Last Updated May 28, 2022, 2:29 PM

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Picks, Predictions, Odds

The UEFA Champions League is set to conclude on Saturday, May 28 between English club Liverpool and Spanish club Real Madrid. The match is scheduled for 3:00 p.m. ET and will air on CBS from the Stade de France located in Saint-Denis, France.

Best Bets 

  • Over 2.5 (-125) at bet365
  • BTS - Yes (-150) at bet365
  • Karim Benzema Anytime Goal (+120) at bet365

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Betting Predictions

Both clubs survived scares to enter the final on Saturday, although one could argue Liverpool had the much easier route with Villarreal doing its dirty work against Munich. Despite that, Liverpool has only lost one UEFA league match over its last 12 contests and therefore enters as the favorite with plus-value. Real Madrid has actually won four of five meetings against Liverpool in UEFA competition, and is unbeaten in five straight including the 2020-21 quarterfinals.

It's difficult to decide a winner here, with Real Madrid's historic success in the event while Liverpool having much more depth in raw talent. Aggregate has allowed Real Madrid to reach this stage however, which won't be the case on Saturday with a one-and-done match - as the Spanish club has actually lost two of three league matches despite reaching the final.

The goal total market, along with the BTS market, are actually very cheap for the amount of times these teams score goals. Of the two, the goal total is the better play and the recommended one - as the BTS has failed in three of five meetings between both clubs despite the Over hitting in three of five. Real Madrid's trends are the kicker though, seeing the Over hit in five straight UEFA matches along with the BTS hitting in all five of those matches.

Both teams are also over .500 in the O/U record this season when playing in UEFA league matches. Real Madrid has gone Over in nine of its last 12 UEFA matches, as the combined O/U for the teams sits at 16-8 heavily favoring the Over. Liverpool has gone Over in three of its last four UEFA matches.

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Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Betting Odds

  • Liverpool +110
  • Real Madrid +245
  • Draw +260
  • Over 2.5 (-125)
  • Under 2.5 (+100)
  • UEFA Futures Odds
(Getty)

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Betting Resources

  • Date: Saturday, May 28, 2022
  • Matchup: EPL vs. La Liga
  • Stadium: Stade de France
  • Location: Saint-Denis, France
  • TV-Time: CBS - 3:00 p.m.

Liverpool Betting Analysis

Liverpool has won four straight UEFA league matches when facing a Spanish club, but the one club they can't crack lies in front of them. The Reds have won three of four matches, gone unbeaten in four straight and have won 10 of 12 UEFA matches overall. It's tough not to take them at plus-value. The goal total is still the safest bet, as Liverpool is 7-5 overall on the O/U in UEFA league matches this season.

The Reds have also seen the BTS hit in three of four league matches along with a 7-5 record slightly favoring Yes. Even in Premier League play the Reds are allowing goals while also scoring them. Liverpool has seen the BTS hit in six straight matches across all leagues, along with the Over hitting in five of those six matches.

Real Madrid Betting Analysis

Real Madrid has actually seen the BTS fail in three of its last four matches when playing in the Spanish League - La Liga Santander. The goal total has gone Under in three of four matches as well, but Liverpool is a much different animal than Betis, Cadiz and Levante. Bilbao is also a much better defensive team, along with the benefit of facing Madrid at home. So the La Liga trends for Real Madrid entering should be taken with a grain of salt - if any.

Liverpool has scored two or more goals in four straight matches while also allowing one is much stronger to base a bet off of than Madrid's recent opponents. Madrid is still 9-3 O/U and 7-5 BTS in UEFA play this season, seeing both markets hit in five straight UEFA matches. The club has also seen one team score at least three goals - so the Over is hitting with just one team scoring in Real Madrid UEFA matches.

Key Players to Watch

  • LIV: Mohamed Salah - Forward
  • LIV: Sadio Mane - Forward
  • RMA: Karim Benzema - Forward
  • RMA: Vinicius Junior - Forward

Liverpool vs. Real Madrid Betting Conclusion

As stated, the goal total and BTS hitting are probably your best bets here. With the amount of goals scored, and given up by these clubs in recent UEFA matches it's difficult to see a victory to nil for either team here. If picking a winner though, it seems Madrid is the one to shy away from. The club is just 3-0-3 when playing as the underdog in UEFA league matches, while Liverpool is 9-1-1 playing as the favorite. Karim Benzema is also a solid play to consider for Real Madrid scoring a goal at +120, scoring 15 goals in 11 matches.

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