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Wednesday Tips
December 4, 2012
By Kevin Rogers
VegasInsider.com
Editor's Note: Kevin Rogers is on a 14-2 guaranteed run in the NBA. His three-pack of winners can be purchased on VegasInsider.com Click to win!
Wednesday's NBA card takes center-stage in the betting community with 11 games on tap. Three of the more intriguing matchups involves interconference foes hooking up, while the Mavericks and Clippers close the night at Staples Center. We'll begin in Atlanta with the rested Hawks battling a road-weary Denver squad.
Nuggets at Hawks - 8:05 PM EST
Denver is playing in its fifth city and third different time zone since last Monday, as the Nuggets embark on a five-game road trip. George Karl's club slid by the Raptors two days ago at the Pepsi Center as 10 ½-point favorites in a 113-110 victory. The Nuggets have allowed at least 100 points in four straight games, all resulting in the 'over.' A lower-scoring contest may be on tap in Atlanta, facing a Hawks' team that is giving up 93.5 points per game.
Atlanta's six-game winning streak came to a screeching halt last Friday in a 113-111 home defeat to Cleveland as 8 ½-point 'chalk. The Hawks squandered an 11-point halftime lead, while giving up at least 100 points in regulation for just the second time this season. Larry Drew's club owns a dreadful 0-6 ATS mark as a favorite at Philips Arena, but the Hawks won four of those games straight-up.
The Nuggets are just 4-8 SU and 6-6 ATS on the highway, as two of those covers came as an underdog of at least seven points at Memphis and Miami. The 'over' is profiting for Denver on the road, posting an 8-2 mark the last 10 games away from the Pepsi Center. Denver has claimed five of the last six meetings with Atlanta, including an overtime thriller at home last season, 118-117.
Bucks at Spurs - 8:35 PM EST
Milwaukee continues its road swing through the Southwest Division with a matchup against a San Antonio squad that has been off four three days. The Spurs returned home from their 5-1 SU/ATS away trip to rally past the Grizzlies on Saturday night in overtime, while improving to 14-4 on the season. The Bucks head to the Alamo coming off a disappointing setback on Monday at New Orleans.
Scott Skiles' club has struggled in the role of a favorite this season, posting a 3-5 ATS record when laying points. The most recent loss came to a struggling Hornets' squad in a 102-81 loss, the sixth straight game Milwaukee has been limited to 93 points or less. The Bucks are currently riding a six-game 'under' streak, but three of the last four trips to the AT&T Center have resulted in an 'over.'
San Antonio has burned cash recently at home by failing to cover in three of the last four, while losing outright to the Clippers and Knicks in this stretch. The Spurs are going in an opposite direction of the Bucks in the totals department by eclipsing the 'over' in six of the previous seven games, as the overtime win over Memphis amazingly stayed 'under.'
Magic at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST
Orlando has caught fire on its West Coast swing with outright victories as large 'dogs against the Lakers and Warriors. The Magic is riding an impressive 4-1 ATS run away from central Florida, as the trip continues in Salt Lake City against a banged-up Jazz squad. Utah is without several key members of its frontcourt as Marvin Williams (concussion) and Derrick Favors (foot) remain sidelined, while the Jazz try to get on track following Monday's meltdown.
The Clippers stunned the Jazz, 105-104, but failed to cover as two-point road favorites. However, Utah threw away a 14-point lead in spite of shooting 57% from the floor. The loss was the first in seven home contests for Tyrone Corbin's squad, while the Jazz have now dropped three consecutive games for the first time this season. Utah takes care of business as home favorite with a 4-2 ATS mark, as the two ATS losses came in two-point victories over Denver and Sacramento.
The Magic broke a 69-69 tie by outscoring the Warriors, 33-25 in the final quarter of Monday's 102-94 triumph as 9 ½-point road 'dogs. Arron Afflalo, Glen Davis, and J.J. Redick each scored at least 22 points at Golden State, one night after Orlando shot 50% and put up 40 points in the final quarter in an upset of Los Angeles. Even though many of the faces have changed, the Magic looks to snap a three-game skid at Utah, which was capped off by an unbelievable front-door cover by the Jazz in overtime as 9 ½-point favorites this past April.
Mavericks at Clippers - 10:35 PM EST
Los Angeles is getting hot at the moment with three consecutive victories, fresh off the massive rally at Utah on Monday. The Clips are in the midst of five straight 'overs,' taking on a Mavs' squad that has been held to less than 100 points in four consecutive contests. Dallas plays six of its next seven games away from American Airlines Center, as the Mavs own a dreadful 2-6 record on the highway.
Rick Carlisle's club lost each of the last two games on a mini road swing through Philadelphia and Chicago, while allowing at least 100 points in all six road defeats. The Mavs snapped a three-game skid with an impressive second half effort in a 92-77 home rout of the Pistons, giving up just 29 points to an unrested Detroit team.
All three meetings between Dallas and Los Angeles last season were relatively low-scoring contests, each finishing 'under' the total. The Clippers have struggled in the role of a heavy favorite, putting together a 1-4 ATS record when laying at least seven points. The lone victory came on Saturday in a blowout of Sacramento, 116-81 as 12 ½-point 'chalk.' Vinny Del Negro's team is struggling against the number of late by cashing just once in the last six games.
You can reach Kevin Rogers via e-mail at rogers@vegasinsider.com
Kevin Rogers can be followed on Twitter at virogers.
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10-3 L13, 12-4 L16 Playoff Picks |
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