Posted 10/09/2012 at 01:51 PM
After going 15-1 in the regular season last year and finishing +201 in point differential the Packers are now 2-3 sitting at +1 in point differential as one of the big surprises of the season. The early schedule has been tough and another big game is waiting this week at Houston Sunday night. With Minnesota and Chicago off to impressive starts it may be panic time in Green Bay and the acclaimed receiving corps has looked rather average this season with Greg Jennings out and Jordy Nelson disappearing with tougher assignments as the #1 wide out. Jermichael Finley also continues to be maddening with the regular drops. The injury to Cedric Benson won’t help the cause and this still looks like a below average defensive team. The schedule gets much easier in a few weeks and recall that Green Bay won the Super Bowl as just a 10-6 team two years ago.
The NFC is now 15-6 vs. the AFC S/U, winning five of seven match-ups S/U last week and the NFC North is responsible for half of the losses. The NFC has won the last three Super Bowls and the conference certainly appears to have the edge in the early going again this season. Only six of 16 AFC teams have a positive point differential at this point in the season and only five AFC teams have a winning record.
Underdogs continue to hit at a strong clip in the NFL at close to 60 percent on the season even after a slight edge for chalk last week. While the ‘under’ has caught up after high scoring early, six teams still scored 30 or more points last week.
In the college landscape it looks more and more likely that there may be no undefeated teams by season’s end, at least in the major conferences. The SEC will continue to knock each other out and even if one team makes it through they’ll need to survive a tough conference championship game as the East clearly has made up ground on the West. Alabama appears to be in the driver’s seat for now but this week starts a run of five very tough games in a row for the Crimson Tide with three of those games on the road. With LSU and Georgia losing last week they both take a big hit in the rankings but both are still viable double-digit win teams and far from eliminated from the title picture as things shake out.
With Florida State losing last week a big player in the title hunt is out and West Virginia and Kansas State don’t look likely to survive the Big XII schedule. Oregon could be a candidate but the Ducks will have a number of tough games and could have to beat a team like USC twice to survive. Rutgers, Cincinnati, and Louisville are all still undefeated in the Big East and it would be an interesting case if one of those teams makes it through. Notre Dame is also very much alive in the picture and the Irish are probably a threat to steal a BCS spot even with two losses this season. Best of Luck, on to this week’s slate…