Posted 10/11/2012 at 02:28 PM
The New England Patriots are going to the Super Bowl this year. They started the season at 1-2 and as of this writing are 3-2. Fact is they could just as easily be 5-0 if it weren’t for a missed field goal on the final play vs. Arizona by a player who is one of the best kickers in the league.
This Patriots team also blew a 30-21 lead in the final seven minutes at Baltimore thanks to a weak pass defense and terrible replacement refs phantom penalties.
I live in Las Vegas and right now the sports books have the Texans(5-0) listed as the favorite to come out of the AFC. I respect the Texans but they are not as good as their record. They have yet to beat a team with a winning record. Let’s see how they do at home vs. Green Bay and Baltimore and later in the year they play Minnesota and Chicago. I admit their division schedule is cake but I am already looking ahead to a game to take place December 10th at New England as the Patriots host the Texans. New England is clearly the better team with the league’s top rated offense overall and a monstrous running game.
Once TE Hernandez comes back, look out. New England has improved defensively after being ranked 32nd last year, up to 19th this year with a very good rush defense. The Patriots match up extremely well vs Houston and it will be the Texans third consecutive road game in December. The tiebreaker will go to the Pats solidifying the top seed. No one will win at New England in January except the Patriots.
Worse case scenario they finish as a number 2 seed. I still like their chances if they have to travel to get through number one Houston to get to the Super Bowl. The key to being a successful professional sports bettor is to see it before it happens. Public perception is usually late. Bet the Patriots to win the AFC, I did at plus 5 to one odds! See the cashier.
Check out my internet TV show on sportsbetting:
The Odds Couple