EPL Matchday 17 – Tech Trends & Edge Plays

VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert

13 minute read

Matchday 17 of the English Premier League kicks off Friday, Jan. 1 and we've identified betting trends, probabilties and edges for all the matches.

Both Teams Score (BTS)

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Friday, Jan. 1

EVERTON vs. WEST HAM

• Everton has won three of its last four league matches to nil.
• West Ham has lost seven of its last eight league prime-time matches after seeing a draw the match prior.
• Yerry Mina has scored a goal in two straight league home matches when Everton is the favorite.
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three straight league matches played between both clubs.
• West Ham has seen a draw in three of its last four league matches

Tech Edge: Everton 
Probability: Everton - 50%

MANCHESTER UNITED vs. ASTON VILLA

• Manchester United has won six straight prime-time league matches when facing Aston Villa.
• Manchester United has won four of its last five prime-time matches to nil when facing Aston Villa.
• Manchester United has seen the BTS hit in 10 of its last 15 league matches. 

Tech Edge: Manchester United
Probability: Manchester United - 57.6%

Saturday, Jan. 2

TOTTENHAM vs. LEEDS UNITED

• An own goal has been scored in five of the last nine league home matches for Tottenham when playing as the favorite.
• Tottenham has won 22 of its last 24 league home matches when facing a promoted club.
• Son Heung-Min has scored a goal in four straight league matches after seeing a draw the match prior.
• Harry Kane has scored a goal in four of his last five league matches when playing during the daytime as the favorite.
• Tottenham has gone UNDER the goal total in 10 of its last 15 league matches.
• Leeds has gone OVER the goal total iin five of its last six league matches.

Tech Edge: Son Heung-Min Goal
Probability: Tottenham - 56.5%

CRYSTAL PALACE vs. SHEFFIELD UNITED 

• Sheffield United has lost 10 of its last 11 league matches.
• Sheffield United has lost three of its last four league road matches to nil.
• Sheffield United has lost the first half in four of its last five league road matches.
• Sheffield United has won two straight league matches to nil when facing Crystal Palace.
• Crystal Palace has seen a 1-1 draw in three of its last five league matches.

Tech Edge: Sheffield United Asian Handicap 
Probability: Crystal Palace - 51.5%

BRIGHTON vs. WOLVERHAMPTON

• A draw has occurred in three straight league matches played between both clubs.
• Brighton has covered the Asian Handicap in three of its last four league matches when facing Wolves.
• The goal total has gone UNDER in three of the last four league matches played between both clubs.
• Brighton has seen the BTS hit in 11 of its last 16 league matches.
• Wolves has gone UNDER the goal total in 10 of its last 16 league matches. 

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5  
Probability: Brighton - 37.7%

WEST BROM vs. ARSENAL

• An own goal has been scored in two of the last three West Brom prime-time league matches.
• West Brom has seen the favorite win four of its last five league home matches to nil.
• West Brom has covered the Asian Handicap in three of its last four league matches when facing Arsenal.
• The goal total has gone UNDER in four of the last five league matches played between both clubs.

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5
Probability: Arsenal - 63.6%

Sunday, Jan. 3

BURNLEY vs. FULHAM

• Burnley has seen the BTS fail in 11 of its last 15 league matches.
• Burnley has gone UNDER the goal total in 10 of its last 15 league matches.
• Fulham has seen a draw in four straight league matches
• Fulham has gone UNDER the goal total in five straight league matches 

Tech Edge: UNDER 2.5  
Probability: Burnley - 44.4%

NEWCASTLE UNITED vs. LEICESTER CITY

• Leicester has won three of its last four league matches to nil when facing Newcastle.
• The BTS has failed in four straight league matches played between both clubs. 

Tech Edge: Leicester City 
Probability: Leicester City - 62.3%

CHELSEA vs. MANCHESTER CITY

• The goal total has gone OVER in three straight league matches played between both clubs
• Chelsea has covered the Asian Handicap in four of its last five league matches when facing Manchester City.
• The home team has won five straight league matches played between both clubs.
• Manchester City has gone UNDER the goal total in 11 of its last 14 league matches.
• Manchester City has seen the BTS fail in six of its last seven league matches. 

Tech Edge: Chelsea Asian Handicap 
Probability: Manchester City - 44.4%

Monday, Jan. 4

SOUTHAMPTON vs. LIVERPOOL

• The goal total has gone OVER in four straight league matches played between both clubs.
• Southampton has failed to cover the Asian Handicap in five straight league matches when facing Liverpool.
• Liverpool has seen the BTS hit in 11 of its last 16 league matches.
• Both clubs have seen a draw in two straight league matches.
• Southampton has failed to score a goal in three straight league matches 

Tech Edge: BTS 
Probability: Liverpool - 61.4%

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