Last Updated Jan 18 2026, 9:45 PM

2025-26 AFC Championship Odds: Patriots Overtake Broncos as Favorite

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NFL Futures Odds

AFC championship odds continue to develop, with the NFL season now advancing to the Conference Championship Round.

A huge injury played a huge role in odds to win the AFC championship. The New England Patriots remain atop AFC title odds, staving off the Denver Broncos due to that injury.

Check back regularly for updates on 2025-26 AFC conference championship odds. Also, check out Patrick Everson's NFL Conference Championship Game Odds Report. And be sure to use our BetMGM bonus code to get the most out of your action on 2026 NFC championship odds.

(Feature image: Brian Fluharty/Getty Images)

Afc Champion Odds

Time	Bet365	BetMGM	DraftKings	Caesars	FanDuel	RiversCasino
	›	›	›	›	›	›
Patriots	-225	+130	-210	-240	-210	-250
Broncos	+180	+180	+180	+200	+175	+210
Texans	+15000	+260	+10000		+10000

2026 AFC Championship Odds

Then There Were Two

LATEST UPDATE: The New England Patriots (16-3) are the AFC's No. 2 seed. But they overtook the Denver Broncos (15-3) as favorites in BetMGM's AFC Championship odds, due to Wild Card Weekend matchups.

New England had the perceived more favorable matchup, at home against Houston. Denver was also at home, but against Josh Allen and Buffalo.

Both the Patriots and Broncos advanced. New England topped Houston 28-16, and Denver edged Buffalo 33-30 in overtime.

All things being equal, that would've led to another flip of favorites, with Denver favored in odds to win the AFC title. But things aren't equal.

On one of the final plays of the Bills-Broncos game, QB Bo Nix suffered a fracture in his ankle. Nix finished the game, but he's done for the season.

So the Pats moved from +230 favorites all the way to -275 favorites at BetMGM. Denver's odds also improved, but only from +280 to +225, with all the Broncos' hopes now on backup QB Jarrett Stidham's shoulders.

The ticket count leaderboard for BetMGM's AFC championship odds, not including teams eliminated, some of whom have more bets than active teams:

Broncos
Patriots

The Bills have more tickets than the Broncos or Patriots.

Money leaders among the two remaining teams:

Broncos
Patriots

Denver was No. 1 in money before the Divisional Round and remains so. But several eliminated teams are ahead of the Patriots in money, including the Bills, Texans, Ravens, Chiefs and Steelers.

The Broncos are the largest liability for BetMGM.

AFC Championship Opening Odds

The Kansas City Chiefs are the three-time defending AFC champions. BetMGM opened the Chiefs as +350 co-favorites to win a fourth straight AFC title. The Baltimore Ravens also opened +350.

Below are opening odds to win the AFC in the 2025-26 season, from BetMGM:

Kansas City Chiefs +350
Baltimore Ravens +350
Buffalo Bills +375
Cincinnati Bengals +800
Los Angeles Chargers +1100
Denver Broncos +1400
Houston Texans +1400
Pittsburgh Steelers +2500
Miami Dolphins +2500
New England Patriots +3000
Indianapolis Colts +4000
Jacksonville Jaguars +4000
Las Vegas Raiders +6000
New York Jets +6000
Cleveland Browns +8000
Tennessee Titans +10000

How to Read the Odds:
Bet $100 on Kansas City Chiefs (+350) to win $350
Bet $100 on Buffalo Bills (+375) to win $375

Super Bowl 60 Opening Odds for AFC Teams

Baltimore Ravens +700
Kansas City Chiefs +700
Buffalo Bills +700
Cincinnati Bengals +2000
Los Angeles Chargers +2200
Houston Texans +2500
Denver Broncos +3000
Miami Dolphins +5000
Pittsburgh Steelers +8000
New York Jets +8000
Indianapolis Colts +10000
Jacksonville Jaguars +10000
New England Patriots +12500
Las Vegas Raiders +15000
Cleveland Browns +15000
Tennessee Titans +20000

AFC Championship Betting History

The AFC has been dominated recently by the Kansas City Chiefs, who have represented the conference in the Super Bowl in four of the last five seasons.

