matches
• Chelsea has failed to see the BTS hit in four of its last five UCL matches
• Krasnodar has lost three of its last four UCL matches

Tech Edge: Chelsea
Probability: Chelsea - 77.5%

Wednesday, Dec. 9

MIDTJYLLAND vs. LIVERPOOL

• Liverpool has won four straight UCL Group Stage road matches
• Midtjylland has lost four of its last five UCL matches
• Liverpool has failed to see the BTS hit in five straight UCL matches 

Tech Edge: Liverpool
Probability: Liverpool - 49%

AJAX vs. ATALANTA

• Ajax has seen a draw in four of its last five UCL matches when facing an Italian club
• Ajax has gone OVER the goal total in three of its last four UCL matches
• Atalanta has won two straight UCL road matches to nil 

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Ajax - 42.6%

BAYERN MUNICH vs. LOKOMOTIV MOSCOW

• Bayern Munich has won 19 of its last 20 UCL Group Stage home matches
• Bayern Munich has seen the BTS hit in four straight UCL matches
• Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a draw in three of its last four UCL matches
• Lokomotiv Moscow has seen the BTS hit in four of its last five UCL matches 

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Bayern Munich - 75.9%

OLYMPIAKOS vs. FC PORTO

• Olympiakos has seen the favorite win 10 straight UCL matches
• Olympiakos has seen the BTS fail in four of its last five UCL matches
• Olympiakos has lost four straight UCL matches
• FC Porto has won three of its last four UCL matches to nil
• FC Porto has failed to see the BTS hit in four straight UCL matches 

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Olympiakos - 55.4%

MANCHESTER CITY vs. MARSEILLE

• Marseille has seen the favorite win 15 straight UCL matches  
• Manchester City has failed to see the BTS hit in four straight UCL matches
• Marseille has failed to see the BTS hit in four of its last five UCL matches 

Tech Edge: Manchester City
Probability: Manchester City - 73.3%

RB SALZBURG vs. ATLÉTICO MADRID

• Salzburg has gone OVER the goal total in five straight UCL matches
• Salzburg has seen the BTS hit in five straight UCL matches
• Atlético Madrid has seen a draw in three straight UCL matches 

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Atlético Madrid  - 47.2%

REAL MADRID vs. MÖNCHENGLADBACH

• Real Madrid has seen the underdog win two straight UCL matches when playing on a Wednesday
• Real Madrid has gone OVER the goal total in 22 of its last 23 UCL home matches
• Mönchengladbach has gone OVER the goal total in five straight UCL matches 

Tech Edge: OVER 2.5
Probability: Real Madrid - 57.6%

INTER vs. SHAKHTAR DONETSK

• Shakhtar Donetsk has lost four of its last six UCL road matches when playing on a Wednesday
• Shakhtar Donetsk has seen the BTS fail in four straight UCL matches

Tech Edge: BTS
Probability: Inter - 77.5%

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