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Brian Edwards - Blogs

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WEEK 10 BLOG

By Brian Edwards
Posted 11/03/2007 at 11:56 AM

It's time for bets and ballgames all day long during Week 10 of the college football season. I'll check in throughout the day.

11:52 a.m.: An LVSC alert informs me that the BC-FSU game tonight will have inclement weather conditions. There's a 100 percent chance of rain with wind gusts expected to be as high as 35-60 mph. The total has been adjusted to 38.

Upset alert? Watch out for Troy between the hedges today. Georgia is in the exact same situation LSU was when it went to Kentucky and lost. That spot consisted of "post-Florida with Auburn on deck." In other words, a Gator-Tiger sandwich game. LOVE the Trojans plus the points.

Back in a bit...

Noon: ESPN is reporting that P.J. Hill won't play for Wisconsin at Ohio St.

12:10 p.m.: I've got nine games in my pick pack today, so check it out. I went 5-1 last week. I'll have some NBA plays posted shortly. Purdue and Northwestern are out to quick 7-0 leads over Penn St. and Iowa, respectively, in the two ESPN games going right now.

1:00ish: Quick update here, Florida is up on Vandy by a 14-0 count. Ball St. has a 10-3 lead at Indiana. Wake has a 6-3 advantage over UVA, but you have to feel ok if you're Al Groh because the Demon Deacons have had great field position thanks to a fumble recovery and a blocked punt, but have failed to separate themselves from the Wahoos. Northwestern is ahead 14-0 over a rapidly-sinking Iowa program. More in a bit...

3:00 p.m.: The noon games have reached crunch time. Wake Forest is clinging to a 16-10 lead at Virginia, but the Cavs just fielded a punt near midfield with 6:15 remaining. Wisconsin had a lead at Ohio St. in the third quarter, but the top-ranked Buckeyes now lead 31-17 midway through the final stanza. Badger backers are catching 16. The Gators lead Vandy 35-10 as 15-point favorites.

Indiana now has a two-TD lead over Ball St. N.C. St. is knotted in a 13-13 tie at Miami as a double-digit underdog. Iowa State leads K-St. 28-13 midway through the third quarter. The Cylcones are also double-digit 'dogs.

I'm on Navy on the money line to end its 43-year losing streak to Notre Dame, but the Irish are on top 7-0 early.

UVA just got a huge fourth-down conversion. One play later, the Wahoos have first-and-goal at the Wake two with three minutes left. They now score to go ahead.

3:10ish: Now Wake answers with a fourth-down conversion of its own with more than a minute left. The Deacs just need to get into field-goal range for Sam Swank, who is one of the nation's premier place-kickers.

Iowa has rallied and has a 21-17 lead at Northwestern late in the fourth quarter. The Hawkeyes went off as 1 1/2-point 'dogs.

Wow, a second fourth-down conversion has Wake almost in field-goal range with 17 seconds left. Riley Skinner, the sophomore out of Jacksonville Bolles, completed both 4th-down passes. Now two seconds left, Swank about to attempt a 52-yarder from the right hash. I'm on Wake minus one, so I need this...

My bad, it's a 48-yarder...and it's wide right by a couple of feet. UVA wins another nail-biter. Wow. Great game. Ouch!

3:40ish: They've gone to overtime at the Orange Bowl. Clemson spanked Duke 47-10 to easily cover. The Gators are crushing Vandy thanks to huge days from Tim Tebow, Percy Harvin and Bubba Caldwell. I'll provide their final stats when that game goes final. Easy winner on the 'over' (50), which has been money in Gator games all year.

Just like I said all week, Troy is giving Georgia all it wants in Athens. The Bulldogs just got a field goal to extend their lead to 27-20. It has been back-and-forth dall day. I've got the Trojans catching 17 (posted early in the week, line moved as low as 14 this morning).

N.C. State wins outright at Miami. Kudos to Christian Alexander for calling that upset on the Power Hours this week after I asked him what double-digit 'dog had the best chance to win outright.

Kansas might score 100 on Nebraska today. The Jayhawks lead 69-31 late in the third quarter -- with the ball in 'Husker territory.

4:15ish: Georgia just moved ahead of the number for the first time all day, taking a 44-27 lead on Knowshon Moreno's third TD run of the day. With UGA RBs Thomas Brown and Kregg Lumpkin out of the lineup, Moreno has been putting up incredible numbers. (Here were my thoughts on Moreno after I saw him play for the first time earlier this season.)

The Fighting Manginos have a 76-39 lead over Nebraska. That's the most points the Cornhuskers have given up in school history. That football history at Nebraska dates back to 1890. Seriously, I'll be shocked if Callahan isn't fired tomorrow.

4:35ish: Troy is driving for the backdoor cover as I type. The Trojans are at UGA's 30 with less than a minute left. Oklahoma St. is out to a 21-7 lead against Texas as a 2 1/2-point 'dog. Cincy has a 31-14 lead at USF late in the first quarter. The total is 50.

Wow, talk about a nail-biter for our purposes. Troy is at UGA's four yard line with 18 seconds left and one timeout remaining. C'mon, Trojans! Get in there for me, please.

4:40: Breaking... Touchdwn Trojans for the cover! Sweet! Dawgs win, 44-34.

5:45ish: Let's get up to date. Iowa State covered the spread for the third straight game as a double-digit 'dog. After giving Oklahoma and Mizzou fits, the Cyclones broke through today with a 31-20 home win over K-St. Iowa held on to beat NW, 28-17.

