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College Football Weekly Free Picks

 
Apr. 10, 2021
by Jonathan Willis
NCAA FB Expert
VegasInsider.com

FCS Spring Week 9 Best Bets and Score Predictions

The FCS (Football Championship Subdivision) Spring regular season continues this weekend and VegasInsider.com College Football expert Jonathan Willis is focusing on two games for Saturday Apr. 10, 2021 and one game for Sunday Apr. 11, 2021.

All three of these games can be streamed exclusively on ESPN+.

This week's matchups include:

  • Delaware State vs. Delaware
  • Monmouth vs. Kennesaw State
  • Murray State vs. Jacksonville State

Murray State vs. Jacksonville State

This FCS Spring game will be available to stream exclusively on ESPN+ and VegasInsider users can stream this matchup in HD quality from all of your smart devices.

  • Date: Sunday, Apr. 11, 2021
  • Time: 3:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Roy Stewart Stadium
  • Location: Murray, KY

Score Prediction: Jacksonville State 27 Murray State 20
Best Bet: Under 52.5 (Odds per BetMGM)

The winner of this game will claim the Ohio Valley Conference title. Jacksonville State and Murray State are both 5-1 in OVC play with losses to Austin Peay. However, the Governors dropped conference games to Tennessee Tech and UT Martin to miss out on a potential conference championship.

Jacksonville State is almost a double-digit favorite because of its pedigree. The Gamecocks have dominated the OVC under John Grass. They gave Florida State quite the scare in the fall, and they knocked off Florida International to give this program an FBS scalp.

The typical formula of a strong defense and a solid ground game has spurred the Gamecocks success this season. Josh Samuel and Uriah West are both averaging at least 5.0 YPC for Jacksonville State, and Zion Webb has done a decent job under center in lieu of the injured Zerrick Cooper.

The Gamecocks are allowing just 4.1 yards per play and opponents are averaging 2.6 YPC against this front seven. No OVC team has scored more than 23 points against this defense.

Murray State hasn’t been great on offense. Preston Rice is completing just over 50% of his passes for the Racers, and the only two real receiving threats are LaMartez Brooks and Jacob Bell. The Racers are only averaging 4.2 YPC on the ground too.

They have been incredibly fortunate when it comes to turnovers. Murray State has 11 interceptions and seven forced fumbles in its six games. That has had a lot to do with both their success and their high-scoring games, so the under has value.

Delaware State vs. Delaware

This FCS Spring game will be available to stream exclusively on ESPN+ and VegasInsider users can stream this matchup in HD quality from all of your smart devices.

  • Date: Saturday, Apr. 10, 2021
  • Time: 6:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Alumni Stadium
  • Location: Dover, DE

Score Prediction: Delaware 34 Delaware State 14
Best Bet: Delaware State +27 (Odds per BetMGM)

The 'Route 1 Rivalry' has never been won by Delaware State. Delaware has won all nine of its meetings with Delaware State since these schools first met in 2007. The Hornets have never been closer than 10 points in any of their games with the Blue Hens, but they have stayed within 27 points in six of the nine meetings.

Delaware is 3-0 with wins over Maine, Stony Brook, and Rhode Island in the CAA. The Blue Hens routed the Black Bears and the Seawolves, and that has them ranked No. 8 in the country. Danny Rocco finally appears to have a solid quarterback in Nolan Henderson. The lack of a quality quarterback has plagued him during his time with the program, but Henderson is completing 69.9% of his passes for 551 yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions.

Of course, the Blue Hens want to keep the ball on the ground. Dejoun Lee had a monster performance against Rhode Island with 22 carries for 221 yards and two touchdowns two weeks ago, and Khory Spruill is averaging 5.2 YPC.

Those gaudy numbers have Delaware favored by almost four touchdowns in this rivalry game, but this is a trap game for the Blue Hens. They have to go on the road and face rival Villanova in the Battle of the Blue next week.

Delaware State has played three close games this season, beating Howard twice and losing to South Carolina State by eight points on the road. That result showed this team’s potential as SCSU has been one of the best teams in the MEAC over the last few years.

The Hornets are allowing opposing quarterbacks to throw for just 5.5 YPA with four passing touchdowns and three interceptions. The front seven is solid in allowing 3.8 YPC too. Delaware is certainly the best team that Delaware State has played all year, but the Hornets are good enough to keep it within the number.

Monmouth vs. Kennesaw State

This FCS Spring game will be available to stream exclusively on ESPN+ and VegasInsider users can stream this matchup in HD quality from all of your smart devices.

  • Date: Saturday, Apr. 10, 2021
  • Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
  • Venue: Kessler Stadium
  • Location: West Long Branch, NJ

Score Prediction: Kennesaw State 31 Monmouth 27
Best Bet: OVER 53 (Odds per BetMGM)

For the fourth straight season, this game will determine the winner of the Big South. Kennesaw State hammered Monmouth 52-21 in 2017 and 51-14 in 2018 to win the conference, but Monmouth got revenge with a 45-21 beatdown in Kennesaw last season.

Both teams are unbeaten coming into this game. Kennesaw State finally looked like the power we have seen in previous seasons last week against Robert Morris. The Owls were not impressive in wins over Charleston Southern and Dixie State, but they roughed up the Colonials.

Kennesaw State can put up some points with its triple option offense. The Owls are averaging 5.0 YPC and 294.8 YPG this season. Monmouth has yet to do a great job of stopping it, and this will be just their third game of the year.

The Hawks throttled Charleston Southern and Gardner-Webb over the last two weeks. Juwon Farri ran for seven touchdowns in those two games, and Romeo Holden ripped off some nice runs while spelling him.

The aptly named Tony Muskett has moved the ball well through the air. Muskett has thrown for 452 yards and four touchdowns in those two games, hooking up with Terrance Greene Jr. for almost half his production.

These defenses both looked decent against the other teams in this conference, but there is a huge chasm between these two teams and the rest of the Big South. That should lead to the fourth straight high-scoring game between these budding rivals.


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