Posted 12/09/2013 at 05:33 PM
With the threat of big controversy, the final season of the BCS provided a clean ending with a clear championship matchup and no team left out of a BCS bowl game with a great case to make. If this were next season and a four-team playoff needed to be set there would certainly be a less clear cut picture. As it stands by the BCS standings, Florida State would face Michigan State and the SEC would feature two teams in the playoff with an Iron Bowl rematch between Auburn and Alabama to decide the two finalists. Not much about the resume says overwhelmingly that Michigan State is superior to the Big XII champion Baylor or the Pac-12 champion Stanford. That would be a daunting question for the selection committee next season. Add in the case that Alabama failed to win its own division and the unfairness for Auburn to have to face the same team again two weeks later after beating them and it would be a messy picture with the teams that get left out making a very loud case.
No matter how it shakes out next season the SEC is likely to again make a case for two teams among the four semifinalists based on the recent track record and the valuation of the conference a step ahead of every other league, which creates an advantage with the higher poll ratings and a better chance for higher quality wins. It will be interesting to see if the playoff committee would decide to make those teams play in a semifinal or if they would set-up the possibility of an all SEC final as they won’t be obligated to put the matchups in based on a set rankings order, rather they will be able to manipulate the matchups as they see fit.
Those that saw the ugly weather Sunday morning heading into Week 14 NFL slate might have been tempted to jump on the ‘under’ in several matchups. While it looked promising early in several games and clearly the weather had an impact on the results, the ‘under’ had disastrous results in the games where weather was a factor. Of the nine games with extreme cold temperatures and/or snow the ‘over’ went 8-1 with only the Atlanta/Green Bay game staying just ‘under’. Oddly two games played in comfortable conditions Sunday featured the most turnovers of the day with seven turnovers in Tampa and four turnovers in San Diego.
There was only one road favorite last week on Sunday, the Chiefs crushing Washington as a slight road favorite but this Sunday there will likely be as many as 10 teams favored on the road. Road favorites have been almost a dead even ATS proposition this season though overall home teams, as well as favorites, do hold slight edges on the season. In the Week 15 slate there is only one game that features a matchup of two teams that would both make the playoffs currently, with the Monday night game featuring the Ravens and Lions, two teams that are just barely clinging to playoff spots through 14 weeks. Best of Luck and on to this week’s slate…