Last Updated Aug 30, 2021, 9:52 AM

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal Tech Trends

UFC Fight Night airs this Saturday, Dec. 19 with Stephen Thompson vs. Geoff Neal in the main event. The event is set to air live on ESPN+ from UFC Apex in Enterprise, Nevada.

Below are the betting trends and probabilites for each match on the current fight card. 

Match card subject to change

Where to Bet on UFC Fight Night

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal

CHRISTOS GIAGOS vs. CARLTON MINUS

  • Carlton Minus has won 10 of his last 13 fights
  • Carlton Minus has gone the distance in four of his last five fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Giagos (75.9%) 

Bet with: DraftKings

CODY DURDEN vs. JIMMY FLICK

  • Jimmy Flick has won 15 of his last 20 fights
  • Jimmy Flick has seen two of his last three fights end in Round 1
  • Cody Durden has won 11 of his last 14 fights 
  • Cody Durden has seen four of his last six fights end in Round 1

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Flick (60.8%) 

TAFON NCHUKWI vs. JAMIE PICKETT

  • Tafon Nchukwi has won four straight via TKO/KO  
  • Jamie Pickett has won 11 of his last 15 fights 
  • Jamie Pickett has seen a finished result in four of his last six fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Nchukwi (75.3%)

Bet with:  PointsBet

DERON WINN vs. ANTONIO ARROYO

  • Deron Winn has won six of his last eight fights
  • Deron Winn has seen four straight fights enter Round 3
  • Antonio Arroyo has won nine of his last 12 fights
  • Antonio Arroyo has seen a finished result in 10 of his last 12 fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Arroyo (61.8%)

KARL ROBERSON vs. DALCHA LUNGIAMBULA

  • Karl Roberson has lost three straight fights that have ended in Round 1
  • Karl Roberson has seen a submission result in three of his last four fights
  • Dalcha Lungiambula has won 10 of his last 12 fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Roberson (73.5%)

SIJARA EUBANKS vs. PANNIE KIANZAD

  • Sijara Eubanks has gone the distance in eight straight fights
  • Pannie Kianzad has gone the distance in seven of her last eight fights
  • Pannie Kianzad has lost three of her last five fights after winning the fight prior

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Eubanks (61.8%)

Bet with:  FanDuel


ANTHONY PETTIS vs. ALEX MORONO

  • Anthony Pettis has seen four of his last six fights end in Round 2
  • Alex Morono has won four of his last five fights
  • Alex Morono has failed to go the distance in four of his last five fights after going the distance the fight prior 

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Pettis (70.6%)

GILLIAN ROBERTSON vs. TALIA SANTOS

  • Talia Santos has won 16 of her last 17 fights
  • Talia Santos has gone the distance in three straight fights
  • Gillian Robertson has won seven of her last nine fights
  • Gillan Robertson has seen a finished result in eight of her last nine fights 

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Split (52.8%)

Bet with:  BetMGM

MARCIN TYBURA vs. GREG HARDY 

  • Greg Hardy has seen four straight fights go past Round 1
  • Marcin Tybura has won 20 of his last 26 fights
  • Marcin Tybura has gone the distance in three straight fights
  • Marcin Tybura has seen eight of his last 10 fight enter Round 3

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Hardy (54.1%)

MARLON MORAES vs. ROB FONT 

  • Rob Font has won 17 of his last 21 fights
  • Rob Font has seen three straight fights go the distance
  • Marlon Moraes has won five of his last seven fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Moraes (59.7%)

MICHEL PEREIRA vs. KALINN WILLIAMS 

  • Kalinn Williams has won 11 of his last 12 fights
  • Kalinn Williams has seen four of his last five fights endf in Round 1

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Pereira (55.4%)

Bet with:  Unibet

JOSE ALDO vs. MARLON VERA 

  • Jose Aldo has lost three straight fights
  • Jose Aldo has seen three straight fights enter the final round
  • Marlon Vera has won six of his last seven fights
  • Marlon Vera has seen a finished result in six of his last seven fights

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Aldo (60%)

STEPHEN THOMPSON vs. GEOFF NEAL  

  • Geoff Neal has won 13 of his last 15 fights
  • Geoff Neal has seen a TKO/KO result in three of his last four fights
  • Stephen Thompson has failed to win four of his last six fights
  • Stephenn Thompson has seen six of his last seven fights go the distance

IMPLIED PROBABILTY

Winner: Split (52.8%)

OTHER U.S. SPORTSBOOKS TO BET WITH


What is Implied Probability?

Implied probability is a conversion of betting odds into a percentage. It takes into account the sportsbooks margin to express the expected probability of an outcome occurring.

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