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Dinero Tracker – Feb. 1

VegasInsider Staff
VegasInsider Staff Sports Betting Expert
4 minute read
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Last night's Records
NBA: 3-3 | NCAA BB: 8-9

Wednesday's results featured three in-game parlay hits in Michigan State/Penn State, Butler/Marquette and Virginia Tech/Boston College to prevent another dreadful day in college hoops. I blame all this lunar stuff. The NBA guarantee came in for the third straight day, making it 14-for-20 (70%) since Jan. 11. Here are some of the highlights (and lowlights):

THURSDAY'S FREE SELECTION

The pick: Georgia State -6
Arkansas State won its second Sun Belt road game in a week's span in a shootout over Appalachian State on Saturday, but hasn't defeated D-I opponents in consecutive games all season. The Red Wolves have dropped three straight at home and face a Panthers squad they covered against in Atlanta on Jan. 6, falling only 79-75. This should ensure that the Panthers, winners of seven straight, take this opening leg of a two-game road trip in Arkansas seriously. Ron Hunter's squad has gone 4-1 ATS and has surrendered fewer than 70 points in six of eight. D'Marcus Simonds should have another big night after scoring 33 points and grabbing nine boards in the first meeting. Lay the points on the road and back Georgia State.



WEDNESDAY'S LOCK

The pick: Hornets ML -135
The Hornets look to avoid a winless three-game road trip, part of a stint where they'll play 7 of 8 outside of Charlotte. The next portion is entirely on the West coast, so it's important to try and beat the Hawks for the second time in a week simply to generate some momentum. Even with Marvin Williams sidelined, the visitors should prevail in Atlanta. Ride Charlotte on the money line to avoid laying the possession on the road, guaranteed.

Result: If they were all this easy, this job wouldn't be as difficult as it is. Charlotte won 123-110. Kemba Walker knocked down nine 3-pointers, which had never happened before. Dwight Howard won in his return to Atlanta.

PICK THAT DIDN'T CLICK

The pick: Cal Poly -4.5
Joe Callero usually gets his teams to improve over the course of the season and has a great opportunity to pick up a win here with winless UC Riverside missing top scorer Dikyembe Martin. The Mustangs have a terrific backcourt that shhots free-throws extremely well, which should allow them to close out the Highlanders. Lay the points and ride Cal Poly, guaranteed.

Result: The Mustangs trailed late, pulling out the win against the Highlanders on a a Donovan Fields' smooth jumper late. Cal Poly blew a four-point halftime lead and didn't have enough time left to cover the number, which reached six by the time tip-off came. I jumped on this early and it didn't pay off.

TOTAL RECALL

The pick: Pacers/Grizzlies OVER 201.5
The Grizzlies have scored 100 or more points in seven of their last eight games, a run that extends to 13 of 15 for them. With Lance Stephenson and Tyreke Evans a go, look for both teams to put up points in Indianapolis, where the Pacers are averaging over 114 points through their last four games. Ride the over.

Result: Evans was scratched after this pick was posted since Memphis wants to keep him healthy so they can ship him off to the highest bidder, but Wayne Selden delivered 24 points to make this game competitive down to the final seconds. It was 101-100 for well over a minute before Myles Turner was fouled with 34.2 ticks left, delivering the over with a pair from the stripe. Indiana won 105-101.

CARDIAC ATTACK

The pick: Virginia Tech PK'em/OVER 154
This will likely wind up being a shootout, which is why the books have come off the Hokies as a favorite off someone's else floor. Both teams are proficient enough offensively that they'll be able to get this into the 80s, a place where Buzz Williams' team has prospered in winning 12 of 15 games when they reach that mark. Ride Virginia Tech and the over for the in-game parlay.

Result: Thanks to referee Teddy Valentine, a national treasure who doubles as the college basketball ghost of Joey Crawford, BC erased a seven-point deficit in the final 1:04 to force OT and help us surpass the posted total thanks to an extra five minutes. The Hokies survived the meltdown and held off BC 85-80.

SWING AND A MISS

The pick: Knicks +5.5
The Celtics are going to rest Kyrie Irving tonight, and with Kristaps Porzingis and Enes Kanter a problem for the smaller Celtics, the expectation here is that the Knicks rise up and take advantage of their weary legs coming off a West Coast roadie. Take the points and back New York.

Result: This doesn't normally happen. Backing the Knicks, that is. Boston punished me for fading them off their roadie, crushing New York 103-73. All Terry Rozier did in replacing Kyrie Irving was notch a triple-double (17-11-10).


Follow Tony Mejia on Twitter at @TonyMejiaNBA or e-mail him at mejia@vegasinsider.com

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