Year-Winner-Record (Odds to Win)

2024-25: Kansas City Chiefs 15-2-0 (+360)
2023-24: Kansas City Chiefs 11-6-0 (+350)
2022-23: Kansas City Chiefs 14-3-0 (+450)
2021-22: Cincinnati Bengals 10-7-0 (+5000)
2020-21: Kansas City Chiefs 14-2-0 (+200)
2019-20: Kansas City Chiefs 12-4-0 (+300)
2018-19: New England Patriots 11-5-0 (+300)
2017-18: New England Patriots 13-3-0 (+125)
2016-17: New England Patriots 14-2-0 (+300)
2015-16: Denver Broncos 12-4-0 (+500)
2014-15: New England Patriots 12-4-0 (+300)
2013-14: Denver Broncos 13-3-0 (+300)
2012-13: Baltimore Ravens 10-6-0 (+650)
2011-12: New England Patriots 13-3-0 (+300)
2010-11: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4-0 (+900)
2009-10: Indianapolis Colts 14-2-0 (+700)
2008-09: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4-0 (+900)
2007-08: New England Patriots 16-0-0 (+175)
2006-07: Indianapolis Colts 12-4-0 (+300)
2005-06: Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5-0 (+600)
2004-05: New England Patriots 14-2-0 (+400)
2003-04: New England Patriots 14-2-0 (+700)
2002-03: Oakland Raiders 11-5-0 (+600)
2001-02: New England Patriots 11-5-0 (+2000)
2000-01: Baltimore Ravens 12-4-0
1999-00: Tennessee Titans 13-3-0
1998-99: Denver Broncos 14-2-0
1997-98: Denver Broncos 12-4-0
1996-97: New England Patriots 11-5-0
1995-96: Pittsburgh Steelers 11-5-0
1994-95: San Diego Chargers 11-5-0
1993-94: Buffalo Bills 12-4-0
1992-93: Buffalo Bills 11-5-0
1991-92: Buffalo Bills 13-3-0
1990-91: Buffalo Bills 13-3-0
1989-90: Denver Broncos 11-5-0
1988-89: Cincinnati Bengals 12-4-0
1987-88: Denver Broncos 10-4-1
1986-87: Denver Broncos 11-5-0
1985-86: New England Patriots 11-5-0
1984-85: Miami Dolphins 14-2-0
1983-84: Los Angeles Raiders 12-4-0
1982-83: Miami Dolphins 7-2-0
1981-82: Cincinnati Bengals 12-4-0
1980-81: Oakland Raiders 11-5-0
1979-80: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-4-0
1978-79: Pittsburgh Steelers 14-2-0
1977-78: Denver Broncos 12-2-0
1976-77: Oakland Raiders 13-1-0
1975-76: Pittsburgh Steelers 12-2-0
1974-75: Pittsburgh Steelers 10-3-1
1973-74: Miami Dolphins 12-2-0
1972-73: Miami Dolphins 14-0-0
1971-72: Miami Dolphins 10-3-1
1970-71: Baltimore Colts 11-2-1

NFL American Football Conference Teams

The NFL American Football Conference consists of 16 teams divided into four divisions of four: AFC East, AFC West, AFC North and AFC South.

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Patrick Everson

Patrick Everson is a senior reporter for VegasInsider. Based in Las Vegas since 1994, he's worked in the sports betting journalism/content space for more than a decade. He's most known for his deep roster of contacts behind sportsbook counters, providing readers and viewers with the ins-and-outs of how events are being bet. He's also a thought leader in the sports betting space, often appearing on or moderating panels at national conferences. More from Patrick Everson