NFL Week 13 Parlay Picks & Predictions
The 2023 NFL season is here, and the talented content and handicapping team at VegasInsider will have their favorite NFL Parlay Picks available on a daily basis for you to bet and win!
Don't forget to use our Parlay Calculator to see exactly what your parlay payout will be. Also, feel free to visit our Free Picks page for more tips and predictions for the rest of this week's NFL action. Finally, check out the best sportsbook bonus guide to make sure you get as many bonuses as you can.
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Best NFL Parlay for Sunday, December 3, 2023
The Week 13 NFL Parlay Picks are up for Sunday December 3, 2023 and we're locked and loaded with a three-team wager that's focused on the below matchups:
- Denver Broncos at Houston Texans (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
- Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
- San Francisco 49ers at Philadelphia Eagles (FOX, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Note: Odds and lines mentioned are accurate as of 11:00 AM ET. For the most up-to-date odds and lines, please see widgets with operators listed.
Parlay Leg 1
The Texans are an over team and for the most part been unstoppable on offense. They bogged down against Arizona as CJ uncharacteristically threw 3 INTs while last week they got off to a slow start only to be foiled by a late sack and FG that dunked off the crossbar. Defensively they have been vulnerable in the secondary. Trevor went for 364 and they have struggled throughout, notably against some below average QBs. Broncos have gotten their offense going of late. 45 opener was soft but this is still playable Over
Parlay Leg 2
New Orleans is the only team among the four losing NFC South squads that has a positive scoring differential, and this is a critical game for New Orleans after back-to-back losses on the road the past two games. After the bye week the Saints lost vs. rival Atlanta on the road last week but New Orleans managed only 15 points on 444 yards as the production was there. Allowing a 92-yard interception return touchdown early in the game was the difference while New Orleans settled for six field goal attempts in the game, coming away with no touchdowns despite five red zone trips. Chris Olave appears on track to play as the biggest name on a substantial injury report of questionable players for New Orleans this week, going up against a Lions squad also off a loss. Detroit suffered another Thanksgiving defeat and while the NFC North control remains strong, the long term potential of this group can come into question having allowed 93 points the past three games despite facing losing teams in all three games with the past two games at home. Detroit has three road wins this season but two of those wins came by slim margins of three or fewer points. This is only the second road game in the past five games for the Lions and it comes in-between division games. New Orleans has lost two home games this season, but one was a one-score loss to the Jaguars with a substantial production edge in a game that was tied in the final minutes. The other was the early season game with the Buccaneers when Derek Carr played while clearly at worse than 100 percent health. The Saints are a top 10 scoring defense this season and are third in the NFL in opposing QB Rating. Detroit is 21st in yards per play allowed and has allowed the ninth most passing yards in the NFL over the past three games. Jared Goff hasn't taken the criticism that Carr has but he has posted a QBR of 54 or worse in four of the past five games despite his season average being near 59 as he has not been playing as well lately as he did in the first month of the season.
Parlay Leg 3
The spot sets up well for the 49ers to get a measure of revenge from their, 31-7, loss to the Eagles in the NFC title game last season when Brock Purdy was knocked out of the game.
I find the 49ers to be the most complete team in the NFC when healthy, which they are now. The Eagles rank 29th on pass defense. That is a potentially fatal flaw.
Philadelphia also isn't as healthy as San Francisco with a banged-up receiver corps.
San Francisco is the more rested team having last played on Thanksgiving while the Eagles defense was on the field for a staggering 92 plays in their overtime victory against the Bills last Sunday. Buffalo produced 505 yards against the Eagles.
The 49ers have much to prove here. The Eagles, on the other hand, actually have a bigger game on deck when they face the Cowboys on the road next Sunday night.
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What Is An NFL Parlay?
A parlay, or NFL parlay, is a type of wager where you combine multiple bets into one bet slip. To win your wager, all selections must win for you to receive a payout. Keep in mind that the more selections you make on a parlay, the more risky it becomes. The more risky a bet is, the higher the payout.
This is a common bet type for many new bettors. The high payout entices bettors across the industry. We recommend keeping your parlays minimal to 2-3 picks that you feel comfortable making. You can combine a large variety of different picks for your bet slip.
Parlays can be a combination on spreads, totals, money lines, or even props. Most spreads for NFL games will sit at a price of (-110) to (-125). Adding a couple of spreads into a parlay can easily increase your odds to almost (+300).
People who love betting favorites also enjoy adding them into parlays. A strategy in the industry is taking two large favorites and parlaying them to increase your payout. When you combine two favorites at (-240), your parlay becomes even money at (+100).
How Do I Win an NFL Parlay?
There is not a foolproof answer that will win you money, but listed below are strategies bettors use to win more money when combining picks into a parlay.
Two-team parlays are perfect for someone who is looking to increase their payout without adding large amounts of risk. Instead of hoping for 10 different teams to cover the spread, you are simply looking for two to get the job done. Typically bettors using this strategy will pick two separate teams to win on the money line. These teams are likely going to be larger favorites. This is taking two safer picks and combining them into one so you don't have to fork out all the juice.
Adding two teams on the spread, or total, is much different. A two-team parlay with both selections at (-110) odds brings your $100 wager to a payout of $264 if it hits. Both selections will then have to win for you to collect your money.
The most simple parlay can still lose. Huge favorites also get beat, so when adding large favorites to your slip, make sure you see and understand the added value. Sometimes a large favorite might increase your payout an extra $5. You need to ask yourself, is that worth the risk?
Another fun way to spice up your NFL Sunday is by adding teasers to your slip. A teaser is simple. It moves the line by a certain number of points. Listed below is an example of a 6-point teaser:
- Regular Line: Chiefs -7
- 6 Point Teaser Line: Chiefs -1
When teasing a line, it moves it a certain number of points in the team you choose's favor. The Chiefs were a 7 point favorite, but when teasing them down 6 points, they now only need to cover a 1-point spread.
You can tease multiple teams and add them into a large parlay if you believe they will all cover. When teasing the lines, it also changes the payouts, so make sure to calculate correctly.
Odds shopping is when you look at multiple operators to find the best lines to add to your slip. For example below, we have listed our five preferred sportsbooks we use here at VegasInsider:
Your best selection would be Caesars at -2.5. This is why its important to line shop to find the best bang for your buck. Why lose out on a half a point because you like FanDuel better?
Line shopping just helps add value to your parlays even more. A team you thought would cover by three points now only has to cover by 2.5. That could be a different between a win and a push!
When it comes to gambling and sports betting as a whole, bankroll management is a huge topic. Specifically for parlays, you can find yourself wanting to add 10+ teams to get that $500,000 payout. Keep in mind that you should always bet within your means and set aside money you are comfortable losing.
A good limit would be 1% of your net worth. Take what you have and set limits you can manage. Do not chase bets or bet beyond your means.
What Is A Same-Game Parlay?
A same-game parlay is a combination of picks made into a parlay that is all being played in one game. Instead of choosing multiple teams to win on Sunday, you can pick three different players to go over their receiving yards in the same game.
Same-game parlays are perfect for times when you believe a team will either perform well or awful. If you believe the Cowboys will have a bad game, you can take multiple receivers to go under their receiving totals.
Same-game parlays can consist of many different bets, but it changes from operator to operator, so make sure to check with your preferred sportsbook.
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