LSU is up 10-3 at 'Bama and knocking on the door for more. However, DT Glenn Dorsey has left the game (knee) and his return is "questionable." Michigan leads Michigan St. 14-10 midway through the third quarter. Navy and Notre Dame are tied at 28-28 with :52 seconds left (I have Navy +140 on the money line). The Irish are about to attempt a lengthy field goal for the lead.

Oklahoma St. leads Texas 28-14 early in the third. LSU just scored to go ahead double digits, but the TD play is under review. Charlie Weis changed his mind and decided to go for it on fourth and eight, by-passing what would've been about a 44-yard field goal. Notre Dame dropped back to pass, Navy blitzed and got the sack on a beautiful play by the safety. Navy is at own 30 and it looks like we are headed to OT with the longest head-to-head winning streak (Notre Dame over Navy 43 straight times) at stake in the extra session.

6:25ish: Navy is facing a 3rd and 11 trailing 38-35 in double OT. Michigan St. has taken a 17-14 lead over Michigan early in the fourth quarter. The Tide has turned in Tuscaloosa, as Alabama has closed to within 17-10 and is on the march. LSU looked like it was going to run away and hide, but a roughing-the-passer penalty kept a 'Bama drive alive, then it scored and now has picked off Matt Flynn.

Navy just (barely!) made a 32-yard field goal to force a third OT. (Gotta love watching Irish fans suffer through this torture!) Back to LSU-'Bama, Dorsey has returned to the game. I'm on 'Bama plus seven and 'over' 48. Spartans and Tide are both in the red zone.

6:37: Navy has the lead 46-38 in the third OT and Notre Dame is facing fourth-and-one inside the five. There's a timeout. NCAA's longest streak on the line...

TD Irish, but they still need the conversion. Alabama settled for a field goal, cutting its deficit to 17-13 vs. LSU. The conversion: Navy gets pressure on the QB, the pass falls incomplete...but wait... we've got laundry. Pass interference on Navy. (Am I really watching this scrub game? Yes, I am.) Oh boy, shaky call on the replay. I don't know about that.

6:40ish: It's over. For the first time since 1963, Navy has beaten Notre Dame. Forty-three years of torture for the Midshipmen is over. They beat Notre Dame 46-44 in triple OT as a three-point 'dog. They hook me up with a plus 140 money-line payout. Love it!

LSU is on the move with 3:30ish left in the second quarter, leading 17-13. LSU closed as a 6 1/2-point 'chalk.' Cincy leads USF 38-27 at the end of the third. The Spartans lead the Wolverines 24-14 with seven minutes left.

Flynn throws his third interception of the first half and 'Bama gets a great return and a 15-yard penalty. Now John Parker Wilson finds Keith Brown in the end zone and the Tide has its first lead of the day at 20-17 with less than a minute remaining until intermission. To say the least, the crowd is rocking at Bryant-Denny Stadium. Easy quiz question: Only coach to win the SEC at two different schools? What a gimmee, that's Bear Bryant at Kentucky and 'Bama.

Michigan has scored to pull within three with more than three minutes left. Ok-St. is clinging to a 35-28 lead over Texas with 6:20 left in Stillwater. UCLA is trying to come back at 'Zona, but the Bruins are running out of time down by seven with 2:12 remaining.

7:30ish: Let's get caught up. Michigan rallied to beat its in-state rival thanks to a 31-yard TD pass from Chad Henne to Mario Manningham. The Wolverines have won eight straight, but they only pushed for their backers today as four-point 'chalk.' Oregon is thumping ASU 21-3 in the first half. The Ducks are my guaranteed play for tonight. I also have Mizzou, which is down 10-7 early in the second quarter. UNC beat Maryland 16-13 as a two-point favorite. 'Bama still leads LSU 20-17 early in the third quarte. A 'Bama punt just buried LSU relatively deep in its own territory.

8:15ish: Keith Brown's second TD catch of the night has 'Bama ahead on LSU 27-17, but Flynn just answered with a long TD pass to Demetrius Byrd for 61 yards. USF's comeback bid fell short when a Matt Grothe throw into the end zone fell incomplete. Bearcats beat Bulls, 38-33. USF has lost three in a row.

ASU has pulled to within 21-13 with four minutes left in the second quarter. UConn has an 18-3 lead on Rutgers in the first half. Mizzou is now up 24-10 in Boulder. Washington leads 10-3 at halftime in Palo Alto.

9:15ish: A game for the ages in T-Town. Trailing 34-27, LSU faced a fourth-and-four inside 'Bama territory late in the fourth quarter. Flynn found Early Doucet on a quick slant, and the nation's premier WR did the rest, breaking a tackle and juking a defender on his way to the end zone. Next, John Parker Wilson fumbled on a sack and LSU recovered at 'Bama's five. Then Jacob Hester plunged in and LSU has a 41-34 lead with 1:30ish left.

Most likely the final update of the night (I'll have a rewind in headlines Sunday) at around 9:40: LSU wins, 41-34. Heartbreaker for 'Bama backers who bet the game at plus 6.5. Fortunately, I played 'Bama on Friday at 7.5. Easy winner on 'over.' Arkansas leading South Carolina 28-10 as McFadden and Felix Jones are getting nasty. I'm telling you right now: Watch out for Arkansas at LSU in the regular-season finale. Yes, Arkansas can win in Baton Rouge if it plays real well with D-Mac getting nasty, it will win. And remember, the Hogs might be playing for their coach's job in that spot. Oregon is pulling away from ASU, ahead 35-16. FSU has a 7-0 lead on BC early in the second quarter. Rutgers has rallied to get back in the game, trailing UConn 25-19 midway through the fourth. Allright folks, hope you won your bets Saturday! I'm out...

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