Initially, either the UFC Featherweight Championship or UFC Bantamweight Championship was supposed to headline UFC 272. However, those title fights had to be postponed, so instead welterweights Jorge Masvidal and Colby Covingtonwill square off in the main event. Covington previously held the UFC Welterweight Championship title, and he is a hefty favorite over Masvidal this weekend.
UFC 272 Betting Odds
Colby Covington (-350) vs. Jorge Masvidal (+275)
Bryce Mitchell (-150) vs. Edson Barboza (+125)
Kevin Holland (-300) vs. Alex Oliveira (+240)
Sergey Spivak (-250) vs. Greg Hardy (+190)
Jalin Turner (-160) vs. Jamie Mullarkey (+130)
Mariya Agapova (-225) vs. Maryna Moroz (+180)
Kennedy Nzechukwu (-150) vs. Nick Negumereanu (+125)
Colby Covington has lost two of his last three fights, but both of those bouts were against Kamaru Usman. The current welterweight champion is seen as the top pound-for-pound fighter in the UFC after Khabib Nurmagomedov retired last year, so there’s no shame in those defeats. Those have constituted two of Covington’s three losses as a professional MMA fighter.
Jorge Masvidal has also lost to Usman twice. Masvidal challenged Usman for the title at UFC 251 and UFC 261, but he was dominated both times. Gamebred is a knockout artist that has struggled in fights that have gone the distance as his last four losses have come by decision, and his last five wins have come by knockout.
Covington is favored in this fight because he is known for his ring control. Many observers expect him to effectively take down Masvidal throughout this contest to take away his opponent’s power, but his lack of quality wins recently is a bit concerning. Covington’s last two wins came against past their-prime fighters in Robbie Lawler and Tyron Woodley, so it might be worth backing Masvidal as a big underdog here.
The best value on the main card lies with Sergey Spivak. The odds have moved in his favor since they opened for his fight with Greg Hardy a few weeks ago, but they haven’t adjusted enough to account for the difference in quality between these two foes. Spivak lost his last fight in September, but he has impressive wins over Tai Tuivasa and Alexey Oleynik in the last 30 months. He can overpower foes with his power, but he is also skilled with his ground game and can win a lot of fights by submission.
The UFC has tried to make Greg Hardy into a commodity, but the former Dallas Cowboys’ defensive end just hasn’t been that good of a fighter. Hardy does not have good wrestling skills, and he was knocked out by Marcin Tybura and Tuivasa in his last two fights.
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