VegasInsider.com
VI Mobile Scores and Betting OddsVI Mobile Scores and Betting Odds Be Social
Home
NFL
NBA
NHL
MLB
NCAA FB
NCAA BK
Golf
Auto
Horses
Soccer
Boxing/MMA
More
Betting Tools

 
Wild Card Angles
Editor’s Note: Don’t miss out on Marc Lawrence’s NFL Playoff Winners on VegasInsider.com. Click to win!
 
NFL Wild Card Round... All In
 
Home cooking.  It used to be a solid handicapping edge during the playoffs.
 
Not so anymore.
 
For the longest time backing home teams in the NFL postseason has been a solid-moneymaker, going 167-135-6 (55.1%) dating back to 1980.
 
Advertisement
Today, however, that would be a mistake as the success of home teams in the playoffs has dissolved quicker than an Alka Seltzer in a cold glass of water.
 
A closer look finds home teams just 113-102-5 ATS (52.7%) since the 1990 season and, even worse, 64-66-1 ATS (49.2%) since 2000.  Thus, like the economy, NFL playoff hosts have fallen on hard times.
 
The key today to winning in the playoffs is breaking the games down into rounds.  And in doing so it’s wise to remember the linemakers have made the visiting teams more attractive (read: value-laden) than ever before.
 
Let’s take a look into opening round time-tested theories involving unrested, No. 3 or lower seeded teams, in playoff games.
 
Note: All results are ATS (Against The Spread) and are since 1980, unless noted otherwise.
 
Stun Guns
 
Teams in NFL Wild Card round contests playing off a straight up season ending loss as a favorite tend to bounce back up off the carpet, going 21-11-1 ATS  - including 10-3 ATS at home.
 
This year finds the Texans and Packers return home looking to right themselves from road favorite losses last weekend.
 
Division Downers
 
Wild card road teams have a difficult time after dueling a division opponent in their season ending finale, going 20-40-1 ATS – including 0-4 ATS last year.
 
Send these highwaymen out as ‘dogs of more than 3 points and the task worsens as they are 4-30 SU and 9-25 ATS.
 
Not a good sign for the Bengals, Colts and Vikings this week.
 
ATS Diabetes
 
Like kids in a candy store, NFL Wild Card teams playing off huge regular season wins tend to crash-and-burn in these playoff openers.
 
Teams off a SU underdog win are just 11-23 SU and 13-20-1 ATS, including 3-13 SU and 4-12 ATS if the Over/Under total in today’s game is set at more than 41 points. 
 
So long Vikings.
 
In a similar vein, teams suffer from more than a sugar rush In opening round playoff games if they managed to they beat the spread by 12 or points, going just 5-15-1 ATS when on the road during this round.
 
The Colts look to throw a show this Sunday.
 
There you have it.  A look at some of the more intriguing Wild Card trends and angles surrounding this year’s card.
 
I’ll be back next week as we sneak a quick look at the Divisional Round playoff matchups. 
 
Until then, good luck as always. 

  
HEADLINES
BetOnline.ag: SB52 Matchup Odds
DiNitto: OLR - Title Games
BetOnline.ag: Buyer's Remorse - DP
Roberts: Vegas Books win DP Round
Todd Haley out as Steelers o-coordinator
QB Brady skips media to get treatment
Jaguars RB Fournette limited by ankle
Ellerbe, Jones only questions for Eagles
Jaguars DE Ngakoue trying to turn heads
MORE HEADLINES
 
Why Buy Picks From VegasInsider.com
NFL Pro Football Handicapper Sports Picks Records
NFL Hot Streaks
11 NFL Wins in a Row
7-0 L7, 11-2 L13 NFL Streak
4-0 LW, 13-5 Totals, 25-11 L7 Sun.
7-2 Run, 24-11 L7 Sundays
6-0 Guarantees, 4-1 Playoffs
9-3 Playoffs, 5-1 L6 Totals
7-1 Playoff Picks, 7-2 L9 G-Plays
6-0 L6 G-Plays, 5-2 Playoffs
12-3 L15 G-Plays, 12-4 L16 Picks
2-0 Sunday, 6-0 G-Play Run
4-0 L2 Sundays, 28-10 G-Play Run
7-2 L9 Picks, 6-1 L7 Totals
9-1 L5 Sun, 14-5 Run, 21-5 GPlays
9-4 L13 G-Plays, +1,845 Picks TY
5-0 Totals, 11-3 G-Plays, 9-4 Picks
9-2 L11 G-Plays, 64% +1,105 TY
2-0 Sunday, 6-1 L7 Guarantees
3-1 L2 Sat, 5-2 L3 Sun, 8-1 G-Plays
6-0 L6 Guarantees, 10-4 L14 Picks
2-0 Saturday, 11-4 L15 G-Plays
10-5, +756 Postseason Record
2-0 Sun, 3-1 L2 Sat, 12-3 G-Plays
4-2 LW, 8-3 L11 Guarantees
4-1 L2 Sundays, 5-0 L5 G-Plays
7-1 L8 G-Plays, 23-13 L36 Picks
6-2 L8 Picks, 12-4 L16 Totals
5-1 L6 Guaranteed Plays
4-1 L5 Picks, 4-0 L4 Totals
3-0 Guarantees, 3-1 Last Week
NFL Pro Football Expert Sports Picks - AFC Championship - Jacksonville Jaguars at New England Patriots
2017 NFL SEASON PICK RECORDS
Money Leaders
Handicapper Money
Pat Hawkins + 1845
Gary Bart + 1737
Zack Cimini + 1105
Last Week's Leaders
Handicapper Money
Paul Bovi + 400
NeiltheGreek + 362
Doc's Sports + 300
Percentage Leaders
Handicapper Pct
Zack Cimini 64 %
Michael Black 59 %
Pat Hawkins 59 %
Guaranteed Leaders
Handicapper Money
Michael Black + 1566
Scott Rickenbach + 1269
Paul Bovi + 787
Over-Under Leaders
Handicapper Money
NeiltheGreek + 669
Stephen Nover + 563
Vince Akins + 432
Member Leaders
Handicapper Money
Bill Marzano + 531
The Gold Sheet + 460
Jimmy Boyd + 420
MORE PICK RECORDS
  
corner graphic
With a VI Gold Membership, you can SAVE 20% off Daily Pick packages, SAVE 10% off a Live Odds subscription, and receive access to up to 1,000 Member Plays each month!
VI Gold Membership