UFC DAILY FREE PICKS, PREDICTIONS, ODDS

UFC FREE PICKS, PREDICTIONS, ODDS

VegasInsider will be providing daily UFC free picks on key fights and MMA events throughout the year, focusing on Money Lines, Over Under Round Totals selections and Method of Victory. If you’re looking for UFC Free Picks, VegasInsider is your home for the best selections and analysis in the industry. 

Our selections will be provided by our MMA betting experts and will feature Fight Predictions, Betting Analysis and Best Bets for fights featured on ESPN and ESPN+. 

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UFC BEST BETS FOR SATURDAY, MAY 21, 2022

Our VI UFC handicapping experts have compiled their best bets for Saturday, May 21st.

  • UFC Vegas 55 (Prelims ESPN+, 4:00 p.m. ET, Main Card ESPN+, 7:00 p.m. ET)

UFC Vegas 55

Best Bet: Santiago Ponzinibbio To Win Fight (+100)

Michel Pereira seemed like he was the new kid on the black after winning his debut with a first-round flying-knee knockout over Danny Roberts back in 2019. After that fight he ran into two consecutive losses, gassing out badly against Tristan Connelly and being disqualified against Diego Sanchez due to an illegal knee. 

It seems like Pereira actually tightened up his craft after that losing streak and has now won four straight heading into this weekend’s bout with Ponzinibbio. 

On the feet Michel is a good fundamentally sound striker and he has really improved in the wrestling department too. 

Realistically, we are looking at a fighter who could easily have won that fight against Diego Sanchez. If Sanchez didn’t milk that knee as much as he did, Pereira would continue dominating the action and win easily. Against Connelly, he was goofing around and completely blew out his gas tank doing flips and cage jumps in the first round. In another universe he stays composed and wins easily. 

Santiago is the veteran in this matchup with 14 UFC fights to Pereira’s seven. Prior to his two-year hiatus from 2018-2021 he was on an absolute tear through the division, and was seen as a guy who would go on to challenge for the title at some point. In his comeback fight he was KO’ed against ‘The Leech’ though, and while I was led to believe he was completely shot judging from that performance, the vintage ‘Ponzi’ showed up in his next bout and had an absolute war with Miguel Baeza (who was unbeaten at the time) winning a decision. The worries I had concerning his chin seemed irrelevant in that fight, as did they in his most recent time out against Geoff Neal.

Pereira is the younger man here, but I believe cage control will win this fight, and Michel has been pushed back by good strikers before. Short-notice debutant Andre Fialho was able to win that first round against Pereira by pushing forward and taking the center, and I ultimately feel that Ponzinibbio will be able to do the same.

Once the fight gets dicey I think Santiago’s veteran experience will allow him to negate the power of Pereira and come out on top as he usually does in these scrappy fights.

VI UFC HANDICAPPERS BEST BET TRACKER (3-5-1, -256)

  • Best Bet: Santiago Ponzinibbio To Win Fight (+100)

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The most popular form of UFC betting is the money line, most commonly known as picking a Straight Up winner. VegasInsider UFC Free Money Line Picks focuses on which fighter will win each fight, regardless of how the fighter wins. 

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Undecided on a winner but convinced a fight will end in a certain round? Bettors can select whether UFC bouts will go over or under a certain round. This is similar to point total betting, where an oddsmaker will set a line for bettors to wager whether the total will go over or under the given line. Most UFC round total lines are set at 2.5, while main events are typically 3.5.  

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Some fights go the distance, while others end before the final bell. Bettors can wager on whether a fight will reach the final bell, or finish before. This also leaks into method of victory wagering, where bettors can select a specific way the match ends. Our VegasInsider UFC betting experts provide the best free picks that range from fight winner to specific methods of victory.

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As UFC events continue to roll, the UFC Free Picks will be offered on a weekly basis as our crew of top handicappers offer up the best advice in the industry. Be sure to check out our UFC Free Picks feature for big fights and events on a weekly basis. 

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UFC FREE PICKS AND BETTING ANALYSIS 

Meet our Experts on YouTube and get the best insight in the business. Our UFC Best Bets and UFC Free Picks are high quality predictions, focusing on the top UFC bouts and pay-per-view fights of the year.

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