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Game 4 Props – Best Bets

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
5 minute read
The 2019 NBA Finals continue Friday with Game 4 between the Golden State Warriors and Toronto Raptors from Oracle Arena. If you’re hesitant to back the side or total for the fourth installment in this series, then we suggest you take a closer look at the available player props.

Our trio of experts have produced winning nights in each of the first three games, which includes a 5-3 (+245) record in Game 3 on Wednesday.

Through three games of the finals, the overall numbers from the group sits at 16-8 (+970).

Game 1 Results
Game 2 Results
Game 3 Results

Chris David: 8-1 (+1,360)
Kevin Rogers: 4-3 (+215)
Tony Mejia: 2-4 (-605)

Based on a five-unit bankroll, their top props are listed for Game 4 below.

Chris David

3 Units – Over Draymond Green Total Assists 8 ½ (+100)

Draymond only had four assists in Game 3, which was the lowest number he’s posted in this year’s playoffs. Not having Klay Thompson on the court certainly attributed to the low production plus his absence forced Greed to shoot 14 times, which was tied for the highest attempts by him in the postseason. With Klay returning, I’d cut that number in half and expect him to take over the distributor role for Golden State on Friday. Following a loss in this year’s playoffs, Green has averaged 7.8 assists and he posted 10 in Game 2 at Toronto. He’s the true catalyst for this offense and I expect him to be on point in Game 4.

1 Unit – Under Kyle Lowry Total Points 15 ½ (-115)

Kyle Lowry had an incredible effort in Game 3, scoring 23 points and dishing out nine assists. Unfortunately for the former Villanova standout, getting shoved by a fan took away from arguably his best postseason game ever. Lowry has had a solid postseason, something we haven’t been able to say over the past couple seasons for the point guard. Including his results from Wednesday, he’s now scored 20-plus five times in this year’s playoffs. In the first four games following those results, he posted 12, 7, 15 and 17 points. I’m fading him based on those inconsistent numbers and while I don’t like to use emotions in handicapping, that shove and back-and-forth banter with the fans could spell trouble on Friday.

1 Unit – Draymond Green Triple Double – Yes (+350)

Sticking with my first wager, I believe the assists will be there and the rebounds should get to 10-plus as well. Scoring is always a concern with Green but he’s notched double-digit points in 15 of 19 postseason games. There’s no doubt that you’re going to have to put in a full 48 minutes for this wager, but I’m buying at a 7/2 return.

Kevin Rogers

3 Units – Over Total Points Kawhi Leonard 30 ½ (-115)

Leonard finished with 30 points in the Game 3 win as the Raptors' star has posted his best numbers in the playoffs on the road. In six of the last eight road games, Leonard has scored at least 31 points, while putting up 30 and 29 points in the other two games. The one big thing that has contributed to Leonard's scoring success has been the ability to get the foul line, as the forward has converted at least 10 free throws in each of the first three games.

2 Units – Over Total Points Klay Thompson 19 ½ (-115)

Thompson had an extra few days to rest his sore hamstring after missing Game 3. The Golden State sharpshooter has scored 21 and 25 points in the first two games of this series, while scoring at least 21 points in each of his last four home playoff games. The burden will be off Stephen Curry's shoulders tonight as Thompson is shooting over 50% from the floor in this series. As long as Thompson isn't slowed down by the hamstring injury, he should eclipse this total.

Tony Mejia

2.5 Units - Over 32.5 Draymond Green Points, Rebounds and Assists (-115)

The Warriors' driving force committed as many turnovers and personal fouls as he had assists in Game 3. Although a lot of that was a result of teammates who aren't used to receiving his passes passing up clean looks, he didn't play as well as he did in Toronto and needed to be sharper given that his team was missing two All-Stars. With Klay Thompson back, I think we'll see his best game of the series and am encouraged that this number is actually higher than it has been all series -- it was 30.5 in Games 1 and 2 -- and expect to see it surpassed.

1.5 Units - Over 5.5 Stephen Curry 3-pointers (+110)

Golden State's star guard knocked down six 3-pointers in scoring 47 points in the Game 3 loss. Expect him to hit at least that many in this one with Thompson back to take some of the attention off him. He's still going to need a monster game to help the Dubs overcome Durant's absence and will have the green light whenever he crosses halfcourt. I'd expect him to take at least 15 shots from beyond the arc and forecast he'll hit at least 40 percent of his attempts.

1 Unit - Over 13 Serge Ibaka Points and Rebounds (-115)

HIbaka scored just six points in Game 3 but changed the contest with his six blocks and should again be a major factor off the bench, especially if Marc Gasol isn't as effective as he was in Games 1 and 3. Look for him to play more than the 21:50 he was allotted on Wednesday night, likely leading to a double-digit scoring effort and a handful of rebounds.

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