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UEFA Euros 2020 Player Prop Picks, Predictions, Odds

 

June 6, 2021
by Toby Maxtone-Smith
VI Soccer Expert
VegasInsider.com

2020 UEFA Euro Betting Resources

How to Bet the Euro 2020

2020 UEFA Euro Top Tournament Scorer Best Bets

  • Romelu Lukaku at 15/2
  • Antoine Griezmann at 25/1
  • Burak Yilmaz at 50/1
  • João Félix at 100/1
  • Artem Dzyuba at 100/1

Harry Kane is a worthy leader in this market at 6/1 having won the award at the World Cup, but he is probably short enough, and the second favourite, Romelu Lukaku (15/2) looks the best bet here.

He will be vital to Belgium’s chances, given the bad form of Eden Hazard and the injury to Kevin de Bruyne . Lukaku is Belgium’s all-time top goalscorer with 59 goals from 92 appearances. He has scored 23 and 24 in his last two league campaigns with Inter Milan and is at the peak of his powers.

Lukaku is an expert at pillaging goals against weaker opponents and also takes Belgium’s penalties, so matches against Denmark, Russia and Finland should suit him. He scored four goals in Belgium’s first two World Cup matches - comfortable victories over minnows Tunisia and Panama.

France’s fantastic front three are prominent in the betting, with Kylian Mbappé third favourite at 9/1, Karim Benzema at 16/1 and Antoine Griezmann at 25/1. Of these, Griezmann looks the best bet. He has endured a couple of underwhelming seasons at Barcelona, but there is no questioning his ability to perform at tournaments, having picked up various awards at World Cup 2018 and Euro 2016. It is still unclear whether he or Mbappé will take their penalties.

Cristiano Ronaldo is 12/1, but Portugal has a greater wealth of goalscoring options than usual, so that looks too short. A better option at a very big price for Portugal is João Félix all the way down at 100/1. He may not start Portugal’s opening game, but given the rigours of the club season rotation will play a bigger part at this tournament than at any other, so Félix will get minutes. He is an exceptional counter-attacking talent who is slightly held back by Atlético Madrid’s defensive approach. This could be the tournament where he finally makes his mark.

Memphis Depay is an interesting option at 18/1 and dominates the Dutch attack, also taking their penalties. However my general doubts over the Netherlands’ ability to go deep into the tournament discourage me from backing him.


Croatia's Ivan Perisic has scored three goals over his liast eight UEFA Euro Qualifier matches. (AP)

Italy number 9 Ciro Immobile is a 22/1 shot, but he has often struggled on the biggest stage, never replicating his goalscoring exploits at club level for Italy, or when he moved away from Serie A to Borussia Dortmund. Italy has a tendency to spread its goals around, however, so they may not be as reliant on their main forward as other sides.

Robert Lewandowsk i is arguably the best striker in the world at the moment having netted a quite ridiculous 41 goals in 29 Bundesliga games this season. However, he has only two goals in 11 tournament matches with Poland, one of which was a penalty. At 25/1 he is fairly priced.

There are two people at bigger prices that are worth throwing a couple of darts at. One is Burak Yilmaz at 50/1. He has netted five goals in four Turkey games in 2021 and scored 16 in 28 for Lille in their unlikely Ligue 1 success. The 35-year-old 6’2 Yilmaz leads the line fantastically well, linking play, intimidating defenders with his size and finishing coolly. If Turkey goes well, he could be the key.

The other is Russia’s Artem Dzyuba at 100/1, another experienced, old-fashioned striker who can really menace defences. At 35 Dzyuba scored the most goals in the Russian league last year with 20 from 27 for Zenit St Petersburg. He was Russia’s main goalscoring weapon during their home run to the World Cup quarter-finals three years ago.

2020 UEFA Euro Player of Tournament Best Bets

  • N’Golo Kanté at 20/1

The winners of Player of the Tournament awards are usually creative or attacking players who play for the winning team, and so Mbappé is a fairly predictable leader in this market at 9/1.

But there are exceptions. Germany defender Matthias Sammer won the award at Euro 96, while Greece’s workmanlike midfield captain Theodoros Zagorakis picked up the award in 2004. Fabio Cannavaro won the Ballon d’Or off the back of winning the award for the best player at the 2006 World Cup.

So there are precedents for more defensive players winning these awards, and at 20/1 N’Golo Kanté makes a huge appeal.

Kanté is as close to being a superstar as is possible for a defensive midfielder. He caught the eye enough to win man of the match awards in both Chelsea’s Champions League semi-final wins as well their final victory. He won the PFA Players’ Player of the Year in 2017 and is adored by fans and pundits alike. His list of personal awards is enormous for a player in his position and he can add to that at the European Championships.

2020 UEFA Euro Top Team Goalscorer Best Bets

  • Jorginho Italy at 28/1
  • Ivan Perisic Croatia at 7/1
  • Arkadiusz Milik Poland at 9/1

This can be a very nice market to bet on, especially because one goal can often be enough to win money. There are three particularly good-looking bets that catch my eye here.

First is Jorginho for Italy at 28/1. He improbably ended up being Chelsea’s top league goalscorer scoring seven goals, all of their penalties, and that is why he represents value here. Some of Italy’s recent penalties have been taken by other people, but on all of those occasions, Jorginho was not on the pitch. If he is their number one taker then 28/1 represents serious value given the proliferation of penalties due to VAR that we saw at the 2018 World Cup

Then there is Ivan Perisic of Croatia at 7/1. He has a fantastic tournament record, scoring three at the last World Cup, two at Euro 2016 and two at the 2014 World Cup. Mario Mandzukic’s retirement means there is more pressure on Perisic to come up with the goods, especially given that Croatia’s talented midfield is more about possession and control than scoring goals.

The third is Arkadiusz Milik of Poland at 9/1. Lewandowski takes up over half of this market for Poland, but his record of two tournament goals in 11 games means you should look elsewhere. Milik is a striker of some pedigree and enjoyed a fruitful loan spell at Marseille this season, scoring eight goals in 14 games.


  
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